Lions at Dolphins: NFL Week 9 2026 Projection, Matchups and Injuries

LionsDET offenseagainst theDolphinsMIA defense

Projected DET offense output — equivalently, what the MIA defense allows. The engine blends each offense's season-to-date rates with the defense across from it, anchored on the market's implied points.

27.2Points

62Plays

246Pass yds

114Rush yds

2.0Sacks taken

0.7INTs thrown

Projected player lines · the team totals shared out by each man's role

QB

Att32

Cmp21

Yds246

TD1.8

INT0.7

Car ru2

Yds2

TD0

Backs	Car	Ru yds	Ru TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds	Rec TD
RB	23	104	1.0	6.0	4.6	35	0.3
RB	2	8	0.1	0.5	0.4	5	0

Receivers	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
WR	8.6	6.3	66	0.5
WR	5.9	3.6	50	0.4
WR	2.9	1.8	22	0.2

Tight ends	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
TE	4.6	3.3	39	0.3
TE	1.4	0.9	15	0.1

Season to date · 2026 weeks 1–8

DET offenserank of 32MIA defense

#9+0.087

EPA / play

EPA / play

Expected points added per play, garbage time excluded: the one-number read of an offense, and of what a defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

+0.144#31

#350.6%

Success rate

Success rate

Share of plays that gain enough to stay on schedule.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

51.4%#32

#230.7

Points / game

Points / game

Points scored per game against points allowed per game.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

26.2#25

#466.0

Plays / game

Plays / game

Offensive snaps per game, a pace number: more plays means more volume to go around, not a better team.

Engine 61.8: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 60.8.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 61.8 · lg 60.8

58.8#24

#1259%

Pass rate

Pass rate

Share of snaps that are dropbacks: how the volume splits between the pass and the run.

Engine 55%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 56%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 55% · lg 56%

51%#30

#69.6%

Explosive plays

Explosive plays

Share of plays that go for a chunk: 20+ passing, 10+ rushing.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

8.9%#24

#2434.6%

Third down

Third down

The offense's third-down conversion rate against the defense's third-down stop rate.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

45.3%#32

#1165%

Red-zone TD rate

Red-zone TD rate

Touchdowns per trip inside the 20: finishing drives against the defense that bends or breaks.

Engine 61%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 58%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 61% · lg 58%

65%#22

#40.50

Giveaways / game

Giveaways / game

Turnovers the offense gives away per game against the ones the defense takes.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

0.67#27

#93.2

Flags / game

Flags / game

Accepted penalties per game committed by each unit.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

2.2#12

DET offenserank of 32MIA defense

#19-0.122

Rush EPA / carry

Rush EPA / carry

Expected points added per designed run, and per run allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

+0.018#32

#16115.0

Rush yards / game

Rush yards / game

Rushing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

110.2#16

#134.23

Yards / carry

Yards / carry

Rushing yards per carry: the offense's own against what the defense gives up, blended into the projection.

Engine 4.12: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 4.36.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 4.12 · lg 4.36

3.84#11

#43.08

Yards before contact

Yards before contact

Yards before a defender touches the runner, per carry: the line-and-scheme share of the run game (PFR charting). Feeds each back's efficiency tilt.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

2.17#12

#557.6

O-line grade

O-line grade

A composite of the line's pass protection and run blocking, offense only.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

defense only

Box defenders

Box defenders

Average defenders the defense puts in the box on charted snaps (FTN). Ranked most to fewest with no good or bad: a heavy box crowds the run and dares the pass. Defense only; a look, not a grade.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

6.5#7

Run lanes · where DET runs, against what MIA allows there · 152 carries in 6 games, runs right most

Left

4.7#10

30% of runs · 53% success

MIA allows 3.4 #4 · 34% success

Middle

3.3#18

35% of runs · 51% success

MIA allows 3.4 #17 · 45% success

Rightsoft spot

5.3#3

36% of runs · 43% success

MIA allows 5.5 #31 · 52% success

DET offenserank of 32MIA defense

#5+0.229

Pass EPA / play

Pass EPA / play

Expected points added per dropback, and per dropback allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

+0.235#30

#1298.0

Pass yards / game

Pass yards / game

Passing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

236.2#18

#68.02

Yards / attempt

Yards / attempt

Passing yards per attempt, blended into the projection.

Engine 7.64: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 7.02.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 7.64 · lg 7.02

8.10#30

#667.3%

Completion rate

Completion rate

Completions per attempt thrown, and per attempt faced.

Engine 66%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 64%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 66% · lg 64%

76.6%#32

#1112.5

Passer rating

Passer rating

The quarterback rating the offense posts against the one the defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

116.8#32

#145.5%

Sack rate

Sack rate

Sacks per dropback: taken by the offense, generated by the defense.

Engine 5.9%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 6.4%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 5.9% · lg 6.4%

3.9%#28

#913.7%

Pressure rate

Pressure rate

Sacks or quarterback hits per dropback, the play-by-play pressure proxy.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

13.7%#22

#10.0%

INT rate

INT rate

Interceptions per attempt: thrown by the offense, forced by the defense.

Engine 2.0%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 2.2%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 2.0% · lg 2.2%

2.3%#11

#10.371

Blitz

Blitz

Offense: its EPA per dropback when the defense sends five or more rushers, higher is better. Defense: the share of its pass snaps it sends five or more, ranked most to least with no good or bad (FTN charting). Display only, not an engine input.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

26%#23

#911.9

Yards / catch

Yards / catch

Receiving yards per reception, offense only: where the ball goes once it is caught.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

#262.2

DPI yards / game

DPI yards / game

Pass-interference yards per game: drawn by the receivers, committed by the secondary.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

1.0#2

DolphinsMIA offenseagainst theLionsDET defense

Projected MIA offense output — equivalently, what the DET defense allows. The engine blends each offense's season-to-date rates with the defense across from it, anchored on the market's implied points.

20.2Points

62Plays

232Pass yds

109Rush yds

2.4Sacks taken

0.7INTs thrown

Projected player lines · the team totals shared out by each man's role

QB

Att33

Cmp20

Yds232

TD1.0

INT0.7

Car ru5

Yds31

TD0.3

Backs	Car	Ru yds	Ru TD	Tgt	Rec	Rec yds
RB	12	50	0.5	2.2	1.5	2
RB	4	15	0.2	1.5	1.2	6
RB	4	5	0.1	0.5	0.3	0

Receivers	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
WR	7.3	5.0	67	0.3
WR	5.1	3.4	59	0.3
WR	4.4	2.7	19	0.1
WR	4.1	2.4	12	0

Tight ends	Tgt	Rec	Yds	TD
TE	4.6	3.1	43	0.2
TE	1.4	0.9	9	0

Season to date · 2026 weeks 1–8

MIA offenserank of 32DET defense

#22-0.031

EPA / play

EPA / play

Expected points added per play, garbage time excluded: the one-number read of an offense, and of what a defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

+0.108#30

#2539.6%

Success rate

Success rate

Share of plays that gain enough to stay on schedule.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

45.2%#23

#3016.3

Points / game

Points / game

Points scored per game against points allowed per game.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

27.5#26

#3155.3

Plays / game

Plays / game

Offensive snaps per game, a pace number: more plays means more volume to go around, not a better team.

Engine 61.8: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 60.8.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 61.8 · lg 60.8

69.7#1

#3248%

Pass rate

Pass rate

Share of snaps that are dropbacks: how the volume splits between the pass and the run.

Engine 57%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 56%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 57% · lg 56%

65%#1

#168.1%

Explosive plays

Explosive plays

Share of plays that go for a chunk: 20+ passing, 10+ rushing.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

10.2%#30

#1239.7%

Third down

Third down

The offense's third-down conversion rate against the defense's third-down stop rate.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

55.9%#29

#2354%

Red-zone TD rate

Red-zone TD rate

Touchdowns per trip inside the 20: finishing drives against the defense that bends or breaks.

Engine 58%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 58%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 58% · lg 58%

62%#19

#130.83

Giveaways / game

Giveaways / game

Turnovers the offense gives away per game against the ones the defense takes.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

0.67#27

#113.3

Flags / game

Flags / game

Accepted penalties per game committed by each unit.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

1.2#1

MIA offenserank of 32DET defense

#13-0.068

Rush EPA / carry

Rush EPA / carry

Expected points added per designed run, and per run allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

-0.108#14

#7131.5

Rush yards / game

Rush yards / game

Rushing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

99.2#12

#94.61

Yards / carry

Yards / carry

Rushing yards per carry: the offense's own against what the defense gives up, blended into the projection.

Engine 4.07: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 4.36.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 4.07 · lg 4.36

4.10#16

#13.45

Yards before contact

Yards before contact

Yards before a defender touches the runner, per carry: the line-and-scheme share of the run game (PFR charting). Feeds each back's efficiency tilt.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

2.91#27

#458.7

O-line grade

O-line grade

A composite of the line's pass protection and run blocking, offense only.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

defense only

Box defenders

Box defenders

Average defenders the defense puts in the box on charted snaps (FTN). Ranked most to fewest with no good or bad: a heavy box crowds the run and dares the pass. Defense only; a look, not a grade.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

6.4#14

Run lanes · where MIA runs, against what DET allows there · 145 carries in 6 games, runs middle most

Left

4.7#12

34% of runs · 35% success

DET allows 4.3 #15 · 34% success

Middle

3.3#20

36% of runs · 42% success

DET allows 4.0 #22 · 43% success

Right

4.3#13

30% of runs · 34% success

DET allows 3.7 #11 · 34% success

MIA offenserank of 32DET defense

#23+0.003

Pass EPA / play

Pass EPA / play

Expected points added per dropback, and per dropback allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

+0.204#29

#30176.2

Pass yards / game

Pass yards / game

Passing yards per game, gained and allowed.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

313.5#32

#207.00

Yards / attempt

Yards / attempt

Passing yards per attempt, blended into the projection.

Engine 7.10: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 7.02.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 7.10 · lg 7.02

7.29#17

#3257.6%

Completion rate

Completion rate

Completions per attempt thrown, and per attempt faced.

Engine 61%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 64%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 61% · lg 64%

66.7%#27

#2877.1

Passer rating

Passer rating

The quarterback rating the offense posts against the one the defense allows.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

102.2#25

#257.4%

Sack rate

Sack rate

Sacks per dropback: taken by the offense, generated by the defense.

Engine 6.7%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 6.4%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 6.7% · lg 6.4%

6.8%#11

#512.5%

Pressure rate

Pressure rate

Sacks or quarterback hits per dropback, the play-by-play pressure proxy.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

17.4%#8

#262.6%

INT rate

INT rate

Interceptions per attempt: thrown by the offense, forced by the defense.

Engine 2.0%: the blended per-game value the projection used for this game; the league average is 2.2%.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

engine 2.0% · lg 2.2%

1.6%#20

#19-0.037

Blitz

Blitz

Offense: its EPA per dropback when the defense sends five or more rushers, higher is better. Defense: the share of its pass snaps it sends five or more, ranked most to least with no good or bad (FTN charting). Display only, not an engine input.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

28%#19

#512.1

Yards / catch

Yards / catch

Receiving yards per reception, offense only: where the ball goes once it is caught.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

offense only

#300.7

DPI yards / game

DPI yards / game

Pass-interference yards per game: drawn by the receivers, committed by the secondary.

Ranks run 1 to 32 on each side, best first: green is a top-10 unit, amber a bottom-10 one.

6.3#14

Starters on the field

The elevens, rated

Defenders colored by rating percentile within their position group (2026 wks 1-8 + ½·2025); the offense by production percentile among the position's starter pool. Linemen are unrated. Each defense is last game's snap leaders in a nickel base, minus this week's Out / Doubtful.

<2020–4040–6060–8080+thin sampleline

DET offense vs MIA defenseMIA eleven from their 2026 wk 7 snaps

MIA defense

DET offense

18J. Uche EDGE

78Z. Sieler DI

41Z. Biggers DI

71C. Robinson EDGE

54J. Brooks LB

31J. Rodriguez LB

64C. Johnson CB

88J. Brents CB

49J. Marshall NB

42M. Taaffe S

80D. Trader S

96A. St. Brown WR

7I. TeSlaa WR

88S. LaPorta TE

80J. Williams WR

94J. Goff QB

97J. Gibbs RB

LT

LG

C

RG

RT

MIA offense vs DET defenseDET eleven from their 2026 wk 7 snaps

DET defense

MIA offense

87A. Hutchinson EDGE

75A. McNeill DI

10T. Williams DI

25D. Wonnum EDGE

84D. Barnes LB

68J. Campbell LB

16R. McCreary CB

56D. Reed CB

90K. Abney NB

27C. Clark S

94B. Branch S

20M. Washington WR

3C. Bell WR

47G. Dulcich TE

78C. Douglas WR

6M. Willis QB

17O. Gordon II RB

LT

LG

C

RG

RT

Defender ratings: pass rushers on pressure, sack and TFL rate plus missed tackles; coverage players on targets drawn and yards allowed per snap plus missed tackles; linebackers add tackle and TFL rate. Each rate is shrunk toward the group average, z-scored within the group and weighted into one percentile.

Injury report

Who is listed

Everyone on the clubs' reports, the best-rated man first in his group: the designation, what is hurt, the practice line and the share of the snaps he took last game. Ratings are the same percentiles as the field above.

DET 0 listedMIA 0 listed

No club has filed a report for this game yet.