HuffalyticsGAME SCRIPTS // PROJECTIONS // GRADED
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NFL · 2026 season · final

NFL Week 1, 2026

The Huffalytics board for NFL week 1: every game with its line and total, the engine's model margin from opponent-adjusted EPA ratings, projected scores, and the single-game parlay plans' player prop calls graded against Kalshi. Below it, projected fantasy leaders, the player outlook and the week's streaming picks at kicker, defense, quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end.

16 games on the board · 16 played · slate 4–1
The slate
5 legs
Per leg87.3%
All together50.6%
Fair price-103
So far4–1
Projected leaders
QBJustin Herbert LAC · 19.6 (13.3)
RBJahmyr Gibbs DET · 23.7 (33.6)
WRZay Flowers BAL · 21.0 (26.0)
TEGreg Dulcich MIA · 16.7 (3.8)
Stream picks
KCameron Dicker vs ARI · 9.7
DEFJAX DST vs CLE · 9.4
QBMalik Willis @ LV · 18.8
RBJeremiyah Love @ LAC · 16.5
WRMalik Washington @ LV · 12.8
TEGreg Dulcich @ LV · 16.7
Week 1 games, lines and plan calls

The slate

ⓘ Legend
Line · O/U The closing spread from the favorite's side and the market total. Once played, the total shows the points and whether it went over or under. Shown for context: the engine prices player props, not sides.
Model The engine's own margin for the favorite, from its opponent-adjusted efficiency ratings entering the week. Green = the engine likes the favorite more than the line does; amber = it actually likes the dog.
Adj The model margin with the priced injury reports folded in. ↯ marks a game where the injuries flip the engine's side.
Proj · Score The projected score and the final, favorite first.
Overs · Unders The pre-game single-game parlay plan's player calls, split by side: hits–misses once the box score is in, call counts before. A void is a player who did not play.
Plan cushion Every call is read at three rungs of the player's Kalshi ladder. Normal is the line the plan called. Edge is the listed rung nearest halfway between that line and the ladder's last rung on the easy side. Edge+ is that last rung: the lowest N+ on an over, the highest <N on an under. The pills swap the Overs and Unders columns between them; the record beside each pill is the week's total at that cushion.
Report The post-game report's projection grade, shown once reports are written.
Sorting Click any column header to rank by it; click again to flip.
Game (favorite first) Kickoff Line O/U Model Adj Proj Score Report
▸LAC logoLACvsARI logoARI 2:25pm -8.5 47.5 40 under +3.6 +3.6 28–20 14–26 B 69
▸JAX logoJAXvsCLE logoCLE 11:00am -8.5 40.5 44 over +6.6 +6.6 24–16 34–10 C 62
▸DET logoDETvsNO logoNO 11:00am -7 49.5 61 over +3.9 +5.3 28–21 31–30 C 57
▸PIT logoPITvsATL logoATL⚠ QB ATL: Michael Penix Jr. Out 11:00am -6.5 40.5 33 under +1.9 +6.2 24–17 20–13 C 66
▸PHI logoPHIvsWAS logoWAS 2:25pm -6 43.5 46 over +3.7 +3.7 25–19 24–22 B 79
▸CIN logoCINvsTB logoTB 11:00am -3.5 50.5 60 over +1.0 +2.5 27–24 33–27 C 68
▸LA logoLAvsSF logoSF TNF -3.5 47.5 34 under +4.5 +4.5 26–22 7–27 C 60
▸DAL logoDAL@NYG logoNYG SNF -3 47.5 48 over -0.9 -0.7 25–22 20–28 C 56
▸LV logoLVvsMIA logoMIA 2:25pm -3 40.5 40 under +0.9 +0.9 22–19 27–13 C 62
▸BAL logoBAL@IND logoIND 11:00am -3 48.5 64 over -2.6 -2.8 26–23 41–23 D 54
▸CHI logoCHI@CAR logoCAR 11:00am -3 47.5 96 over -0.8 -1.1 25–22 59–37 D 48
▸SEA logoSEAvsNE logoNE Wed 6:20pm -3 44.5 23 under +3.7 +4.9 24–21 13–10 C 59
▸KC logoKCvsDEN logoDEN MNF -2.5 42.5 41 under -0.4 -0.4 22–20 31–10 D 48
▸MIN logoMINvsGB logoGB 2:25pm -1.5 46.5 61 over -0.8 -0.8 24–22 39–22 F 38
▸TEN logoTENvsNYJ logoNYJ 11:00am -1.5 39.5 33 under +2.0 +2.8 20–19 10–23 C 59
▸BUF logoBUF@HOU logoHOU 11:00am -1.5 44.5 67 over -1.7 -2.1 23–22 36–31 D 52
Fantasy projections

Projected leaders, week 1

Expected PPR points from the projected box scores; DEF = fewest projected points allowed. The actual sits in parentheses: green beat the projection, red fell short (defenses the other way round).
#QBProj (act)
1Justin HerbertJ. Herbert LAC19.6 (13.3)
2Malik WillisM. Willis MIA18.8 (16.7)
3Baker MayfieldB. Mayfield TB18.1 (11.6)
4Trevor LawrenceT. Lawrence JAX17.5 (26.1)
5Bryce YoungB. Young CAR17.3 (31.4)
6Joe BurrowJ. Burrow CIN17.2 (14.2)
7Drake MayeD. Maye NE17.1 (9.8)
8Tyler ShoughT. Shough NO16.8 (23.2)
9Brock PurdyB. Purdy SF16.6 (21.1)
10Josh AllenJ. Allen BUF16.6 (35.7)
#RBProj (act)
1Jahmyr GibbsJ. Gibbs DET23.7 (33.6)
2Bijan RobinsonB. Robinson ATL19.6 (31.3)
3Jonathan TaylorJ. Taylor IND16.7 (25.1)
4Jeremiyah LoveJ. LoveQ ARI16.5 (13.0)
5Ashton JeantyA. JeantyFP LV16.3 (32.7)
6Christian McCaffreyC. McCaffrey SF15.5 (13.8)
7Kenny GainwellK. Gainwell TB15.2 (2.8)
8Derrick HenryD. Henry BAL15.2 (35.3)
9Chase BrownC. Brown CIN15.1 (18.8)
10Rhamondre StevensonR. Stevenson NE14.8 (14.5)
#WRProj (act)
1Zay FlowersZ. FlowersFP BAL21.0 (26.0)
2Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJ. Smith-Njigba SEA19.8 (26.2)
3Puka NacuaP. Nacua LA19.6 (12.4)
4Ja'Marr ChaseJ. ChaseDNP CIN19.2 (3.2)
5A.J. BrownA.J. Brown NE17.3 (5.6)
6Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson MIN15.8 (31.2)
7Amon-Ra St. BrownA. St. Brown DET15.8 (28.7)
8Rashee RiceR. RiceFP KC15.7 (9.9)
9Chris OlaveC. Olave NO14.1 (28.2)
10Christian WatsonC. Watson GB13.8 (32.7)
#TEProj (act)
1Greg DulcichG. Dulcich MIA16.7 (3.8)
2Trey McBrideT. McBride ARI12.7 (24.5)
3Cade OttonC. Otton TB12.3 (5.6)
4George KittleG. KittleLP SF12.1 (3.2)
5Colston LovelandC. Loveland CHI11.9 (0.0)
6Tucker KraftT. Kraft GB11.8 (9.5)
7Kyle PittsK. Pitts ATL11.8 (0.0)
8Travis KelceT. Kelce KC11.7 (10.1)
9Tyler WarrenT. Warren IND10.5 (10.3)
10Harold Fannin Jr.H. Fannin Jr. CLE9.7 (4.1)
#DEFProj allowed (act)
1JAXJAX 16.0 (10)
2PITPIT 17.0 (13)
3PHIPHI 18.8 (22)
4LVLV 18.8 (13)
5TENTEN 19.0 (23)
6LACLAC 19.5 (26)
7KCKC 20.0 (10)
8NYJNYJ 20.5 (10)
9SEASEA 20.8 (10)
10DETDET 21.2 (30)
Rest-of-season outlook

Player outlook: offense and remaining schedule

The player's offense (pass side for QB, WR and TE, run side for RB) blended with how soft the defenses left on their slate are. 50 is league average; high = strong offense with an easy road. Team data full 2025 season, schedule = remaining weeks 1–18. Each team shows its lead player; the arrow opens the rest. Green/amber = top/bottom 10 teams on team columns; top/bottom 25 players on RB and WR stats, 10 on QB and TE. Click a column to rank by it.
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Pass EPASched EPAGms LeftPass Y/GComp%Pass RtgPass TDINTRush Y/GPPR/G
1Jalen HurtsJ. Hurts PHI1663.1+0.034+0.077+0.10617201.564.8%98.525626.318.8
↳Tanner McKeeT. McKee PHI463.1+0.034+0.077+0.1061768.555.8%73.2112.03.4
2Matthew StaffordM. Stafford LA1761.0+0.149+0.235+0.08017276.965.0%109.24680.120.6
3Dak PrescottD. Prescott DAL1758.5+0.122+0.189+0.07717267.867.3%99.5301010.418.5
4Jared GoffJ. Goff DET1757.9+0.062+0.157+0.07917268.568.0%105.53482.617.5
5Michael Penix Jr.M. Penix Jr.O ATL957.2+0.029+0.087+0.08617220.260.1%88.5937.813.4
↳Tua TagovailoaT. TagovailoaO ATL1457.2+0.029+0.087+0.08617190.067.7%88.520153.111.5
↳Cooper RushC. Rush ATL457.2+0.029+0.087+0.0861775.865.4%48.804-1.00.4
6Sam DarnoldS. Darnold SEA1756.5+0.041+0.116+0.08017238.167.7%99.125145.613.8
7C.J. StroudC.J. Stroud HOU1455.8-0.031+0.057+0.08517217.264.5%92.919814.914.9
↳Davis MillsD. Mills HOU655.8-0.031+0.057+0.08517152.557.2%81.65110.011.4
8Drake MayeD. Maye NE1755.1+0.151+0.280+0.05517258.572.0%113.531826.520.7
9Jordan LoveJ. Love GB1555.0+0.162+0.332+0.04817225.466.3%101.223613.315.7
↳Tyrod TaylorT. Taylor GB655.0+0.162+0.332+0.04817129.859.7%72.95523.89.9
10Trevor LawrenceT. Lawrence JAX1754.6+0.052+0.089+0.07717235.760.9%91.0291221.119.9
↳Quinn EwersQ. Ewers JAX454.6+0.052+0.089+0.07717155.566.3%85.5334.88.3
11Jaxson DartJ. Dart NYG1454.4+0.031+0.100+0.07517162.363.7%91.715534.817.3
↳Jameis WinstonJ. Winston NYG354.4+0.031+0.100+0.07517189.056.1%82.1227.714.4
↳J.J. McCarthyJ.J. McCarthy NYG1054.4+0.031+0.100+0.07517163.257.6%72.6111218.112.5
12Josh AllenJ. Allen BUF1654.4+0.130+0.192+0.06417229.269.3%102.2251036.222.8
↳Shane BuecheleS. Buechele BUF154.4+0.130+0.192+0.0641788.050.0%69.9004.03.9
13Daniel JonesD. Jones IND1352.7+0.056+0.094+0.07017238.568.0%100.219812.617.4
↳Riley LeonardR. Leonard IND552.7+0.056+0.094+0.0701783.058.2%67.7235.46.2
14Kyler MurrayK. Murray MIN551.9-0.099-0.117+0.09417192.468.3%88.66334.615.6
↳Carson WentzC. Wentz MIN551.9-0.099-0.117+0.09417243.265.1%85.86511.414.1
↳Max BrosmerM. Brosmer MIN751.9-0.099-0.117+0.0941746.966.2%53.0041.60.6
15Jayden DanielsJ. Daniels WAS751.1-0.000+0.059+0.07017180.360.6%88.18339.716.3
↳Marcus MariotaM. MariotaFP WAS1051.1-0.000+0.059+0.07017169.561.2%86.110729.712.6
16Jacoby BrissettJ. Brissett ARI1450.3+0.003+0.083+0.06417240.464.9%94.123812.016.2
17Brock PurdyB. Purdy SF948.7+0.099+0.173+0.04817240.869.4%100.5201016.319.7
↳Mac JonesM. Jones SF1148.7+0.099+0.173+0.04817195.569.6%97.41365.511.8
18Bo NixB. Nix DEN1748.1+0.047+0.098+0.05517231.263.4%87.8251120.917.9
19Justin HerbertJ. Herbert LAC1647.8+0.018+0.060+0.05917232.966.4%94.1261331.117.9
↳Jake BrowningJ. Browning LAC547.8+0.018+0.060+0.05917154.264.8%71.1687.89.7
↳Trey LanceT. Lance LAC447.8+0.018+0.060+0.0591756.547.4%50.80121.23.4
20Shedeur SandersS. Sanders CLE847.8-0.173-0.196+0.09117175.056.6%68.171021.110.6
↳Dillon GabrielD. Gabriel CLE1047.8-0.173-0.196+0.0911793.759.5%80.8728.67.0
21Brady CookB. Cook MIA547.8-0.002+0.003+0.06617147.857.5%55.4279.85.7
22Joe BurrowJ. Burrow CIN847.2+0.012-0.017+0.06717226.166.8%100.71755.116.8
↳Joe FlaccoJ. Flacco CIN1347.2+0.012-0.017+0.06717190.760.3%79.215102.711.3
↳Josh JohnsonJ. Johnson CIN347.2+0.012-0.017+0.06717124.063.0%74.01218.38.1
23Baker MayfieldB. Mayfield TB1747.0+0.023+0.078+0.05417217.263.2%90.6261122.516.0
24Lamar JacksonL. Jackson BAL1346.9+0.048+0.064+0.05617196.163.6%103.821726.816.5
↳Tyler HuntleyT. Huntley BAL546.9+0.048+0.064+0.0561785.277.6%103.12030.28.0
25Caleb WilliamsC. Williams CHI1745.9+0.095+0.140+0.04317231.958.1%90.127722.818.7
26Tyler ShoughT. Shough NO1145.7-0.076-0.045+0.06517216.767.6%91.310616.914.4
↳Spencer RattlerS. Rattler NO945.7-0.076-0.045+0.06517176.267.7%86.58518.611.0
27Patrick MahomesP. MahomesFP KC1445.4+0.026+0.057+0.05217256.262.7%89.6221130.120.4
↳Justin FieldsJ. Fields KC945.4+0.026+0.057+0.05217139.962.7%89.57142.615.9
↳Chris OladokunC. Oladokun KC345.4+0.026+0.057+0.0521778.363.6%79.0106.03.7
28Aaron RodgersA. Rodgers PIT1644.8+0.043+0.046+0.05117207.665.7%94.82473.814.2
↳Mason RudolphM. Rudolph PIT544.8+0.043+0.046+0.0511762.073.1%84.6221.23.0
29Cam WardC. Ward TEN1740.6-0.167-0.153+0.06317186.459.8%80.21579.411.0
30Bryce YoungB. Young CAR1637.7-0.055-0.038+0.03917188.263.6%87.8231113.513.6
31Kirk CousinsK. Cousins LV1035.3-0.218-0.201+0.05217172.161.7%84.81050.710.4
↳Aidan O'ConnellA. O'Connell LV135.3-0.218-0.201+0.05217102.045.5%59.3007.04.8
32Geno SmithG. Smith NYJ1533.9-0.165-0.189+0.04617201.767.4%84.719177.311.6
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Rush EPASched EPAGms LeftRush Y/GYds/AttYBC/AttRush TDTgt/GRec Y/GPPR/G
1Derrick HenryD. Henry BAL1762.1+0.048+0.029-0.0401793.85.202.94161.28.816.4
2De'Von AchaneD. Achane MIA1661.4-0.002-0.008-0.0351784.45.672.6585.330.520.2
↳Jaylen WrightJ. Wright MIA961.4-0.002-0.008-0.0351732.04.111.6021.04.95.4
3Saquon BarkleyS. Barkley PHI1658.8+0.034-0.033-0.0381771.24.072.5373.117.114.5
↳Jaydon BlueJ. Blue PHI558.8+0.034-0.033-0.0381725.83.392.2410.21.04.1
4Chris Rodriguez Jr.C. Rodriguez Jr. JAX1256.5+0.052-0.005-0.0491741.74.461.4960.32.57.7
↳Bhayshul TutenB. Tuten JAX1556.5+0.052-0.005-0.0491720.53.701.6550.95.35.9
5Aaron JonesA. Jones MIN1255.0-0.099-0.070-0.0411745.74.152.3823.416.69.9
↳Jordan MasonJ. Mason MIN1655.0-0.099-0.070-0.0411747.44.772.3561.03.28.1
6Chase BrownC. Brown CIN1754.8+0.012+0.067-0.0681759.94.392.4265.225.716.6
↳Samaje PerineS. Perine CIN1554.8+0.012+0.067-0.0681725.54.552.5631.45.85.2
7Jahmyr GibbsJ. Gibbs DET1753.5+0.062-0.087-0.0421771.95.033.47135.536.221.6
↳Isiah PachecoI. Pacheco DET1353.5+0.062-0.087-0.0421735.53.922.3112.07.86.7
8Jonathan TaylorJ. Taylor IND1753.3+0.056-0.005-0.0581793.24.912.56183.222.221.3
↳DJ GiddensD. Giddens IND553.3+0.056-0.005-0.0581719.23.691.8500.40.01.9
9James CookJ. Cook BUF1753.1+0.130+0.045-0.0681795.45.253.03122.417.117.8
10Travis EtienneT. Etienne NO1753.0-0.076-0.130-0.0351765.14.262.1673.117.214.9
↳Alvin KamaraA. KamaraQ NO1153.0-0.076-0.130-0.0351742.83.602.1513.516.99.2
↳Kendre MillerK. Miller NO753.0-0.076-0.130-0.0351727.64.111.5310.74.34.8
↳Ty ChandlerT. Chandler NO353.0-0.076-0.130-0.0351715.72.760.9401.33.72.9
11Bucky IrvingB. Irving TB1053.0+0.023-0.059-0.0491758.83.401.7613.527.713.8
↳Kenny GainwellK. Gainwell TB1753.0+0.023-0.059-0.0491731.64.712.6355.028.613.0
↳Sean TuckerS. TuckerD TB1753.0+0.023-0.059-0.0491718.83.722.7670.62.05.4
12Jaylen WarrenJ. Warren PIT1652.8+0.043+0.038-0.0681759.94.542.1862.820.813.6
↳Rico DowdleR. Dowdle PIT1752.8+0.043+0.038-0.0681763.34.562.5362.917.512.7
13D'Andre SwiftD. Swift CHI1652.0+0.095+0.027-0.0681767.94.873.2193.018.714.3
↳Kyle MonangaiK. Monangai CHI1752.0+0.095+0.027-0.0681746.14.632.9951.89.68.6
14Zach CharbonnetZ. Charbonnet SEA1651.9+0.041-0.060-0.0521745.63.972.14121.59.011.3
↳Emanuel WilsonE. WilsonFP SEA1751.9+0.041-0.060-0.0521729.23.971.8031.05.85.6
↳Jacardia WrightJ. Wright SEA151.9+0.041-0.060-0.0521720.04.002.4000.00.02.0
15Josh JacobsJ. Jacobs GB1551.8+0.162-0.078-0.0481761.93.972.15132.918.815.8
16Javonte WilliamsJ. Williams DAL1651.7+0.122+0.007-0.0651775.14.772.38113.28.615.2
↳Emari DemercadoE. Demercado DAL1251.7+0.122+0.007-0.0651726.07.094.4101.78.44.9
↳Malik DavisM. DavisO DAL1051.7+0.122+0.007-0.0651725.04.812.9620.51.64.1
17Rhamondre StevensonR. Stevenson NE1451.1+0.151-0.069-0.0521743.14.641.8772.624.612.8
↳TreVeyon HendersonT. HendersonO NE1751.1+0.151-0.069-0.0521753.65.063.0592.513.012.1
18Kyren WilliamsK. Williams LA1750.3+0.149-0.006-0.0661773.64.832.85102.916.515.5
↳Blake CorumB. Corum LA1750.3+0.149-0.006-0.0661743.95.143.5160.82.17.2
19Bijan RobinsonB. Robinson ATL1750.1+0.029-0.051-0.0581786.95.152.8376.148.221.8
↳Brian RobinsonB. Robinson ATL1750.1+0.029-0.051-0.0581723.54.352.5820.71.53.7
20Breece HallB. HallFP NYJ1649.9-0.165-0.135-0.0431766.64.382.5443.021.913.0
↳Braelon AllenB. Allen NYJ449.9-0.165-0.135-0.0431719.04.222.3910.84.23.8
21David MontgomeryD. Montgomery HOU1749.8-0.031-0.170-0.0361742.14.532.4281.711.39.8
↳Woody MarksW. Marks HOU1649.8-0.031-0.170-0.0361743.93.591.8222.213.09.1
↳Jawhar JordanJ. Jordan HOU449.8-0.031-0.170-0.0361748.24.492.4001.88.57.4
22Kenneth Walker IIIK. Walker III KC1749.0+0.026-0.041-0.0631760.44.652.8152.116.611.3
23Rachaad WhiteR. White WAS1748.1-0.000-0.091-0.0561733.64.332.8342.612.88.4
↳Jacory Croskey-MerrittJ. Croskey-MerrittLP WAS1748.1-0.000-0.091-0.0561747.44.602.5380.84.08.3
↳Devin NealD. Neal WAS948.1-0.000-0.091-0.0561722.93.611.6822.111.66.7
↳Austin EkelerA. Ekeler WAS248.1-0.000-0.091-0.0561721.53.071.6403.519.06.5
24Christian McCaffreyC. McCaffrey SF1747.1+0.099-0.016-0.0731770.73.862.34107.654.424.5
25Quinshon JudkinsQ. Judkins CLE1447.1-0.173-0.139-0.0501759.13.601.4072.612.212.1
↳Audric EstiméA. EstiméO CLE547.1-0.173-0.139-0.0501739.64.302.1712.620.69.6
↳Dylan SampsonD. Sampson CLE1547.1-0.173-0.139-0.0501711.72.691.1502.718.15.8
↳Raheim SandersR. Sanders CLE447.1-0.173-0.139-0.0501723.03.411.1911.05.25.1
↳Jaret PattersonJ. Patterson CLE647.1-0.173-0.139-0.0501726.53.881.5910.71.34.3
26RJ HarveyR. Harvey DEN1746.8+0.047-0.045-0.0691731.83.701.9073.420.912.2
↳J.K. DobbinsJ.K. Dobbins DEN1046.8+0.047-0.045-0.0691777.25.052.6041.43.711.6
27Cam SkatteboC. Skattebo NYG845.0+0.031-0.066-0.0691751.24.062.1654.025.916.0
↳Phil MafahP. Mafah NYG145.0+0.031-0.066-0.0691718.03.602.2012.011.010.9
↳Tyrone Tracy Jr.T. Tracy Jr. NYG1545.0+0.031-0.066-0.0691749.34.202.4923.219.210.7
↳Devin SingletaryD. Singletary NYG1745.0+0.031-0.066-0.0691725.73.671.8451.18.96.4
↳Najee HarrisN. Harris NYG345.0+0.031-0.066-0.0691720.34.072.2001.08.33.9
28Tony PollardT. Pollard TEN1743.4-0.167-0.189-0.0501763.64.472.6452.412.110.9
↳Tyjae SpearsT. Spears TEN1343.4-0.167-0.189-0.0501721.83.932.5823.820.38.6
↳Michael CarterM. Carter TEN1343.4-0.167-0.189-0.0501725.63.622.2713.520.57.6
29Chuba HubbardC. Hubbard CAR1541.0-0.055-0.078-0.0781734.13.812.0112.614.98.4
30Omarion HamptonO. Hampton LAC940.4+0.018-0.064-0.0831760.64.402.8643.921.315.1
↳Kimani VidalK. Vidal LAC1340.4+0.018-0.064-0.0831749.54.151.7831.710.59.1
↳Keaton MitchellK. MitchellFP LAC1340.4+0.018-0.064-0.0831726.25.783.6110.94.84.3
31James ConnerJ. Conner ARI335.8+0.003-0.167-0.0751731.72.971.2213.012.711.1
↳Trey BensonT. Benson ARI435.8+0.003-0.167-0.0751740.05.523.0304.016.08.8
↳Bam KnightB. Knight ARI1235.8+0.003-0.167-0.0751722.43.281.6542.613.37.7
↳Tyler AllgeierT. Allgeier ARI1735.8+0.003-0.167-0.0751730.23.591.9980.95.67.2
32Ashton JeantyA. JeantyFP LV1730.2-0.218-0.247-0.0761757.43.671.5854.320.414.4
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Pass EPASched EPAGms LeftTgt/GRec/GRec Y/GYds/RecRec TDPPR/G
1DeVonta SmithD. Smith PHI1763.1+0.034+0.077+0.106176.64.559.313.1411.9
↳Marquise BrownM. Brown PHI1663.1+0.034+0.077+0.106174.63.136.712.058.6
↳Dontayvion WicksD. Wicks PHI1363.1+0.034+0.077+0.106173.52.325.511.125.8
↳Samori ToureS. Toure PHI163.1+0.034+0.077+0.106173.01.03.03.001.3
2Puka NacuaP. Nacua LA1661.0+0.149+0.235+0.0801710.48.1107.213.31023.4
↳Davante AdamsD. Adams LA1461.0+0.149+0.235+0.080178.14.356.413.21415.9
3George PickensG. Pickens DAL1758.5+0.122+0.189+0.077178.15.584.115.4917.2
↳CeeDee LambC. Lamb DAL1358.5+0.122+0.189+0.077179.05.882.814.4315.5
↳Ryan FlournoyR. Flournoy DAL1558.5+0.122+0.189+0.077173.72.731.711.947.6
4Amon-Ra St. BrownA. St. Brown DET1757.9+0.062+0.157+0.0791710.16.982.412.01119.1
↳Jameson WilliamsJ. Williams DET1757.9+0.062+0.157+0.079176.03.865.717.2712.9
5Drake LondonD. London ATL1257.2+0.029+0.087+0.086179.35.776.613.5716.8
↳Olamide ZaccheausO. Zaccheaus ATL1457.2+0.029+0.087+0.086174.62.822.48.026.1
6Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJ. Smith-Njigba SEA1756.5+0.041+0.116+0.080179.67.0105.515.11021.2
↳Rashid ShaheedR. Shaheed SEA1856.5+0.041+0.116+0.080175.13.338.211.628.7
↳Cooper KuppC. Kupp SEA1656.5+0.041+0.116+0.080174.42.937.112.627.3
7Nico CollinsN. Collins HOU1555.8-0.031+0.057+0.085178.04.774.515.7615.1
↳Marvin Harrison Jr.M. Harrison Jr. HOU1255.8-0.031+0.057+0.085176.13.450.714.8410.7
↳Kayshon BoutteK. Boutte HOU1455.8-0.031+0.057+0.085173.32.439.416.768.9
↳Jayden HigginsJ. Higgins HOU1755.8-0.031+0.057+0.085174.02.430.912.867.6
↳Xavier HutchinsonX. Hutchinson HOU1655.8-0.031+0.057+0.085173.62.226.812.236.1
8A.J. BrownA.J. Brown NE1555.1+0.151+0.280+0.055178.15.266.912.9714.7
↳Romeo DoubsR. Doubs NE1655.1+0.151+0.280+0.055175.33.445.213.2610.3
↳Mack HollinsM. Hollins NE1455.1+0.151+0.280+0.055174.63.339.312.028.1
9Christian WatsonC. Watson GB1055.0+0.162+0.332+0.048175.53.561.117.5613.2
↳Jayden ReedJ. Reed GB555.0+0.162+0.332+0.048174.43.841.410.919.7
↳Matthew GoldenM. Golden GB1455.0+0.162+0.332+0.048173.12.125.812.405.0
10Parker WashingtonP. Washington JAX1654.6+0.052+0.089+0.077175.93.652.914.6511.5
↳Jakobi MeyersJ. MeyersLP JAX1654.6+0.052+0.089+0.077176.94.752.211.1311.0
↳Brian Thomas Jr.B. Thomas Jr. JAX1454.6+0.052+0.089+0.077176.53.450.514.729.9
↳Travis HunterT. Hunter JAX754.6+0.052+0.089+0.077176.44.042.610.619.1
11Malik NabersM. NabersQ NYG454.4+0.031+0.100+0.075178.84.567.815.1214.3
↳Calvin Austin IIIC. Austin III NYG1454.4+0.031+0.100+0.075173.92.226.612.036.2
↳Darnell MooneyD. Mooney NYG1554.4+0.031+0.100+0.075174.82.129.513.815.5
12Khalil ShakirK. Shakir BUF1654.4+0.130+0.192+0.064175.94.544.910.0410.4
↳DJ MooreD. Moore BUF1754.4+0.130+0.192+0.064175.02.940.113.6610.1
↳Keon ColemanK. Coleman BUF1254.4+0.130+0.192+0.064174.93.233.710.648.5
↳Josh PalmerJ. Palmer BUF1254.4+0.130+0.192+0.064173.11.825.213.804.4
13Alec PierceA. PierceLP IND1552.7+0.056+0.094+0.070175.63.166.921.3612.2
↳Keenan AllenK. Allen IND1752.7+0.056+0.094+0.070177.24.845.79.6410.7
↳Josh DownsJ. Downs IND1652.7+0.056+0.094+0.070175.53.635.49.848.7
↳Darius SlaytonD. Slayton IND1452.7+0.056+0.094+0.070174.52.638.414.517.1
14Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson MIN1751.9-0.099-0.117+0.094178.34.961.612.5211.9
↳Jauan JenningsJ. Jennings MIN1551.9-0.099-0.117+0.094176.03.742.911.7911.6
↳Jordan AddisonJ. Addison MIN1451.9-0.099-0.117+0.094175.63.043.614.539.7
15Stefon DiggsS. Diggs WAS1751.1-0.000+0.059+0.070176.05.059.611.9412.4
↳Terry McLaurinT. McLaurin WAS1051.1-0.000+0.059+0.070176.03.858.215.3311.4
↳Van JeffersonV. Jefferson WAS1451.1-0.000+0.059+0.070173.72.125.012.115.0
↳Dyami BrownD. Brown WAS1151.1-0.000+0.059+0.070173.41.820.611.314.5
16Michael WilsonM. Wilson ARI1750.3+0.003+0.083+0.064177.44.659.212.9713.0
↳Kendrick BourneK. Bourne ARI1450.3+0.003+0.083+0.064173.82.639.414.906.6
17Deebo Samuel Sr.D. Samuel Sr. SF1648.7+0.099+0.173+0.048176.24.545.410.1511.8
↳Mike EvansM. Evans SF848.7+0.099+0.173+0.048177.83.846.012.3310.6
↳Ricky PearsallR. Pearsall SF948.7+0.099+0.173+0.048175.94.058.714.709.8
↳Christian KirkC. Kirk SF1148.7+0.099+0.173+0.048174.72.521.78.515.3
18Courtland SuttonC. Sutton DEN1748.1+0.047+0.098+0.055177.34.459.813.7712.9
↳Jaylen WaddleJ. Waddle DEN1648.1+0.047+0.098+0.055176.24.056.914.2612.1
↳Troy FranklinT. Franklin DEN1748.1+0.047+0.098+0.055176.13.841.710.9610.4
↳Marvin Mims Jr.M. Mims Jr.FP DEN1548.1+0.047+0.098+0.055173.42.521.58.716.3
↳Pat BryantP. Bryant DEN1348.1+0.047+0.098+0.055173.82.429.112.215.8
19Quentin JohnstonQ. Johnston LAC1347.8+0.018+0.060+0.059176.53.956.514.4813.2
↳Ladd McConkeyL. McConkey LAC1647.8+0.018+0.060+0.059176.64.149.312.0611.3
↳Theo Wease Jr.T. Wease Jr. LAC347.8+0.018+0.060+0.059173.32.046.323.218.6
↳Marquez Valdes-ScantlingM. Valdes-Scantling LAC947.8+0.018+0.060+0.059173.21.613.38.613.6
20Jerry JeudyJ. Jeudy CLE1747.8-0.173-0.196+0.091176.22.935.412.027.1
21Malik WashingtonM. Washington MIA1747.8-0.002+0.003+0.066173.82.718.66.936.9
22Ja'Marr ChaseJ. ChaseDNP CIN1647.2+0.012-0.017+0.0671711.67.888.211.3819.6
↳Tee HigginsT. HigginsFP CIN1547.2+0.012-0.017+0.067176.53.956.414.31114.1
↳Andrei IosivasA. Iosivas CIN1547.2+0.012-0.017+0.067173.92.229.013.226.0
↳Mitchell TinsleyM. Tinsley CIN847.2+0.012-0.017+0.067173.01.014.514.524.0
23Emeka EgbukaE. EgbukaFP TB1747.0+0.023+0.078+0.054177.53.755.214.9611.5
↳Chris Godwin Jr.C. Godwin Jr. TB947.0+0.023+0.078+0.054175.73.740.010.929.2
↳Jalen McMillanJ. McMillanD TB447.0+0.023+0.078+0.054173.83.044.514.807.5
↳David SillsD. Sills TB1247.0+0.023+0.078+0.054173.01.515.910.624.1
24Zay FlowersZ. FlowersFP BAL1746.9+0.048+0.064+0.056176.95.171.214.1514.3
25Rome OdunzeR. OdunzeQ CHI1245.9+0.095+0.140+0.043177.53.755.115.0612.2
↳Luther Burden IIIL. Burden III CHI1545.9+0.095+0.140+0.043174.03.143.513.928.5
26Chris OlaveC. Olave NO1645.7-0.076-0.045+0.065179.86.272.711.6916.8
↳Devaughn VeleD. Vele NO945.7-0.076-0.045+0.065174.32.832.611.727.4
↳Kevin Austin Jr.K. Austin Jr. NO545.7-0.076-0.045+0.065174.62.628.010.816.6
↳Cedric TillmanC. Tillman NO1245.7-0.076-0.045+0.065173.21.822.512.925.0
27Rashee RiceR. RiceFP KC845.4+0.026+0.057+0.052179.86.671.410.8518.8
↳Xavier WorthyX. WorthyFP KC1445.4+0.026+0.057+0.052175.23.038.012.717.8
↳Tyquan ThorntonT. Thornton KC1245.4+0.026+0.057+0.052173.11.636.523.136.7
28DK MetcalfD. Metcalf PIT1544.8+0.043+0.046+0.051176.63.956.714.4612.5
↳Michael PittmanM. Pittman PIT1744.8+0.043+0.046+0.051176.54.746.19.8711.9
↳Isaiah HodginsI. Hodgins PIT644.8+0.043+0.046+0.051173.21.719.211.514.6
29Wan'Dale RobinsonW. Robinson TEN1640.6-0.167-0.153+0.063178.85.863.411.0413.6
↳Chimere DikeC. Dike TEN1740.6-0.167-0.153+0.063174.42.824.98.847.5
↳Elic AyomanorE. Ayomanor TEN1640.6-0.167-0.153+0.063175.62.632.212.647.3
↳Calvin RidleyC. Ridley TEN740.6-0.167-0.153+0.063175.12.443.317.806.8
↳Xavier RestrepoX. Restrepo TEN240.6-0.167-0.153+0.063173.51.520.513.703.5
30Tetairoa McMillanT. McMillan CAR1737.7-0.055-0.038+0.039177.24.159.614.5712.6
↳Jalen CokerJ. Coker CAR1137.7-0.055-0.038+0.039173.93.035.811.938.2
↳Xavier LegetteX. Legette CAR1537.7-0.055-0.038+0.039174.32.324.210.436.0
↳John Metchie IIIJ. Metchie III CAR1337.7-0.055-0.038+0.039173.72.521.18.325.5
31Tre TuckerT. Tucker LV1735.3-0.218-0.201+0.052175.43.440.912.259.5
↳Jalen NailorJ. Nailor LV1735.3-0.218-0.201+0.052173.11.726.115.345.9
32Garrett WilsonG. Wilson NYJ733.9-0.165-0.189+0.046178.45.156.411.0414.2
↳Sterling ShepardS. Shepard NYJ1333.9-0.165-0.189+0.046174.13.028.59.516.3
↳Adonai MitchellA. Mitchell NYJ1633.9-0.165-0.189+0.046174.62.128.313.725.5
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Pass EPASched EPAGms LeftTgt/GRec/GRec Y/GYds/RecRec TDPPR/G
1Dallas GoedertD. Goedert PHI1563.1+0.034+0.077+0.106175.54.039.49.81112.3
↳Zach ErtzZ. Ertz PHI1363.1+0.034+0.077+0.106175.53.838.810.149.7
2Colby ParkinsonC. Parkinson LA1461.0+0.149+0.235+0.080174.03.129.19.589.3
↳Tyler HigbeeT. HigbeeFP LA1061.0+0.149+0.235+0.080173.62.528.111.237.1
↳Terrance FergusonT. Ferguson LA1161.0+0.149+0.235+0.080172.31.021.021.034.7
↳Davis AllenD. Allen LA1561.0+0.149+0.235+0.080172.21.613.98.734.2
3Jake FergusonJ. Ferguson DAL1758.5+0.122+0.189+0.077176.04.835.37.3811.1
4Sam LaPortaS. LaPorta DET957.9+0.062+0.157+0.079175.44.454.312.2311.9
↳Brock WrightB. Wright DET857.9+0.062+0.157+0.079172.81.813.57.724.6
5Kyle PittsK. Pitts ATL1757.2+0.029+0.087+0.086176.95.254.610.5512.4
↳Austin HooperA. Hooper ATL1357.2+0.029+0.087+0.086172.01.620.212.524.6
6AJ BarnerA. BarnerFP SEA1756.5+0.041+0.116+0.080174.03.130.510.068.7
↳Elijah ArroyoE. Arroyo SEA1356.5+0.041+0.116+0.080172.01.213.811.912.8
7Dalton SchultzD. Schultz HOU1755.8-0.031+0.057+0.085176.24.845.79.5310.5
↳Cade StoverC. Stover HOU655.8-0.031+0.057+0.085172.72.012.76.303.3
8Hunter HenryH. Henry NE1755.1+0.151+0.280+0.055175.13.545.212.8710.5
↳Shane ZylstraS. Zylstra NE155.1+0.151+0.280+0.055175.03.020.06.705.0
9Tucker KraftT. Kraft GB855.0+0.162+0.332+0.048175.54.061.115.3614.7
↳Jonnu SmithJ. Smith GB1755.0+0.162+0.332+0.048173.22.213.15.825.0
↳Luke MusgraveL. Musgrave GB1355.0+0.162+0.332+0.048172.41.819.410.503.8
↳Drake DabneyD. Dabney GB155.0+0.162+0.332+0.048172.01.03.03.001.3
10Brenton StrangeB. Strange JAX1254.6+0.052+0.089+0.077175.03.845.011.739.8
11Theo JohnsonT. JohnsonFP NYG1554.4+0.031+0.100+0.075174.93.035.211.758.5
↳Isaiah LikelyI. Likely NYG1254.4+0.031+0.100+0.075173.02.225.611.415.1
12Dalton KincaidD. Kincaid BUF1254.4+0.130+0.192+0.064174.13.247.614.6510.5
↳Dawson KnoxD. Knox BUF1654.4+0.130+0.192+0.064173.12.226.111.646.5
13Tyler WarrenT. Warren IND1752.7+0.056+0.094+0.070176.64.548.110.8411.1
14T.J. HockensonT.J. Hockenson MIN1551.9-0.099-0.117+0.094174.43.429.28.637.5
15Chig OkonkwoC. Okonkwo WAS1751.1-0.000+0.059+0.070174.63.332.910.027.3
16Trey McBrideT. McBride ARI1750.3+0.003+0.083+0.064179.97.472.99.81118.6
↳Hunter LongH. Long ARI750.3+0.003+0.083+0.064172.41.712.17.124.6
↳Elijah HigginsE. Higgins ARI1750.3+0.003+0.083+0.064172.21.817.710.003.4
17George KittleG. KittleLP SF1148.7+0.099+0.173+0.048176.35.257.111.0714.7
↳Jake TongesJ. Tonges SF1048.7+0.099+0.173+0.048174.63.429.38.659.3
18Evan EngramE. Engram DEN1648.1+0.047+0.098+0.055174.83.128.89.216.4
↳Lucas KrullL. Krull DEN248.1+0.047+0.098+0.055172.01.07.57.501.8
19Oronde Gadsden IIO. Gadsden II LAC1547.8+0.018+0.060+0.059174.63.344.313.638.8
↳David NjokuD. Njoku LAC1147.8+0.018+0.060+0.059174.43.026.68.947.8
20Harold Fannin Jr.H. Fannin Jr. CLE1647.8-0.173-0.196+0.091176.74.545.710.2611.7
21Greg DulcichG. Dulcich MIA947.8-0.002+0.003+0.066173.72.937.212.917.0
↳Ben SimsB. Sims MIA347.8-0.002+0.003+0.066172.01.010.010.002.0
22Mike GesickiM. Gesicki CIN1247.2+0.012-0.017+0.067173.52.325.611.025.9
↳Tanner HudsonT. Hudson CIN1047.2+0.012-0.017+0.067172.41.916.88.824.8
23Cade OttonC. Otton TB1547.0+0.023+0.078+0.054175.43.938.19.718.1
24Mark AndrewsM. Andrews BAL1746.9+0.048+0.064+0.056174.12.824.88.857.7
25Colston LovelandC. Loveland CHI1645.9+0.095+0.140+0.043175.13.644.612.3610.3
↳Cole KmetC. Kmet CHI1645.9+0.095+0.140+0.043173.01.921.711.624.9
26Juwan JohnsonJ. Johnson NO1745.7-0.076-0.045+0.065176.04.552.311.5310.6
↳Noah FantN. Fant NO1345.7-0.076-0.045+0.065173.22.622.28.535.8
↳Moliki MatavaoM. Matavao NO145.7-0.076-0.045+0.065172.02.010.05.003.0
27Travis KelceT. Kelce KC1745.4+0.026+0.057+0.052176.44.550.111.2511.4
↳Noah GrayN. Gray KC1445.4+0.026+0.057+0.052172.61.512.78.502.8
28Pat FreiermuthP. Freiermuth PIT1544.8+0.043+0.046+0.051173.62.732.411.947.6
↳Darnell WashingtonD. Washington PIT1344.8+0.043+0.046+0.051173.32.428.011.715.6
29Gunnar HelmG. Helm TEN1640.6-0.167-0.153+0.063173.42.822.38.125.7
↳Daniel BellingerD. Bellinger TEN1340.6-0.167-0.153+0.063172.01.522.015.124.6
30Darren WallerD. Waller CAR937.7-0.055-0.038+0.039173.82.731.411.869.9
↳Ja'Tavion SandersJ. Sanders CAR1237.7-0.055-0.038+0.039172.82.415.86.614.5
↳Tommy TrembleT. Tremble CAR1537.7-0.055-0.038+0.039172.51.816.69.224.3
31Brock BowersB. BowersO LV1235.3-0.218-0.201+0.052177.25.356.710.6714.7
↳Albert OkwuegbunamA. Okwuegbunam LV135.3-0.218-0.201+0.052176.05.036.07.208.6
↳Michael MayerM. Mayer LV1335.3-0.218-0.201+0.052173.82.725.29.415.7
32Mason TaylorM. Taylor NYJ1333.9-0.165-0.189+0.046175.03.428.48.416.8
↳Jeremy RuckertJ. Ruckert NYJ1433.9-0.165-0.189+0.046172.11.612.87.813.4
Streaming picks

Streaming kickers, defenses and skill players, week 1

Kickers and defenses ranked by the walk-forward models; QB, RB, WR and TE streamers (outside the starter line by season-to-date PPR) ranked by the game projection engine. Top 5 in each tab are the week's stream picks; once played, a pick is a hit when it finishes top 10.
The market's implied team points carry most of it; an offense that sustains drives without explosives (high success rate, low EPA) turns scoring into field goals. Backtest 2021-25: weekly top-5 averaged 8.84 vs a 7.86 field. Green/amber = better/worse than this week's field. This week: stream picks averaged 7.4 vs field 8.0, 1 of 5 finished top 10.
#KickerTeamOppImpliedOff SROff EPAStallAvgProjActual
1Cameron DickerC. Dicker streamLACARI ⌂28.044%0.0254%9.89.72
2Will ReichardW. Reichard streamMINGB ⌂24.043%-0.1053%9.29.47
3Jake BatesJ. Bates streamDETNO ⌂28.346%0.0638%8.59.27
4Cam LittleC. Little streamJAXCLE24.546%0.0540%9.48.912
5Ka'imi FairbairnK. Fairbairn streamHOUBUF ⌂21.541%-0.0363%12.28.99
6Matt GayM. Gay LVMIA ⌂21.838%-0.2255%5.88.510
7Jason MyersJ. Myers SEANE23.848%0.0450%11.58.57
8Evan McPhersonE. McPherson CINTB27.047%0.0139%7.68.519
9Tyler LoopT. Loop BAL@ IND ⌂25.845%0.0542%8.18.514
10Chris BoswellC. Boswell PITATL23.545%0.0443%8.68.48
11Eddy PineiroE. Pineiro SF@ LA ⌂22.049%0.1045%9.28.310
12Spencer ShraderS. Shrader INDBAL ⌂22.845%0.0644%9.48.36
13Harrison MevisH. Mevis LASF ⌂25.552%0.1530%7.88.31
14Brandon AubreyB. Aubrey DAL@ NYG25.347%0.1247%10.68.21
15Cairo SantosC. Santos CHI@ CAR25.347%0.1048%9.38.112
16Jason SandersJ. Sanders NYJ@ TEN19.040%-0.1757%7.98.114
17Tyler BassT. Bass BUF@ HOU ⌂23.049%0.1328%6.38.013
18Harrison ButkerH. Butker KCDEN22.544%0.0352%8.27.97
19Riley PattersonR. Patterson MIA@ LV ⌂18.843%0.0045%7.67.87
20Joey SlyeJ. Slye TENNYJ20.537%-0.1756%7.87.85
21Trey SmackT. Smack GB@ MIN ⌂22.549%0.1645%7.57.712
22Chase McLaughlinC. McLaughlin TB@ CIN23.545%0.0254%8.97.611
23Daniel CarlsonD. Carlson NO@ DET ⌂21.342%-0.0860%7.47.55
24Jake ElliottJ. Elliott PHIWAS24.843%0.0339%6.47.36
25Ryan FitzgeraldR. Fitzgerald CARCHI22.343%-0.0549%6.17.27
26Andy BorregalesA. Borregales NE@ SEA20.849%0.1537%8.47.16
27Chad RylandC. Ryland ARI@ LAC ⌂19.543%0.0048%7.27.115
28Wil LutzW. Lutz DEN@ KC20.044%0.0545%7.76.94
29Drew StevensD. Stevens WAS@ PHI18.845%0.0047%6.66.94
30Nick FolkN. Folk ATL@ PIT17.046%0.0354%8.66.88
31Andre SzmytA. Szmyt CLE@ JAX16.035%-0.1751%6.46.64
32Dominic ZvadaD. Zvada NYGDAL22.342%0.0339%6.16.44
A low opponent implied total plus being the favorite carries most of it; giveaway-prone and often-sacked offenses donate. Backtest 2021-25: weekly top-5 averaged 8.97 vs a 6.28 field. Green/amber = better/worse than this week's field. This week: stream picks averaged 7.0 vs field 5.8, 2 of 5 finished top 10.
#DefenseOppOpp impEdgeOpp EPAOpp SRSackedGive/gAvgProjActual
1JAX DSTstreamCLE16.08.5-0.1735%8%1.18.29.413
2PIT DSTstreamATL17.06.50.0346%5%0.76.98.518
3LAC DSTstreamARI ⌂19.58.50.0043%9%0.76.47.71
4TEN DSTstreamNYJ19.01.5-0.1740%11%0.84.67.50
5PHI DSTstreamWAS18.86.00.0045%5%1.07.97.53
6LV DSTMIA ⌂18.83.00.0043%7%1.14.37.413
7DAL DST@ NYG22.33.00.0342%8%0.83.47.33
8SEA DSTNE20.83.00.1549%7%0.89.67.313
9DET DSTNO ⌂21.37.0-0.0842%8%1.05.67.010
10CHI DST@ CAR22.33.0-0.0543%5%1.26.76.96
11DEN DST@ KC22.5-2.50.0344%6%0.98.46.83
12NYJ DST@ TEN20.5-1.5-0.1737%9%0.82.76.89
13KC DSTDEN20.02.50.0544%3%0.85.16.511
14BUF DST@ HOU ⌂21.51.5-0.0341%5%0.66.16.46
15HOU DSTBUF ⌂23.0-1.50.1349%7%1.18.66.3-2
16LA DSTSF ⌂22.03.50.1049%4%1.17.96.32
17MIA DST@ LV ⌂21.8-3.0-0.2238%12%0.95.46.34
18BAL DST@ IND ⌂22.83.00.0645%5%1.15.26.36
19CIN DSTTB23.53.50.0245%6%0.84.16.312
20MIN DSTGB ⌂22.51.50.1649%4%0.87.55.98
21ATL DST@ PIT23.5-6.50.0445%5%0.66.95.55
22GB DST@ MIN ⌂24.0-1.5-0.1043%11%1.14.65.41
23WAS DST@ PHI24.8-6.00.0343%6%0.74.55.33
24IND DSTBAL ⌂25.8-3.00.0545%8%1.05.55.20
25NE DST@ SEA23.8-3.00.0448%6%1.17.15.16
26CLE DST@ JAX24.5-8.50.0546%7%0.97.55.00
27NYG DSTDAL25.3-3.00.1247%4%0.94.14.93
28CAR DSTCHI25.3-3.00.1047%3%0.66.14.90
29TB DST@ CIN27.0-3.50.0147%5%0.95.84.58
30NO DST@ DET ⌂28.3-7.00.0646%6%0.86.13.92
31SF DST@ LA ⌂25.5-3.50.1552%4%0.94.23.88
32ARI DST@ LAC ⌂28.0-8.50.0244%8%0.93.43.710
Every starting QB, one per team; the top 12 by average PPR over 2025 season are badged starters. Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 19.4 vs a 16.3 streamer field, 3 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DAttPass ydsPass TDINTRushAvgProjActual
1Justin HerbertJ. Herbert starterLACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.132.4272292092.0210.651252917.9 (16)19.613.3
2Malik WillisM. Willis streamMIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.030.1272102201.2200.591483912.8 (4)18.816.7✓
3Baker MayfieldB. Mayfield streamTB@ CIN23.543.0%+1.47.6+0.532.0282302161.6100.800293016.0 (17)18.111.6
4Trevor LawrenceT. Lawrence starterJAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.331.1232162451.5040.75027319.9 (17)17.526.1
5Bryce YoungB. Young streamCARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.431.0372183611.6130.771271013.6 (16)17.331.4✓
6Joe BurrowJ. Burrow streamCINTB27.038.7%-2.97.4+0.434.0352412542.0510.68152016.8 (8)17.214.2
7Drake MayeD. Maye starterNE@ SEA20.837.1%-4.56.3-0.731.8332321781.3010.783284720.7 (17)17.19.8
8Tyler ShoughT. Shough streamNO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.233.0562324101.4630.68221814.4 (11)16.823.2✓
9Brock PurdyB. Purdy starterSF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.233.2342362051.5530.831192919.7 (9)16.621.1
10Josh AllenJ. Allen starterBUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.431.0292223341.2720.870272322.8 (16)16.635.7
11Matthew StaffordM. Stafford starterLASF25.543.9%+2.37.0+0.033.7252471551.8900.6212-120.6 (17)16.54.1
12Jordan LoveJ. Love GB@ MIN22.542.0%+0.46.9-0.229.0422093871.4220.61124015.7 (15)16.319.5✓
13Caleb WilliamsC. Williams starterCHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.132.0292262691.6020.690156518.7 (17)16.337.3
14Dak PrescottD. Prescott starterDAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.133.5342431751.6720.76191418.5 (17)16.114.4
15Lamar JacksonL. Jackson BAL@ IND25.842.7%+1.17.1+0.130.6252233241.4510.660154016.5 (13)15.825.0✓
16Patrick MahomesP. MahomesFP starterKCDEN22.538.3%-3.26.4-0.633.6272221841.4420.711172320.4 (14)15.521.7
17Jared GoffJ. Goff starterDETNO28.339.9%-1.76.9-0.131.4392272061.8520.6402217.5 (17)15.516.4
18Bo NixB. Nix starterDEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.132.6282201311.2510.74119217.9 (17)15.25.4
19Jayden DanielsJ. Daniels WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.430.4342081641.0520.590233116.3 (7)14.517.7✓
20Daniel JonesD. Jones INDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.033.2312381661.2410.7319417.4 (13)14.59.0
21Aaron RodgersA. Rodgers PITATL23.542.6%+1.07.1+0.132.2402232211.5310.7206-314.2 (16)14.412.5
22Cam WardC. Ward TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.331.4322111401.3410.520112111.0 (17)14.411.7
23Jalen HurtsJ. Hurts starterPHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.731.0252292031.5930.62004618.8 (16)14.324.7
24Jacoby BrissettJ. Brissett ARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.332.8372212771.4610.76071416.2 (14)14.116.5✓
25Carson WentzC. Wentz MINGB24.043.6%+2.06.6-0.430.2192021331.4530.77011-114.1 (5)14.119.2✓
26Kirk CousinsK. Cousins LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.430.2302121601.6530.6920-610.4 (10)13.713.8
27C.J. StroudC.J. Stroud HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.530.9382072741.5520.72041514.9 (14)13.616.5✓
28Jaxson DartJ. Dart NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.831.4292322301.2430.60005417.3 (14)13.126.6✓
29Drew LockD. Lock SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.230.1222221871.4610.760-113—13.012.8
30Geno SmithG. Smith NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.829.6242062151.1900.7008711.6 (15)12.79.3
31Cooper RushC. Rush ATL@ PIT17.040.3%-1.37.2+0.233.3222341431.0010.872-200.4 (4)11.45.7
32Deshaun WatsonD. Watson CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.633.2222082051.0410.961038—10.614.0
RB streamers: every RB outside the starter line (top 24 by average PPR over 2025 season; 21 set aside, 99 in the pool). Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 16.0 vs a 5.4 streamer field, 4 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DTouchesRushRecRec ydsTDAvgProjActual
1Jeremiyah LoveJ. LoveQ streamARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.320.41578413.322290.541—16.513.0✓
2Aaron JonesA. Jones streamMINGB24.043.6%+2.06.6-0.415.51338403.502200.5219.9 (12)12.610.0✓
3Chuba HubbardC. Hubbard streamCARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.413.61357491.8314380.4428.4 (15)11.523.7✓
4Kenneth Walker IIIK. Walker III streamKCDEN22.538.3%-3.26.4-0.611.429271732.7327180.42211.3 (17)10.534.1✓
5Tyrone Tracy Jr.T. Tracy Jr. streamNYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.810.2233142.202100.40010.7 (15)10.0-0.6
6Alvin KamaraA. KamaraQ NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.213.0352.4140.359.2 (11)9.4—
7Emanuel WilsonE. WilsonFP SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.211.024131.201200.4505.6 (17)9.30.3
8Tony PollardT. Pollard TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.312.5949351.018-10.42010.9 (17)9.24.4
9J.K. DobbinsJ.K. Dobbins DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.111.9850361.00600.42011.6 (10)9.13.6
10Quinshon JudkinsQ. Judkins CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.614.41432332.3216170.29012.1 (14)8.97.0
11Jaylen WrightJ. Wright MIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.011.6133-11.801800.3205.4 (9)8.8-0.1
12Chris Rodriguez Jr.C. Rodriguez Jr. JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.310.1642230.70800.4707.7 (12)8.52.3
13Kyle MonangaiK. Monangai CHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.110.912351001.3210240.3618.6 (17)8.120.4✓
14David MontgomeryD. Montgomery HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.58.22340601.138190.2939.8 (17)7.728.9✓
15Blake CorumB. Corum LASF25.543.9%+2.37.0+0.010.71046540.60500.3207.2 (17)7.65.4
16Woody MarksW. Marks HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.511.11040421.214-20.2609.1 (16)7.25.0
17Emari DemercadoE. Demercado DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.16.623071.10900.2804.9 (12)6.70.7
18Devin NealD. Neal WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.47.5271.2110.256.7 (9)6.5—
19Samaje PerineS. Perine CINTB27.038.7%-2.97.4+0.47.3821201.739300.2505.2 (15)6.28.0
20Michael CarterM. Carter TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.38.0271.270.257.6 (13)6.1—
21Ty JohnsonT. JohnsonQ BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.46.1141.5160.235.9 (17)5.8—
22Justice HillJ. Hill BAL@ IND25.842.7%+1.17.1+0.14.6710181.9116100.2006.5 (10)5.63.8
23Bhayshul TutenB. Tuten JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.36.71625660.715220.2805.9 (15)5.49.8✓
24Tyjae SpearsT. Spears TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.36.2713121.9211120.1708.6 (13)5.34.4
25Hunter LuepkeH. Luepke DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.15.311771.201100.2002.6 (14)5.30.7
26Kimani VidalK. Vidal LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.16.1190.8110.249.1 (13)5.2—
27Ray DavisR. Davis BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.44.211930.701000.2503.8 (17)5.10.3
28Phil MafahP. Mafah NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.85.1101.5160.17—5.1—
29Jacory Croskey-MerrittJ. Croskey-MerrittLP WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.47.21730630.313-70.2318.3 (17)5.012.6✓
30Austin EkelerA. Ekeler WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.46.4151.5100.16—5.0—
31Kaelon BlackK. Black SF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.26.51520651.11850.190—5.08.0
32Jawhar JordanJ. Jordan HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.56.6260.750.197.4 (4)5.0—
33Rachaad WhiteR. White WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.44.3916221.32950.1608.4 (17)4.84.7
34Khalil HerbertK. Herbert ATL@ PIT17.040.3%-1.37.2+0.26.5230.950.181.3 (5)4.7—
35Kendre MillerK. Miller NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.26.7923300.60500.2114.8 (7)4.79.0✓
36Ollie Gordon IIO. Gordon II MIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.08.2181.180.163.2 (17)4.6—
37Devin SingletaryD. Singletary NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.85.21017160.948220.1916.4 (17)4.513.8✓
38Jaleel McLaughlinJ. McLaughlin CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.65.0190.870.163.9 (8)4.4—
39Kyle JuszczykK. JuszczykLP SF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.24.091.3120.14—4.2—
40Corey KinerC. Kiner NE@ SEA20.837.1%-4.56.3-0.76.6620110.70400.1802.3 (4)4.21.1
41Bam KnightB. Knight ARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.34.7121.380.127.7 (12)4.1—
42AJ DillonA. Dillon CARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.44.5521280.60400.1501.5 (6)4.02.8
43Riley NowakowskiR. Nowakowski PITATL23.542.6%+1.07.1+0.15.102000.60300.190—4.00.0
44Brian RobinsonB. Robinson ATL@ PIT17.040.3%-1.37.2+0.26.0921310.60300.1603.7 (17)4.03.1
45Jacardia WrightJ. Wright SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.23.5260.000.23—4.0—
46Brashard SmithB. Smith KCDEN22.538.3%-3.26.4-0.64.691.670.123.7 (17)3.9—
47Isaiah DavisI. DavisFP NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.83.8170.570.164.5 (16)3.9—
48Max BredesonM. Bredeson MINGB24.043.6%+2.06.6-0.45.1200.520.20—3.8—
49Tyler AllgeierT. Allgeier ARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.34.31914611.02790.1207.2 (17)3.89.0
50Braelon AllenB. Allen NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.85.31120400.50400.1603.8 (4)3.84.0
51Keaton MitchellK. MitchellFP LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.14.741291.00600.1404.3 (13)3.70.9
52Jaydon BlueJ. Blue PHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.76.2230.110.194.1 (5)3.6—
53Seth McGowanS. McGowan INDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.03.411100.81800.150—3.61.0
54Najee HarrisN. Harris NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.83.4150.550.16—3.5—
55Rasheen AliR. Ali BAL@ IND25.842.7%+1.17.1+0.13.10201.501100.1001.6 (15)3.40.0
56Nate CarterN. Carter KCDEN22.538.3%-3.26.4-0.64.0210.000.19—3.3—
57DJ GiddensD. Giddens INDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.03.7170.310.181.9 (5)3.2—
58Kaleb JohnsonK. Johnson GB@ MIN22.542.0%+0.46.9-0.26.701900.10100.1600.9 (10)3.10.0
59Mike Washington Jr.M. Washington Jr. LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.43.2711410.70600.110—3.04.1
60Jaret PattersonJ. Patterson CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.65.5140.630.114.3 (6)2.9—
61Scott MatlockS. Matlock LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.13.071.160.10—2.9—
62Connor HeywardC. Heyward LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.44.011310.50400.110—2.90.1
63George HolaniG. Holani SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.23.5914290.30300.1402.1 (10)2.82.9
64Emmett JohnsonE. Johnson KCDEN22.538.3%-3.26.4-0.63.0107240.827440.110—2.88.8
65Brady RussellB. Russell SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.23.121100.524200.1300.0 (10)2.84.0
66Ameer AbdullahA. Abdullah JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.31.952321.01900.0902.9 (13)2.74.2
67Adam PrenticeA. Prentice DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.12.980.660.10—2.6—
68Jerome FordJ. Ford ARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.32.201.570.053.4 (13)2.6—
69Amar JohnsonA. Johnson LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.12.9120.700.09—2.5—
70Zavier ScottZ. Scott CHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.12.590.540.103.6 (11)2.5—
71Patrick RicardP. RicardFP NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.82.41600.70500.0800.4 (5)2.30.0
72Kaytron AllenK. Allen MIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.02.646160.50500.070—2.21.6
73Dameon PierceD. Pierce PHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.73.4110.320.100.7 (5)2.2—
74Tyler BadieT. Badie DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.11.710.890.062.2 (16)2.1—
75Zamir WhiteZ. White NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.22.750.650.071.9 (5)2.1—
76Tyler GoodsonT. Goodson DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.12.590.320.080.5 (10)2.0—
77Sione VakiS. Vaki DETNO28.339.9%-1.76.9-0.11.93870.212110.0900.1 (8)1.82.8
78DeeJay DallasD. Dallas MINGB24.043.6%+2.06.6-0.41.91700.41210.0800.4 (5)1.81.1
79Velus Jones Jr.V. Jones Jr. SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.21.4100.110.090.6 (5)1.6—
80Eli HeidenreichE. Heidenreich PITATL23.542.6%+1.07.1+0.11.80500.40400.070—1.60.0
WR streamers: every WR outside the starter line (top 36 by average PPR over 2025 season; 33 set aside, 146 in the pool). Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 6.6 vs a 4.9 streamer field, 0 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DTouchesRushRecRec ydsTDAvgProjActual
1Malik WashingtonM. Washington streamMIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.08.881105.5343530.3206.9 (17)12.86.3
2Luther Burden IIIL. Burden III streamCHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.15.56523.6548630.3808.5 (15)11.39.5
3Josh DownsJ. Downs streamINDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.06.54004.2250370.2608.7 (16)10.75.7
4Terry McLaurinT. McLaurin streamWAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.45.54003.5252140.26011.4 (10)10.33.4
5Chris Godwin Jr.C. Godwin Jr. streamTB@ CIN23.543.0%+1.47.6+0.55.25033.8446400.3209.2 (9)10.38.3
6Carnell TateC. Tate TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.35.26103.4447380.310—10.07.8
7Keenan AllenK. Allen INDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.06.46004.3643320.23010.7 (17)10.09.2
8Tre TuckerT. Tucker LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.46.74203.7240270.3209.5 (17)9.84.7
9Makai LemonM. Lemon PHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.73.64202.3347-50.340—9.22.5
10Theo Wease Jr.T. Wease Jr. LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.13.302.2440.39—9.0—
11Jalen CokerJ. Coker CARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.44.59003.18401380.3028.2 (11)8.933.8✓
12Mike EvansM. Evans SF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.25.87003.5638490.25110.6 (8)8.916.9✓
13Ladd McConkeyL. McConkey LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.15.27003.5533820.30111.3 (16)8.619.2✓
14Jakobi MeyersJ. MeyersLP JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.35.83123.7231400.23111.0 (16)8.312.2
15Ryan FlournoyR. Flournoy DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.14.34003.0238220.2607.6 (15)8.34.2
16Devaughn VeleD. Vele NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.24.79003.2736690.2317.4 (9)8.219.9✓
17Xavier WorthyX. WorthyFP KCDEN22.538.3%-3.26.4-0.64.96102.7338180.2607.9 (14)8.14.8
18Caleb DouglasC. Douglas MIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.05.37103.4533940.200—8.014.4✓
19Omar Cooper Jr.O. Cooper Jr. NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.83.31202.1141300.250—7.94.0
20Khalil ShakirK. Shakir BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.44.76003.5432500.18010.4 (16)7.89.0
21Romeo DoubsR. Doubs NE@ SEA20.837.1%-4.56.3-0.74.53002.903500.20010.3 (16)7.60.0
22John Metchie IIIJ. Metchie III CARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.44.102.5330.255.5 (13)7.4—
23DJ MooreD. Moore BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.44.48202.65301000.19110.1 (17)6.921.0✓
24Travis HunterT. Hunter JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.34.32032.613080.210—6.92.1
25KC ConcepcionK. Concepcion CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.64.781153.1427430.140—6.67.8
26Jordan AddisonJ. Addison MINGB24.043.6%+2.06.6-0.43.92502.302400.2209.7 (14)6.60.0
27Jerry JeudyJ. Jeudy CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.65.14102.9227260.1407.1 (17)6.64.6
28Matthew GoldenM. Golden GB@ MIN22.542.0%+0.46.9-0.24.412102.7625950.1805.0 (14)6.315.5✓
29Denzel BostonD. Boston CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.64.04002.7227590.131—6.113.9
30Cooper KuppC. Kupp SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.23.63002.6226350.1707.3 (16)6.15.5
31Brian Thomas Jr.B. Thomas Jr. JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.33.83002.3326400.1809.9 (14)6.07.0
32Tre HarrisT. Harris LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.13.36102.2324200.2204.3 (16)6.05.0
33Germie BernardG. Bernard PITATL23.542.6%+1.07.1+0.13.612.3210.15—5.5—
34Marquise BrownM. Brown PHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.72.501.5280.198.6 (16)5.5—
35Marvin Harrison Jr.M. Harrison Jr. HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.53.53002.0123330.17010.7 (12)5.34.3
36Darnell MooneyD. Mooney NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.83.22001.9225270.1305.5 (15)5.14.7
37Xavier HutchinsonX. Hutchinson HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.53.26101.8321320.1606.1 (16)5.06.2
38Kevin Austin Jr.K. Austin Jr. NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.24.002.4180.116.6 (5)4.9—
39Rashid ShaheedR. Shaheed SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.23.03301.611940.1608.7 (18)4.91.4
40Keon ColemanK. Coleman BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.43.31002.011910.1108.5 (12)4.51.1
41Elic AyomanorE. Ayomanor TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.33.03001.6120110.1317.3 (16)4.58.1
42Cedric TillmanC. Tillman NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.22.001.2240.155.0 (12)4.4—
43Jalen NailorJ. Nailor LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.42.85001.7318270.1405.9 (17)4.45.7
44Isaiah WilliamsI. Williams NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.82.71101.811970.1104.0 (15)4.41.7
45Shedrick JacksonS. Jackson ARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.32.001.2220.15—4.4—
46Xavier SmithX. Smith SF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.21.90001.402100.1403.0 (16)4.40.0
47Adonai MitchellA. Mitchell NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.83.83001.9319600.1105.5 (16)4.39.0
48Troy FranklinT. Franklin DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.12.82051.702000.11010.4 (17)4.30.5
49Brandin CooksB. Cooks SF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.22.301.5200.134.0 (13)4.3—
50KaVontae TurpinK. Turpin DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.12.51601.011780.1605.6 (15)4.31.8
51Jamari ThrashJ. Thrash LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.42.001.3200.162.6 (8)4.2—
52Kayshon BoutteK. Boutte HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.52.62001.7117210.1308.9 (14)4.23.1
53Isaiah HodginsI. Hodgins PITATL23.542.6%+1.07.1+0.13.102.1140.104.6 (6)4.1—
54Isaiah BondI. Bond CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.61.910.9240.123.6 (15)4.1—
55Dontayvion WicksD. Wicks PHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.72.64101.5217730.1215.8 (13)4.115.3✓
56Chimere DikeC. Dike TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.32.81001.711670.1107.5 (17)4.01.7
57Rashod BatemanR. Bateman BAL@ IND25.842.7%+1.17.1+0.12.91001.701600.1104.3 (13)4.00.0
58Jalen TolbertJ. Tolbert MIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.03.101.9150.093.9 (12)4.0—
59Jahan DotsonJ. Dotson ATL@ PIT17.040.3%-1.37.2+0.23.13001.8117190.0703.3 (15)3.92.9
60Chris MooreC. Moore BAL@ IND25.842.7%+1.17.1+0.12.32001.5117530.1103.9 (10)3.96.3
61Olamide ZaccheausO. Zaccheaus ATL@ PIT17.040.3%-1.37.2+0.23.21002.011550.0606.1 (14)3.91.5
62Calvin RidleyC. Ridley TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.32.101.2190.126.8 (7)3.9—
63Tory HortonT. HortonQ SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.22.801.8140.098.1 (8)3.8—
64Isaac TeSlaaI. TeSlaa DETNO28.339.9%-1.76.9-0.11.91001.301700.1405.4 (14)3.80.0
65Kalif RaymondK. Raymond CHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.11.89001.3818840.1304.5 (15)3.816.4✓
66Van JeffersonV. Jefferson WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.42.201.3190.105.0 (14)3.8—
67Malachi FieldsM. Fields NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.82.44101.5216250.090—3.74.5
68DeMario DouglasD. Douglas NE@ SEA20.837.1%-4.56.3-0.72.77101.6514200.0906.0 (16)3.77.0
69Lil'Jordan HumphreyL. Humphrey DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.12.201.5150.084.9 (7)3.4—
70Mitchell TinsleyM. Tinsley CINTB27.038.7%-2.97.4+0.42.601.5130.114.0 (8)3.4—
71Devontez WalkerD. WalkerQ BAL@ IND25.842.7%+1.17.1+0.11.501.0170.114.7 (8)3.4—
72Tez JohnsonT. Johnson TB@ CIN23.543.0%+1.47.6+0.52.222-41.201300.1006.2 (15)3.3-0.4
73Kendrick BourneK. Bourne ARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.32.18001.5813750.0806.6 (14)3.315.5✓
74Bo MeltonB. Melton GB@ MIN22.542.0%+0.46.9-0.22.61301.1111100.1001.9 (13)3.22.0
75Jimmy Horn Jr.J. Horn Jr. CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.61.81401.001200.0902.9 (10)3.10.0
76Treylon BurksT. Burks WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.42.701.6110.063.6 (8)3.1—
77Jahdae WalkerJ. Walker CHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.11.71001.111410.1014.5 (6)3.17.1
78Malachi CorleyM. Corley CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.62.40401.001100.0802.6 (12)3.10.0
79Marvin Mims Jr.M. Mims Jr.FP DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.12.50201.40900.0706.3 (15)2.90.0
80Tutu AtwellT. Atwell LASF25.543.9%+2.37.0+0.01.400.9140.113.9 (8)2.9—
TE streamers: every TE outside the starter line (top 12 by average PPR over 2025 season; 11 set aside, 98 in the pool). Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 4.8 vs a 5.2 streamer field, 0 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DTouchesRushRecRec ydsTDAvgProjActual
1Greg DulcichG. Dulcich streamMIA@ LV18.841.9%+0.37.00.08.72-105.6283180.4807.0 (9)16.73.8
2Cade OttonC. Otton streamTB@ CIN23.543.0%+1.47.6+0.56.95004.7353260.3708.1 (15)12.35.6
3Colston LovelandC. Loveland streamCHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.17.12004.904900.35010.3 (16)11.90.0
4Mark AndrewsM. Andrews streamBAL@ IND25.842.7%+1.17.1+0.16.56104.3433490.2307.7 (17)9.28.9
5Hunter HenryH. Henry streamNE@ SEA20.837.1%-4.56.3-0.76.03004.0338260.21010.5 (17)9.25.6
6AJ BarnerA. BarnerFP SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.25.02003.5239130.2608.7 (17)9.03.3
7Michael MayerM. Mayer LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.44.27002.9639320.3005.7 (13)8.69.2
8Colby ParkinsonC. Parkinson LASF25.543.9%+2.37.0+0.05.02003.513460.2609.3 (14)8.51.6
9Dalton SchultzD. Schultz HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.54.78003.3434350.25010.5 (17)8.17.5
10Pat FreiermuthP. Freiermuth PITATL23.542.6%+1.07.1+0.13.65002.6538460.2617.6 (15)8.115.6✓
11Darnell WashingtonD. Washington PITATL23.542.6%+1.07.1+0.13.82002.7236180.2505.6 (13)7.93.8
12T.J. HockensonT.J. Hockenson MINGB24.043.6%+2.06.6-0.44.45003.0433360.2417.5 (15)7.813.6✓
13Tyler HigbeeT. HigbeeFP LASF25.543.9%+2.37.0+0.03.52002.4236120.2807.1 (10)7.61.2
14Brenton StrangeB. Strange JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.34.33003.1230230.2119.8 (12)7.310.3✓
15Mike GesickiM. Gesicki CINTB27.038.7%-2.97.4+0.43.87002.6531780.2715.9 (12)7.318.8✓
16Kenyon SadiqK. SadiqFP NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.84.04032.6332210.181—6.911.4✓
17Zach ErtzZ. Ertz PHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.74.202.7280.199.7 (13)6.7—
18Dalton KincaidD. Kincaid BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.43.56002.55311300.18010.5 (12)6.618.0✓
19Albert OkwuegbunamA. Okwuegbunam LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.44.002.8260.20—6.6—
20Evan EngramE. Engram DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.13.55002.5429430.1616.4 (16)6.314.3✓
21Oronde Gadsden IIO. Gadsden II LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.13.32002.3225320.2208.8 (15)6.15.2
22Drake DabneyD. Dabney GB@ MIN22.542.0%+0.46.9-0.25.103.4190.13—6.1—
23Isaiah LikelyI. Likely NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.83.28002.2829780.1525.1 (12)6.027.8✓
24Theo JohnsonT. JohnsonFP NYGDAL22.344.2%+2.67.8+0.83.71002.412790.1408.5 (15)6.01.9
25Chig OkonkwoC. Okonkwo WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.43.93002.8224160.1207.3 (17)5.93.6
26Darren WallerD. Waller CARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.44.02002.6222280.1609.9 (9)5.84.8
27Dawson KnoxD. Knox BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.43.11002.112470.1406.5 (16)5.31.7
28Cole KmetC. Kmet CHI@ CAR25.341.2%-0.47.1+0.12.83002.0219350.1414.9 (16)4.711.5✓
29Jonnu SmithJ. Smith GB@ MIN22.542.0%+0.46.9-0.24.431001.5211500.1605.0 (17)4.67.0
30Tommy TrembleT. Tremble CARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.42.95001.9318250.1304.3 (15)4.55.5
31Mason TaylorM. Taylor NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.83.03002.0217-20.1006.8 (13)4.31.8
32Noah GrayN. Gray KCDEN22.538.3%-3.26.4-0.62.51001.811850.1202.8 (14)4.31.5
33Elijah HigginsE. Higgins ARI@ LAC19.541.9%+0.36.7-0.32.401.8180.123.4 (17)4.3—
34Gunnar HelmG. Helm TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.32.55001.8415280.0905.7 (16)3.86.8
35Will MalloryW. Mallory INDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.01.000.7230.12—3.7—
36Mo Alie-CoxM. Alie-Cox INDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.02.401.6150.082.8 (11)3.6—
37James MitchellJ. Mitchell DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.11.701.2160.11—3.5—
38Stone SmarttS. Smartt NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.22.001.4150.102.0 (6)3.5—
39Brock WrightB. Wright DETNO28.339.9%-1.76.9-0.12.51001.811050.0804.6 (8)3.41.5
40Drew SampleD. Sample CINTB27.038.7%-2.97.4+0.41.93001.4313190.1102.7 (12)3.44.9
41Brevyn Spann-FordB. Spann-Ford DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.11.72001.1216140.1101.5 (16)3.33.4
42Tanner HudsonT. Hudson CINTB27.038.7%-2.97.4+0.41.81001.311340.1104.8 (10)3.21.4
43Charlie KolarC. Kolar LACARI28.041.9%+0.37.2+0.11.70001.201300.1102.8 (13)3.20.0
44Tanner ConnerT. Conner NE@ SEA20.837.1%-4.56.3-0.72.001.3130.072.3 (8)3.0—
45Adam TrautmanA. Trautman DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.11.53001.0214100.0803.5 (13)2.93.0
46Davis AllenD. Allen LASF25.543.9%+2.37.0+0.02.01001.4110130.0804.2 (15)2.92.3
47Ben SinnottB. SinnottFP WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.42.001.4110.053.2 (9)2.8—
48Austin HooperA. Hooper ATL@ PIT17.040.3%-1.37.2+0.21.801.3110.054.6 (13)2.7—
49Ian ThomasI. Thomas LVMIA21.841.7%+0.17.4+0.41.401.0120.092.7 (9)2.7—
50Josh WhyleJ. Whyle GB@ MIN22.542.0%+0.46.9-0.21.501.0120.082.4 (6)2.7—
51Cade StoverC. Stover HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.52.21001.418-20.0603.3 (6)2.60.8
52Daniel BellingerD. Bellinger TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.31.41001.111070.0704.6 (13)2.51.7
53Mitchell EvansM. Evans CARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.41.92001.21990.0703.4 (14)2.51.9
54Jackson HawesJ. Hawes BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.41.300.9120.074.1 (13)2.5—
55Ja'Tavion SandersJ. Sanders CARCHI22.343.6%+2.17.4+0.41.701.380.064.5 (12)2.5—
56Tyler ConklinT. Conklin DETNO28.339.9%-1.76.9-0.11.200.8110.092.9 (6)2.5—
57Noah FantN. Fant NO@ DET21.342.4%+0.87.2+0.21.58001.149330.0615.8 (13)2.413.3✓
58Luke SchoonmakerL. SchoonmakerDNP DAL@ NYG25.344.8%+3.27.1+0.11.31000.8111120.0801.9 (14)2.42.2
59Johnny MundtJ. Mundt PHIWAS24.845.1%+3.57.7+0.71.401.0100.071.7 (12)2.3—
60Brenden BatesB. Bates JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.31.100.8100.071.8 (5)2.1—
61John FitzPatrickJ. FitzPatrick CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.61.701.270.032.3 (11)2.1—
62Lucas KrullL. Krull DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.11.601.170.04—2.1—
63Foster MoreauF. Moreau HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.51.22000.828150.0601.8 (7)2.03.5
64Elijah ArroyoE. Arroyo SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.21.701.160.042.8 (13)2.0—
65Jeremy RuckertJ. Ruckert NYJ@ TEN19.040.7%-0.97.8+0.81.41001.01740.0403.4 (14)1.91.4
66Eric SaubertE. Saubert SEANE23.842.7%+1.16.8-0.21.50001.10600.0401.0 (9)1.90.0
67John BatesJ. Bates WAS@ PHI18.841.5%-0.16.6-0.41.33000.928130.0402.7 (10)1.93.3
68Keleki LatuK. Latu BUF@ HOU23.038.8%-2.86.7-0.41.10000.80800.050—1.90.0
69Charlie WoernerC. Woerner ATL@ PIT17.040.3%-1.37.2+0.21.300.980.031.8 (7)1.9—
70Nate AdkinsN. Adkins DEN@ KC20.040.6%-1.06.9-0.11.10000.70600.0302.8 (6)1.50.0
71Zaire Mitchell-PadenZ. Mitchell-Paden HOUBUF21.543.3%+1.76.5-0.51.200.850.04—1.5—
72Cam GrandyC. Grandy MINGB24.043.6%+2.06.6-0.41.100.840.03—1.4—
73Payne DurhamP. Durham TB@ CIN23.543.0%+1.47.6+0.51.000.750.030.3 (8)1.3—
74Andrew OgletreeA. OgletreeFP INDBAL22.841.3%-0.37.0+0.00.91000.60500.0301.2 (11)1.30.0
75Luke FarrellL. Farrell SF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.20.82000.624190.0302.3 (13)1.13.9
76Quintin MorrisQ. Morris JAXCLE24.541.0%-0.66.8-0.30.81000.60400.0301.6 (11)1.10.0
77Blake WhiteheartB. Whiteheart CLE@ JAX16.038.3%-3.36.4-0.61.11000.713140.0100.3 (9)1.02.4
78Jack StollJ. Stoll SF@ LA22.038.6%-3.06.8-0.20.800.630.021.8 (9)1.0—
79David Martin-RobinsonD. Martin-Robinson TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.30.600.440.031.2 (11)1.0—
80Kylen GransonK. Granson TENNYJ20.541.5%-0.17.3+0.30.700.430.020.9 (12)0.9—