Bengals at Falcons: NFL Week 9 2026 Projection, Matchups and Injuries

BengalsCIN offenseagainst theFalconsATL defense

Projected CIN offense output — equivalently, what the ATL defense allows. The engine blends each offense's season-to-date rates with the defense across from it, anchored on the market's implied points.

26.2Points

62Plays

252Pass yds

93Rush yds

2.3Sacks taken

0.6INTs thrown

Projected player lines · the team totals shared out by each man's role

QB

Att36

Cmp25

Yds252

TD2.1

INT0.6

Car ru3

Yds14

TD0.1

Backs	Car	Ru yds	Ru TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD
RB	14	50	0.4	5.5	4.3	21	0.2
RB	6	26	0.2	1.4	1.1	8	0.1

Receivers	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
WR	7.2	4.6	72	0.7
WR	7.7	5.2	59	0.5
WR	3.0	2.0	17	0.1
WR	1.2	0.7	7	0.1

Tight ends	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
TE	2.3	1.6	17	0.1
TE	2.1	1.6	14	0.1
TE	1.5	1.2	9	0.1
TE	1.2	0.9	6	0.1

Season to date · 2026 weeks 1–8

CIN offenserank of 32ATL defense

#2+0.179

EPA / play

EPA / play

Expected points added per play, garbage time excluded: the one-number read of an offense, and of what a defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

-0.029#11

#251.0%

Success rate

Success rate

Share of plays that gain enough to stay on schedule.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

44.0%#18

#427.2

Points / game

Points / game

Points scored per game against points allowed per game.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

24.7#20

#2160.2

Plays / game

Plays / game

Offensive snaps per game, a pace number: more plays means more volume to go around, not a better team.

Engine 62.3: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 60.8.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 62.3 · lg 60.8

66.0#5

#463%

Pass rate

Pass rate

Share of snaps that are dropbacks: how the volume splits between the pass and the run.

Engine 61%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 56%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 61% · lg 56%

65%#2

#148.2%

Explosive plays

Explosive plays

Share of plays that go for a chunk: 20+ passing, 10+ rushing.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

8.2%#15

#152.4%

Third down

Third down

The offense's third-down conversion rate against the defense's third-down stop rate.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

59.7%#17

#471%

Red-zone TD rate

Red-zone TD rate

Touchdowns per trip inside the 20: finishing drives against the defense that bends or breaks.

Engine 63%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 58%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 63% · lg 58%

68%#24

#60.67

Giveaways / game

Giveaways / game

Turnovers the offense gives away per game against the ones the defense takes.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

0.86#17

#93.2

Flags / game

Flags / game

Accepted penalties per game committed by each unit.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

2.7#20

CIN offenserank of 32ATL defense

#10-0.043

Rush EPA / carry

Rush EPA / carry

Expected points added per designed run, and per run allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

-0.101#16

#3081.2

Rush yards / game

Rush yards / game

Rushing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

88.9#4

#283.63

Yards / carry

Yards / carry

Rushing yards per carry: the offense's own against what the defense gives up, blended into the projection.

Engine 3.84: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 4.36.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 3.84 · lg 4.36

3.84#10

#182.36

Yards before contact

Yards before contact

Yards before a defender touches the runner, per carry: the line-and-scheme share of the run game (PFR charting). Feeds each back's efficiency tilt.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

1.81#1

#1750.9

O-line grade

O-line grade

A composite of the line's pass protection and run blocking, offense only.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

defense only

Box defenders

Box defenders

Average defenders the defense puts in the box on charted snaps (FTN). Ranked most to fewest with no good or bad: a heavy box crowds the run and dares the pass. Defense only; a look, not a grade.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

6.4#19

Run lanes · where CIN runs, against what ATL allows there · 123 carries in 6 games, runs middle most

Leftwall

3.6#29

35% of runs · 42% success

ATL allows 3.8 #8 · 36% success

Middle

3.8#11

37% of runs · 46% success

ATL allows 4.7 #31 · 51% success

Right

3.4#26

28% of runs · 38% success

ATL allows 3.8 #14 · 38% success

CIN offenserank of 32ATL defense

#3+0.272

Pass EPA / play

Pass EPA / play

Expected points added per dropback, and per dropback allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

+0.005#9

#6275.5

Pass yards / game

Pass yards / game

Passing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

271.4#29

#117.55

Yards / attempt

Yards / attempt

Passing yards per attempt, blended into the projection.

Engine 7.06: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 7.02.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 7.06 · lg 7.02

6.64#11

#171.7%

Completion rate

Completion rate

Completions per attempt thrown, and per attempt faced.

Engine 69%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 64%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 69% · lg 64%

65.0%#18

#2110.4

Passer rating

Passer rating

The quarterback rating the offense posts against the one the defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

92.4#17

#63.9%

Sack rate

Sack rate

Sacks per dropback: taken by the offense, generated by the defense.

Engine 6.0%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 6.4%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 6.0% · lg 6.4%

6.0%#18

#2316.9%

Pressure rate

Pressure rate

Sacks or quarterback hits per dropback, the play-by-play pressure proxy.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

17.0%#11

#71.4%

INT rate

INT rate

Interceptions per attempt: thrown by the offense, forced by the defense.

Engine 1.7%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 2.2%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 1.7% · lg 2.2%

1.0%#29

#120.092

Blitz

Blitz

Offense: its EPA per dropback when the defense sends five or more rushers, higher is better. Defense: the share of its pass snaps it sends five or more, ranked most to least with no good or bad (FTN charting). Display only, not an engine input.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

24%#27

#2110.5

Yards / catch

Yards / catch

Receiving yards per reception, offense only: where the ball goes once it is caught.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

#281.2

DPI yards / game

DPI yards / game

Pass-interference yards per game: drawn by the receivers, committed by the secondary.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

10.4#21

FalconsATL offenseagainst theBengalsCIN defense

Projected ATL offense output — equivalently, what the CIN defense allows. The engine blends each offense's season-to-date rates with the defense across from it, anchored on the market's implied points.

23.2Points

61Plays

228Pass yds

116Rush yds

2.2Sacks taken

0.7INTs thrown

Projected player lines · the team totals shared out by each man's role

QB

Att31

Cmp20

Yds228

TD1.4

INT0.7

Car ru2

Yds1

TD0

Backs	Car	Ru yds	Ru TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD
RB	15	89	0.8	4.7	3.5	31	0.2
RB	6	20	0.2	1.2	0.9	6	0

Receivers	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
WR	8.9	5.6	77	0.5
WR	4.1	2.4	39	0.2
WR	2.0	1.4	11	0.1
WR	1.7	1.1	2	0

Tight ends	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
TE	4.5	2.9	31	0.2
TE	1.5	1.0	12	0.1
TE	0.9	0.6	4	0

Season to date · 2026 weeks 1–8

ATL offenserank of 32CIN defense

#25-0.051

EPA / play

EPA / play

Expected points added per play, garbage time excluded: the one-number read of an offense, and of what a defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

-0.051#8

#1244.7%

Success rate

Success rate

Share of plays that gain enough to stay on schedule.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

42.0%#8

#1024.4

Points / game

Points / game

Points scored per game against points allowed per game.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

20.3#8

#2260.0

Plays / game

Plays / game

Offensive snaps per game, a pace number: more plays means more volume to go around, not a better team.

Engine 60.6: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 60.8.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 60.6 · lg 60.8

61.0#18

#2851%

Pass rate

Pass rate

Share of snaps that are dropbacks: how the volume splits between the pass and the run.

Engine 55%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 56%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 55% · lg 56%

59%#10

#128.5%

Explosive plays

Explosive plays

Share of plays that go for a chunk: 20+ passing, 10+ rushing.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

8.7%#21

#2534.2%

Third down

Third down

The offense's third-down conversion rate against the defense's third-down stop rate.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

59.7%#18

#1460%

Red-zone TD rate

Red-zone TD rate

Touchdowns per trip inside the 20: finishing drives against the defense that bends or breaks.

Engine 52%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 58%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 52% · lg 58%

29%#3

#150.86

Giveaways / game

Giveaways / game

Turnovers the offense gives away per game against the ones the defense takes.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

1.17#9

#42.6

Flags / game

Flags / game

Accepted penalties per game committed by each unit.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

3.0#24

ATL offenserank of 32CIN defense

#9-0.036

Rush EPA / carry

Rush EPA / carry

Expected points added per designed run, and per run allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

-0.078#19

#6139.9

Rush yards / game

Rush yards / game

Rushing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

116.3#19

#44.75

Yards / carry

Yards / carry

Rushing yards per carry: the offense's own against what the defense gives up, blended into the projection.

Engine 4.27: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 4.36.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 4.27 · lg 4.36

4.68#26

#132.50

Yards before contact

Yards before contact

Yards before a defender touches the runner, per carry: the line-and-scheme share of the run game (PFR charting). Feeds each back's efficiency tilt.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

3.46#31

#954.2

O-line grade

O-line grade

A composite of the line's pass protection and run blocking, offense only.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

defense only

Box defenders

Box defenders

Average defenders the defense puts in the box on charted snaps (FTN). Ranked most to fewest with no good or bad: a heavy box crowds the run and dares the pass. Defense only; a look, not a grade.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

6.3#24

Run lanes · where ATL runs, against what CIN allows there · 190 carries in 7 games, runs left most

Left

5.5#3

49% of runs · 45% success

CIN allows 4.5 #17 · 32% success

Middle

3.1#24

22% of runs · 38% success

CIN allows 4.0 #22 · 39% success

Right

5.4#2

28% of runs · 54% success

CIN allows 4.0 #19 · 33% success

ATL offenserank of 32CIN defense

#28-0.063

Pass EPA / play

Pass EPA / play

Expected points added per dropback, and per dropback allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

-0.036#5

#24211.3

Pass yards / game

Pass yards / game

Passing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

253.8#26

#147.36

Yards / attempt

Yards / attempt

Passing yards per attempt, blended into the projection.

Engine 7.28: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 7.02.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 7.28 · lg 7.02

7.54#23

#1963.7%

Completion rate

Completion rate

Completions per attempt thrown, and per attempt faced.

Engine 64%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 64%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 64% · lg 64%

63.4%#12

#2387.9

Passer rating

Passer rating

The quarterback rating the offense posts against the one the defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

88.0#12

#237.3%

Sack rate

Sack rate

Sacks per dropback: taken by the offense, generated by the defense.

Engine 6.5%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 6.4%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 6.5% · lg 6.4%

8.3%#3

#210.6%

Pressure rate

Pressure rate

Sacks or quarterback hits per dropback, the play-by-play pressure proxy.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

17.1%#10

#293.5%

INT rate

INT rate

Interceptions per attempt: thrown by the offense, forced by the defense.

Engine 2.2%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 2.2%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 2.2% · lg 2.2%

2.0%#17

#16-0.008

Blitz

Blitz

Offense: its EPA per dropback when the defense sends five or more rushers, higher is better. Defense: the share of its pass snaps it sends five or more, ranked most to least with no good or bad (FTN charting). Display only, not an engine input.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

17%#32

#1411.6

Yards / catch

Yards / catch

Receiving yards per reception, offense only: where the ball goes once it is caught.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

#176.9

DPI yards / game

DPI yards / game

Pass-interference yards per game: drawn by the receivers, committed by the secondary.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

5.2#12

Starters on the field

The elevens, rated

Defenders colored by rating percentile within their position group (2026 wks 1-8 + ½·2025); the offense by production percentile among the position's starter pool. Linemen are unrated. Each defense is last game's snap leaders in a nickel base, minus this week's Out / Doubtful.

<2020–4040–6060–8080+thin sampleline

CIN offense vs ATL defenseATL eleven from their 2026 wk 7 snaps

ATL defense

CIN offense

72C. Thomas EDGE

89G. Dexter DI

95B. Dorlus DI

29D. Jackson EDGE

26K. Daniels LB

24H. Perkins LB

92A. Terrell CB

18C. Henderson CB

12M. Hughes NB

93J. Bates III S

52X. Watts S

89J. Chase WR

6D. Meyers WR

19M. Gesicki TE

86T. Higgins WR

72J. Burrow QB

72C. Brown RB

LT

LG

C

RG

RT

ATL offense vs CIN defenseCIN eleven from their 2026 wk 7 snaps

CIN defense

ATL offense

49B. Mafe EDGE

83D. Lawrence DI

84J. Allen DI

24M. Murphy EDGE

2B. Carter LB

20D. Knight LB

88D. Turner CB

85D. Hill CB

30D. Ivey NB

58B. Cook S

10J. Battle S

94D. London WR

0Z. Branch WR

59K. Pitts TE

8J. Dotson WR

34M. Penix Jr. QB

98B. Robinson RB

LT

LG

C

RG

RT

Defender ratings: pass rushers on pressure, sack and TFL rate plus missed tackles; coverage players on targets drawn and yards allowed per snap plus missed tackles; linebackers add tackle and TFL rate. Each rate is shrunk toward the group average, z-scored within the group and weighted into one percentile.

Injury report

Who is listed

Everyone on the clubs' reports, the best-rated man first in his group: the designation, what is hurt, the practice line and the share of the snaps he took last game. Ratings are the same percentiles as the field above.

CIN 0 listedATL 0 listed

No club has filed a report for this game yet.