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NFL · 2026 season · final

NFL Week 6, 2026

The Huffalytics board for NFL week 6: every game with its line and total, the engine's model margin from opponent-adjusted EPA ratings, projected scores, and the single-game parlay plans' player prop calls graded against Kalshi. Below it, projected fantasy leaders, the player outlook and the week's streaming picks at kicker, defense, quarterback, running back, receiver and tight end.

14 games on the board · 14 played · slate 4–0 · 14 plans, 149 calls
Plan calls at the line
76–72
Hit rate51%
Graded plans14
Did not play1
Overs at Edge+
56–18
Hit rate76%
At the line36–38 49%
Edge45–29 61%
Unders at Edge+
73–1
Hit rate99%
At the line40–34 54%
Edge66–8 89%
The slate
5 legs
Per leg87.3%
All together50.6%
Fair price-103
So far4–0
Projected leaders
QBJayden Daniels WAS · 22.7 (21.0)
RBBijan Robinson ATL · 22.8 (7.3)
WRJaxon Smith-Njigba SEA · 20.8 (25.4)
TEBrock Bowers LV · 15.2 (11.0)
Stream picks
KSpencer Shrader vs TEN · 9.5
DEFKC DST vs LAC · 9.0
QBDrake Maye vs NYJ · 18.8
RBCam Skattebo vs NO · 14.7
WRCarnell Tate @ IND · 13.1
TEBrenton Strange vs HOU · 10.7
Week 6 games, lines and plan calls

The slate

the red circle opens the EPA behind a margin or an Overs / Unders record; tap anywhere else on a game to open its page
ⓘ Legend
The dropdown: a red circle marks something that opens on a tap or click. On a game it shows the EPA comparison behind the model margin, the home-field step, the injuries that moved it and the adjusted margin. Tapping the game row anywhere else opens the game page: the projection, each offense against its defense, the starters, the injuries, the plan and the report. On an Overs or Unders record it lists the plan's calls on that side with the Normal / Edge / Edge+ rungs and, once played, what happened.
Line · O/U The closing spread from the favorite's side and the market total. Once played, the total shows the points and whether it went over or under. Shown for context: the engine prices player props, not sides.
Model The engine's own margin for the favorite, from its opponent-adjusted efficiency ratings entering the week. Green = the engine likes the favorite more than the line does; amber = it actually likes the dog.
Adj The model margin with the priced injury reports folded in. ↯ marks a game where the injuries flip the engine's side.
Proj · Score The projected score and the final, favorite first.
Overs · Unders The pre-game single-game parlay plan's player calls, split by side: hits–misses once the box score is in, call counts before. A void is a player who did not play.
Plan cushion Every call is read at three rungs of the player's Kalshi ladder. Normal is the line the plan called. Edge is the listed rung nearest halfway between that line and the ladder's last rung on the easy side. Edge+ is that last rung: the lowest N+ on an over, the highest <N on an under. The pills swap the Overs and Unders columns between them; the record beside each pill is the week's total at that cushion.
Report The post-game report's projection grade, shown once reports are written.
Sorting Click any column header to rank by it; click again to flip.
Plan cushion
OversNormal 36–38Edge 45–29Edge+ 56–18
UndersNormal 40–34Edge 66–8Edge+ 73–1
Game (favorite first) Kickoff Line O/U Model Adj Proj Score OversUnders Report
LA logoLAvsARI logoARI 2:05pm -12.5 51.5 34 under +10.5 +11.5 32–20 16–18
2–4
LA vs ARI over calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Kyren Williams LAto scoremiss · actual 0
He is the goal-line back on a team implied for 32 points, and Arizona has given up touchdowns on nearly seven of every ten red-zone trips. The receiving role gives him a second way in.
NormalTD -191 ✗EdgeTD -191 ✗Edge+TD -191 ✗
Tyler Higbee LAover 29.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 22
With Ferguson on injured reserve he is the only tight end running routes, and Arizona's linebackers have been the soft spot in the middle all season.
Normal30+ -131 ✗Edge25+ -175 ✗Edge+15+ -360 ✓
Trey McBride ARIover 6.5 receptionshit · actual 7
Arizona's answer to everything is the short middle, and two scores down they throw 40 times. The Rams rarely pressure, which buys completions rather than yards.
Normal7+ -148 ✓Edge5+ -525 ✓Edge+4+ -967 ✓
Jacoby Brissett ARIover 0.5 INTshit · actual 1
This is a script read, not an accuracy read: a two-score dog throwing 40 times in the fourth quarter is where the extra pick comes from. More attempts, more exposure.
Normal1+ -142 ✓Edge1+ -142 ✓Edge+1+ -142 ✓
Matthew Stafford LAover 274.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 222
Arizona takes the run away and gives up more yards per throw than anyone, so the Rams keep throwing even in front. Stafford has cleared 50 attempts three straight weeks while the model prices him near 34.
Normal275+ -131 ✗Edge225+ -430 ✗Edge+200+ -869 ✓
Puka Nacua LAover 89.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 80
He is the whole target tree in a 40-throw offense, with no ramp since he returned. Arizona's secondary has been beaten over the top in every game this season.
Normal90+ -126 ✗Edge70+ -263 ✓Edge+50+ -660 ✓
4–1
LA vs ARI under calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Trey McBride ARIunder 59.5 rec ydshit · actual 53
His targets come at the line of scrimmage, and the Rams are the hardest defense in the league to gain yards on per throw. Catches yes, yardage no.
Normal<60 +105 ✓Edge<100 -525 ✓Edge+<140 -3476 ✓
Blake Corum LAunder 39.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 42
His snap share has collapsed to a quarter of the offense in a pass-first attack where the starter is also the checkdown back. Carries do not come back in a throwing game.
Normal<40 +109 ✗Edge<80 -660 ✓Edge+<110 -2580 ✓
Jacoby Brissett ARIunder 224.5 pass ydshit · actual 218
Arizona gets completions, not chunks, and this is the defense that has allowed the fewest passing yards in the league. Volume will be there; yards per throw will not.
Normal<225 +119 ✓Edge<300 -458 ✓Edge+<375 -2042 ✓
Tyler Allgeier ARIunder 49.5 rush ydshit · actual 38
He inherits the backfield with Love out, but a two-score underdog does not run it. Arizona's line has been giving him nothing before contact all year.
Normal<50 -126 ✓Edge<60 -218 ✓Edge+<70 -340 ✓
Michael Wilson ARIunder 59.5 rec ydshit · actual 32
Even with Harrison traded away his target count fell back to single digits, and the Rams' corners are the best-rated group he has seen. Short throws into a defense that concedes nothing per attempt.
Normal<60 -116 ✓Edge<100 -525 ✓Edge+<140 -2042 ✓
 B 75
SF logoSFvsWAS logoWAS MNF -7.5 51.5 40 under +10.1 +10.4 30–22 23–17
2–3
SF vs WAS over calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Jayden Daniels WASover 39.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 10
No Bosa, no Greenlaw and a thin edge rotation means open scramble lanes, and with their lead back out he is the short-yardage runner they trust while chasing points.
Normal40+ -107 ✗Edge25+ -306 ✗Edge+15+ -788 ✗
Antonio Williams WASover 1.5 receptionshit · actual 3
A touchdown-plus deficit pushes Washington into the throwing rate it ran in weeks 4 and 5, and he has held a two-thirds snap share through both of those games as the underneath option.
Normal2+ -208 ✓Edge2+ -208 ✓Edge+2+ -208 ✓
George Kittle SFto scorehit · actual 1
Washington gives up touchdowns on nearly every trip inside its 20 and is among the softest in the league against tight ends; with the receiver room gutted he is the short-field target.
NormalTD +109 ✓EdgeTD +109 ✓Edge+TD +109 ✓
Jayden Daniels WASto scoremiss · actual 0
With their starting back out, the short-yardage runner in this offense is the quarterback — he took both goal-line scores himself last week.
NormalTD +240 ✗EdgeTD +240 ✗Edge+TD +240 ✗
Brock Purdy SFover 2.5 pass TDsmiss · actual 1
San Francisco finishes almost everything inside the 20 and Washington concedes it; with the Commanders' front built to stop the run, the scores have to come through the air.
Normal3+ +146 ✗Edge2+ -228 ✗Edge+1+ -1236 ✓
2–4
SF vs WAS under calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Rachaad White WASunder 49.5 rush ydshit · actual 27
He inherits the lead role but meets the one front that smothers backs, and a chasing script turns his touches into checkdowns instead of carries.
Normal<50 -148 ✓Edge<60 -239 ✓Edge+<70 -381 ✓
Christian McCaffrey SFunder 99.5 rush+rec ydsmiss · actual 117
Washington's front is its one good unit, and San Francisco still gives away a handful of carries a week; his receiving work has been checkdown-sized all season.
Normal<100 +129 ✗Edge<125 -208 ✓Edge+<150 -525 ✓
Mike Evans SFunder 69.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 94
Ribs and an Achilles kept him off the practice field all week and he is a game-time decision; even if he dresses, he plays on a snap count.
Normal<70 -142 ✗Edge<120 -1087 ✓Edge+<160 -5268 ✓
Chig Okonkwo WASunder 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 69
San Francisco is one of the stingiest defenses in football against tight ends and Washington still rotates three of them through the formation.
Normal<25 -112 ✗Edge<50 -525 ✗Edge+<80 -3476 ✓
Brock Purdy SFunder 0.5 INTshit · actual 0
A home favorite of more than a touchdown throws fewer risky balls late — the attempts come down with a lead, and that is where picks live.
Normal<1 -148 ✓Edge<2 -719 ✓Edge+<3 -3476 ✓
Jayden Daniels WASunder 199.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 300
This secondary is the hardest in the league to complete against efficiently, and his own answer to a quiet pass rush is to take off — scrambles that eat into dropbacks.
Normal<200 +119 ✗Edge<275 -525 ✗Edge+<350 -5268 ✓
 B 69
KC logoKCvsLAC logoLAC 2:25pm -7.5 41.5 28 under +9.7 +9.5 24–17 22–6
4–1
KC vs LAC over calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Keaton Mitchell LACover 2.5 receptionsmiss · actual 0
He is the receiving back on a team that will trail and whose staff checks down rather than pushes it downfield, with Ingold on IR and the receiver room thinned by Harris's absence.
Normal3+ +119 ✗Edge2+ -228 ✗Edge+2+ -228 ✗
Kenneth Walker III KCto scorehit · actual 2
Kansas City's trips inside the 20 end in handoffs with two of its top three receivers unavailable, and Walker is the goal-line back. He has scored in three of four games.
NormalTD -168 ✓EdgeTD -168 ✓Edge+TD -168 ✓
Xavier Worthy KCover 49.5 rec ydshit · actual 73
Rice is out and Thornton is on IR, leaving Worthy as the only perimeter target with an air-yards share. The Charger secondary that earned its ranking is missing its safety and both outside corners from earlier weeks.
Normal50+ -103 ✓Edge40+ -168 ✓Edge+25+ -404 ✓
Justin Herbert LACover 0.5 INTshit · actual 1
A chasing script against a defense that has forced a giveaway in three of four games, with a quarterback who has thrown a pick in every game this season behind a line down six contributors.
Normal1+ -137 ✓Edge1+ -137 ✓Edge+1+ -137 ✓
Kenneth Walker III KCover 89.5 rush ydshit · actual 128
A favorite that has led nearly every snap all season hands it to Walker against a front whose interior is limited and rated near the bottom. He has had 18+ carries in all four games.
Normal90+ -121 ✓Edge70+ -276 ✓Edge+50+ -788 ✓
4–1
KC vs LAC under calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Ladd McConkey LACunder 3.5 receptionshit · actual 1
He is off the injury report but his coach would not commit to a snap count, and he has come off back-to-back near-zero games on a third of the snaps in a low-attempt offense.
Normal<4 -121 ✓Edge<4 -121 ✓Edge+<4 -121 ✓
Patrick Mahomes KCunder 1.5 pass TDshit · actual 0
With a lead and two of the top three receivers unavailable, the red-zone answer is Walker, and the Chargers defend their own 20 better than they defend the field.
Normal<2 -103 ✓Edge<3 -404 ✓Edge+<4 -1428 ✓
Justin Herbert LACunder 199.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 204
Attempt suppression, not matchup: this staff runs when it trails, and the receiver room is Harris-less with two starters on unclear snap counts. He has not cleared 226 yards in any game.
Normal<200 -131 ✗Edge<275 -869 ✓Edge+<325 -2580 ✓
Travis Kelce KCunder 4.5 receptionshit · actual 4
His volume tracks team attempts, and a run-leaning favorite in a low-total game does not throw enough. Our week-4 review flagged exactly this: the tight-end edge never got tested because Kansas City ran.
Normal<5 -116 ✓Edge<8 -869 ✓Edge+<11 ✓
Kenneth Walker III KCunder 3.5 receptionshit · actual 2
The checkdown work only appears when Kansas City trails. With a lead and roughly 30 attempts, the back disappears from the pattern — it happened in both of their wire-to-wire wins.
Normal<4 -148 ✓Edge<6 -719 ✓Edge+<8 -5268 ✓
 B 73
NE logoNEvsNYJ logoNYJ 11:00am -7.5 43.5 45 over +5.3 +4.7 26–18 26–19
2–2
NE vs NYJ over calls · 4 · graded off the box score
DeMario Douglas NEover 1.5 receptionshit · actual 7
New England wins this by checkdown and short throws against a defense that concedes nothing deep, and Douglas is the underneath target. A low catch bar for a man seeing five looks a week.
Normal2+ -175 ✓Edge2+ -175 ✓Edge+2+ -175 ✓
Rhamondre Stevenson NEover 2.5 receptionsmiss · actual 0
He is the pass-down back in an offense that will throw short against a defense that takes away depth, and the Jets concede receiving work to backs.
Normal3+ -142 ✗Edge2+ -404 ✗Edge+2+ -404 ✗
Braelon Allen NYJover 59.5 rush ydshit · actual 78
With Hall out again Allen is the whole backfield, and he's handled a true workhorse load the last two weeks. New England stops rushing value better than it stops rushing volume.
Normal60+ -131 ✓Edge50+ -218 ✓Edge+40+ -381 ✓
Garrett Wilson NYJover 69.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 44
Mitchell out for a third week leaves Wilson as the only concentrated target, and a chasing script funnels everything through him against a secondary missing its second corner.
Normal70+ -116 ✗Edge50+ -263 ✗Edge+40+ -430 ✓
2–4
NE vs NYJ under calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Braelon Allen NYJunder 14.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 26
Allen is a carry-volume back, not a receiving one: his targets are behind-the-line and his catches have produced almost nothing all year. The Jets' checkdown work has gone elsewhere.
Normal<15 -121 ✗Edge<40 -967 ✓Edge+<60 -5268 ✓
Rhamondre Stevenson NEunder 99.5 rush+rec ydshit · actual 36
A three-way backfield meets the one thing the Jets actually do well — stopping rushing value. Henderson is expected to play, which caps the carry share further.
Normal<100 -276 ✓Edge<125 -869 ✓Edge+<150 -2042 ✓
Rhamondre Stevenson NEunder 49.5 rush ydshit · actual 36
Committee carries into the Jets' best trait: they allow first downs on the ground but not yardage, and New England's interior is patched with two starters on IR.
Normal<50 +109 ✓Edge<100 -967 ✓Edge+<140 -10645 ✓
Geno Smith NYJunder 224.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 252
The Jets' passing volume dies with their drive count, not with the scoreboard: pre-snap flags and third-down failures end possessions before a deficit can force throws. Mitchell is out again.
Normal<225 -148 ✗Edge<275 -525 ✓Edge+<325 -1684 ✓
Geno Smith NYJunder 0.5 INTsmiss · actual 1
This is a volume call on takeaways: New England's defense almost never gets the ball, and the Jets' attempt count is capped by their own drive-killing penalties rather than inflated by chasing.
Normal<1 -107 ✗Edge<2 -564 ✓Edge+<3 -3476 ✓
Hunter Henry NEunder 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 48
The Jets are one of the few defenses that genuinely suppresses tight ends, and with A.J. Brown back the middle-field layer gets fewer looks than it did the last two weeks.
Normal<25 -103 ✗Edge<60 -788 ✓Edge+<100 -5268 ✓
 B 78
IND logoINDvsTEN logoTEN 11:00am -6.5 43.5 46 over +6.8 +6.5 25–18 20–26
3–2
IND vs TEN over calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Jonathan Taylor INDto scorehit · actual 1
He is the entire goal-line menu for a team that finishes with runs, and the favorite's script hands him the short-field work; his yardage can stall and the score still arrives.
NormalTD -239 ✓EdgeTD -239 ✓Edge+TD -239 ✓
Laquon Treadwell INDover 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 21
With the outside receiver room thinned, Indy's downfield work has gone to him rather than the slot, and a tight end game-time decision only adds to it.
Normal25+ -126 ✗Edge15+ -251 ✓Edge+15+ -251 ✓
Tony Pollard TENover 59.5 rush ydshit · actual 76
His carry count has held between 14 and 17 in four straight weeks regardless of score, and he meets the softest run defense he has faced all year on a per-carry basis.
Normal60+ +114 ✓Edge40+ -290 ✓Edge+25+ -869 ✓
Cam Ward TENover 199.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 102
He throws 33-36 times whenever Tennessee trails, and it will trail. Indianapolis neither pressures nor covers, and its pass rush may be short-handed, which is the clean pocket his quick game needs.
Normal200+ -121 ✗Edge150+ -458 ✗Edge+125+ -967 ✗
Carnell Tate TENover 49.5 rec ydshit · actual 70
He is the field-stretcher by role, not by game state — the one Titan who concentrates air yards — and chase mode funnels throws to him against a secondary that surrenders the field.
Normal50+ -112 ✓Edge40+ -175 ✓Edge+25+ -404 ✓
2–4
IND vs TEN under calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Keenan Allen INDunder 39.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 82
He is a part-time player now, fourth in the pecking order for air yards behind the tight end, the slot and Treadwell, on an offense that throws less once it leads.
Normal<40 +119 ✗Edge<70 -360 ✗Edge+<100 -1684 ✓
Jonathan Taylor INDunder 89.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 94
Tennessee's front gives up carries but not yards per carry, and McGowan siphons 5-6 of them whenever Indy is ahead. The scores are his; the yardage line is the stretch.
Normal<90 -121 ✗Edge<140 -788 ✓Edge+<180 -5268 ✓
Tyjae Spears TENunder 39.5 rush+rec ydshit · actual 8
Pollard owns the backfield, and last week's nine catches were dump-offs in a 23-point blowout, not a role. He is also carrying a knee through the week.
Normal<40 ✓Edge<40 ✓Edge+<40 ✓
Josh Downs INDunder 4.5 receptionshit · actual 4
The target concentration keeps going elsewhere — to the tight end and the perimeter — and a leading Colts team runs fewer dropbacks than this number needs.
Normal<5 +119 ✓Edge<8 -869 ✓Edge+<10 -10645 ✓
Cam Ward TENunder 0.5 INTsmiss · actual 1
This is a read that he throws it away rather than into trouble: the Colts take the ball away less than anyone, and a one-score chase does not produce the late desperation volume that creates picks.
Normal<1 -112 ✗Edge<2 -660 ✓Edge+<3 -5268 ✓
Daniel Jones INDunder 224.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 269
A touchdown favorite that leads throws less and shorter — that is exactly what happened the last time this team was ahead — and his top target is a game-time call.
Normal<225 -103 ✗Edge<300 -869 ✓Edge+<350 -3476 ✓
 D 52
BUF logoBUF@LV logoLV 2:25pm -5.5 53.5 63 over +0.3 -0.3 ↯ 30–24 33–30
4–2
BUF @ LV over calls · 6 · graded off the box score
James Cook BUFto scorehit · actual 1
Las Vegas concedes a touchdown on four of every five red-zone trips, and Buffalo's scoring inside the 10 is handed off. Cook has found the end zone in four straight.
NormalTD -142 ✓EdgeTD -142 ✓Edge+TD -142 ✓
Ty Johnson BUFover 1.5 receptionshit · actual 2
He is the passing-down back and has caught everything thrown at him since returning, with Buffalo's receiver room banged up. No injury designation after a full Friday.
Normal2+ -168 ✓Edge2+ -168 ✓Edge+2+ -168 ✓
Ashton Jeanty LVover 24.5 rec ydshit · actual 36
The receiving work is the live half of his usage, and the more Las Vegas trails the more checkdowns he gets. Buffalo's linebackers have been beaten underneath all season.
Normal25+ -121 ✓Edge15+ -290 ✓Edge+15+ -290 ✓
Kirk Cousins LVover 1.5 pass TDshit · actual 2
Buffalo is the league's softest defense once an opponent reaches the goal line, giving up touchdowns on nearly every red-zone trip. Cousins has thrown multiple scores in four of five starts.
Normal2+ -154 ✓Edge1+ -788 ✓Edge+1+ -788 ✓
Josh Allen BUFover 29.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 1
Las Vegas pressures at the second-highest rate in the league, and pressure on Allen turns into scrambles, not just sacks. Short-yardage keepers add the rest.
Normal30+ -142 ✗Edge20+ -322 ✗Edge+15+ -525 ✗
Brock Bowers LVover 79.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 70
He is the whole target tree on a team that has to throw to score, and a trailing script adds attempts. Our model's share still lags the 11-plus targets a game he has taken since returning.
Normal80+ -112 ✗Edge60+ -228 ✓Edge+40+ -660 ✓
3–2
BUF @ LV under calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Dalton Kincaid BUFunder 49.5 rec ydshit · actual 38
He has fallen to fourth in the target order behind Coleman, Shakir and the backs, and a run-leaning script keeps Buffalo's attempts modest. The line is priced off September, not the current role.
Normal<50 -103 ✓Edge<90 -660 ✓Edge+<120 -2580 ✓
Josh Allen BUFunder 1.5 pass TDsmiss · actual 2
Buffalo's red-zone scoring runs through legs, not throws — Allen's and Cook's. Against a defense that will be chased into a lead script, the short-yardage carry is the call inside the 10.
Normal<2 +114 ✗Edge<3 -340 ✓Edge+<4 -1428 ✓
Josh Allen BUFunder 249.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 255
Favored in a dome with the ground game as the scoring plan, Buffalo's attempts stay in the high 20s, and two of its top wideouts are banged up. Entirely conditional on the Bills leading.
Normal<250 -126 ✗Edge<325 -788 ✓Edge+<375 -5268 ✓
Josh Allen BUFunder 0.5 INTshit · actual 0
This is a volume call, not a safety one: favorites in control throw fewer times and bleed clock, and our model over-counts attempts for the side that leads.
Normal<1 -137 ✓Edge<2 -719 ✓Edge+<3 -3476 ✓
Ashton Jeanty LVunder 54.5 rush ydshit · actual 22
His carries shrink every week as Las Vegas falls behind, and the blocking in front of him is the worst in the sample. Buffalo gives up EPA on the ground but holds yards per carry down.
Normal<55 -107 ✓Edge<90 -489 ✓Edge+<130 -2042 ✓
 C 67
CAR logoCAR@PHI logoPHI⚠ QB PHI: Jalen Hurts Out 11:00am -3 39.5 39 under +0.7 +6.5 21–18 25–14
4–2
CAR @ PHI over calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Makai Lemon PHIover 14.5 rec ydshit · actual 19
His snap and target shares have risen every week and a checkdown-heavy backup quarterback feeds the short middle. The line is priced off his screen-game weeks, not his current role.
Normal15+ -148 ✓Edge15+ -148 ✓Edge+15+ -148 ✓
Dameon Pierce PHIover 49.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 35
Philadelphia has two healthy backs on the roster and he is the one taking the work. Carolina's front has been run through for yards all season even when the per-play numbers look fine.
Normal50+ -107 ✗Edge40+ -208 ✗Edge+30+ -381 ✓
Dontayvion Wicks PHIover 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 24
A home dog with a backup quarterback throws, and Wicks has run 84-92% of snaps in four straight games. His line is set as if Smith's return erases him.
Normal25+ -148 ✗Edge15+ -306 ✓Edge+15+ -306 ✓
Chuba Hubbard CARover 69.5 rush ydshit · actual 120
Carolina is favored in the lowest-total game on the board with Dillon out, and Hubbard's carries have climbed every week. Our Week 4 review showed this run game is live when Carolina plays with a lead.
Normal70+ -121 ✓Edge50+ -340 ✓Edge+40+ -564 ✓
Tetairoa McMillan CARover 4.5 receptionshit · actual 6
He is the only Panther who has held a full-time route share all year, and Philadelphia's pass rush can't shorten the game's dropbacks. Coker's return costs him air yards, not catches.
Normal5+ -148 ✓Edge4+ -322 ✓Edge+3+ -719 ✓
Tanner McKee PHIover 199.5 pass ydshit · actual 215
Carolina does not get home — a 38-year-old backup threw clean on them in Week 3 and Detroit put up 412. A deficit plus Smith and Wicks both cleared gives McKee the attempts his line doesn't price.
Normal200+ -116 ✓Edge150+ -381 ✓Edge+125+ -660 ✓
2–4
CAR @ PHI under calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Jalen Coker CARunder 59.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 97
First game back from a quad that cost him two weeks and most of a third, in a receiver room where McMillan is the air-yards alpha. A snap ramp is the normal shape of this return.
Normal<60 -131 ✗Edge<100 -660 ✓Edge+<130 -2580 ✓
Jalen Coker CARunder 4.5 receptionsmiss · actual 6
Same ramp read as his yardage: a returning third option on a team expected to throw less than usual needs a near-season-high catch total to clear.
Normal<5 +109 ✗Edge<8 -660 ✓Edge+<11 -10645 ✓
Dallas Goedert PHIunder 39.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 61
Carolina has been stingy to tight ends and Goedert's volume returns came on short, low-value targets. A debut starter's first-read tree with Smith back cuts into him.
Normal<40 -131 ✗Edge<70 -660 ✓Edge+<100 -2580 ✓
Bryce Young CARunder 0.5 INTshit · actual 0
This is a script call: favorites who play ahead throw fewer and safer, and Philadelphia's defense has forced three takeaways in five games. Fewer attempts, fewer chances.
Normal<1 -103 ✓Edge<2 -609 ✓Edge+<3 -5268 ✓
Bryce Young CARunder 249.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 281
Young's big yardage weeks came on 37-48 attempts. As a favorite in the lowest-total game on the board with a lead back rolling, the attempts should sit in the low 30s.
Normal<250 -148 ✗Edge<325 -1087 ✓Edge+<375 -5268 ✓
Darren Waller CARunder 24.5 rec ydshit · actual 0
Waller is a rotational red-zone piece, not a yardage producer, and Philadelphia has been one of the tougher defenses on tight ends. A lower-attempt Carolina game shrinks the slice.
Normal<25 -107 ✓Edge<60 -1236 ✓Edge+<90 -5268 ✓
 B 75
BAL logoBAL@CLE logoCLE 11:00am -3 39.5 23 under +3.9 +3.8 21–18 10–13
1–5
BAL @ CLE over calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Rashod Bateman BALover 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 0
His line is priced for a backup quarterback, but with Huntley he was the primary boundary target and took the largest share of the throws downfield. A sub-25-yard number only needs two catches.
Normal25+ +124 ✗Edge15+ -161 ✗Edge+15+ -161 ✗
Jerry Jeudy CLEover 1.5 receptionshit · actual 4
A pass-leaning script with no running back forces a fourth and fifth target into the rotation, and Jeudy's snap share jumped back up last week. The number asks for almost nothing.
Normal2+ +109 ✓Edge2+ +109 ✓Edge+2+ +109 ✓
Deshaun Watson CLEover 29.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 29
With the lead back out and the run game dead, Watson's legs are Cleveland's short-yardage answer. Our Week 4 review showed this read fails only when the pass rush never arrives; Baltimore's is middling.
Normal30+ -107 ✗Edge20+ -251 ✓Edge+15+ -430 ✓
Denzel Boston CLEover 49.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 15
Cleveland has no run game left, so the ball goes up, and Boston is the one receiver who never leaves the field and owns the deep targets. Baltimore has given up explosive passes nearly every week.
Normal50+ -112 ✗Edge25+ -381 ✗Edge+15+ -788 ✓
Derrick Henry BALover 99.5 rush+rec ydsmiss · actual 60
Same mechanism as the rushing number with the checkdowns added: in a low-attempt game with a backup quarterback, Henry is also a safety valve out of the backfield.
Normal100+ -121 ✗Edge100+ -121 ✗Edge+100+ -121 ✗
Derrick Henry BALover 89.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 58
With Jackson out, the ground game is the whole plan, and Cleveland's interior is missing its best two linemen. This is the softest run front Henry has faced, and a lead only adds fourth-quarter carries.
Normal90+ -116 ✗Edge70+ -251 ✗Edge+50+ -719 ✓
4–0
BAL @ CLE under calls · 4 · graded off the box score
Harold Fannin Jr. CLEunder 39.5 rec ydshit · actual 9
He plays nearly every snap but catches the ball at the sticks, not past them; his value in this offense is touchdowns and first downs, not yardage. A slow, low-total game keeps the pie small.
Normal<40 -148 ✓Edge<70 -660 ✓Edge+<100 -3476 ✓
KC Concepcion CLEunder 39.5 rec ydshit · actual 37
He is the fourth option in a short-passing attack and his snap share collapsed last week on his return from the hit. The targets that used to be his are Boston's and Fannin's.
Normal<40 -121 ✓Edge<70 -489 ✓Edge+<100 -3476 ✓
Tyler Huntley BALunder 0.5 INTshit · actual 0
Picks are an attempts story, and this is the script that removes attempts: a favorite running the ball against the league's worst run-defense efficiency. Fewer throws, and most of them short.
Normal<1 -142 ✓Edge<2 -719 ✓Edge+<3 -3476 ✓
Tyler Huntley BALunder 174.5 pass ydshit · actual 165
The model prices him for a full-volume passing game; the matchup says otherwise. Baltimore's edge here is on the ground, and a backup quarterback behind a patched line gets asked to manage, not carry.
Normal<175 -137 ✓Edge<250 -1236 ✓Edge+<300 -5268 ✓
 C 63
PIT logoPIT@TB logoTB 11:00am -2.5 38.5 45 over +0.4 -0.9 ↯ 20–18 26–19
3–3
PIT @ TB over calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Jaylen Warren PITover 24.5 rec ydshit · actual 28
When this offense can't run it throws at the back, and Tampa's linebackers have been the soft spot underneath all year. Trotter, their best cover man there, is questionable.
Normal25+ -148 ✓Edge15+ -340 ✓Edge+15+ -340 ✓
Jaylen Warren PITover 89.5 rush+rec ydsmiss · actual 78
Tampa's front erases his carries but can't touch the quarterback, so his production moves to routes and checkdowns. The combined market is the script-proof version of his workload.
Normal90+ -126 ✗Edge90+ -126 ✗Edge+90+ -126 ✗
Cade Otton TBover 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 4
The most stable target in this offense regardless of quarterback, and a short-aDOT passer feeds the tight end first. His line is set near the bottom of his weekly range.
Normal25+ -131 ✗Edge15+ -290 ✗Edge+15+ -290 ✗
Bucky Irving TBover 64.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 46
He is the only lane Tampa has with a rookie throwing at four yards downfield, and Pittsburgh's front is the softer half of this game. Tucker's likely absence keeps every short-yardage carry his.
Normal65+ -107 ✗Edge50+ -239 ✗Edge+40+ -430 ✓
Aaron Rodgers PITover 224.5 pass ydshit · actual 253
The one defense trait that has broken him — four-man pressure — is absent here, while the run he'd rather lean on is gone. That combination pushes his attempts toward the high-30s he hits whenever Pittsburgh can't run.
Normal225+ -112 ✓Edge175+ -404 ✓Edge+150+ -788 ✓
DK Metcalf PITover 49.5 rec ydshit · actual 93
Pittman, Wilson and Skowronek are all gone, so the air yards have nowhere else to go, and he was cleared Saturday. A pressure-less front lets the deep shots actually develop.
Normal50+ -116 ✓Edge40+ -175 ✓Edge+25+ -404 ✓
3–2
PIT @ TB under calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Kenny Gainwell TBunder 29.5 rush+rec ydshit · actual 24
A sub-45% snap passing-down back whose targets come behind the line of scrimmage, in a game Tampa wants to grind with its starter. The touches aren't there.
Normal<30 -116 ✓Edge<55 -660 ✓Edge+<80 -3476 ✓
Germie Bernard PITunder 4.5 receptionsmiss · actual 11
The expanded role is real but this rung asks for a career-level catch count from a rookie who is the third read behind Metcalf, Warren and the tight ends.
Normal<5 -148 ✗Edge<8 -1428 ✗Edge+<10 -10645 ✗
Bucky Irving TBunder 14.5 rec ydshit · actual 3
Gainwell owns the passing-down snaps and this quarterback's checkdowns go at or behind the line. Irving's value is carries, not routes.
Normal<15 -168 ✓Edge<40 -1236 ✓Edge+<50 -2580 ✓
Emeka Egbuka TBunder 39.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 48
With this quarterback Tampa's receiving market is a catch market, not a yardage market — his air yards arrive on incompletions and his catches come at the sticks. Efficiency call.
Normal<40 -126 ✗Edge<70 -564 ✓Edge+<100 -2580 ✓
Jaylen Warren PITunder 59.5 rush ydshit · actual 50
This is the toughest front in the league to run at by yards allowed, and Dowdle is back to take short-yardage work. Warren's yards come through the air this week, not on the ground.
Normal<60 -112 ✓Edge<100 -660 ✓Edge+<140 -5268 ✓
 B 70
JAX logoJAXvsHOU logoHOU 7:30am -2.5 42.5 65 over +5.9 +6.6 22–20 31–34
4–1
JAX vs HOU over calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Xavier Hutchinson HOUover 1.5 receptionshit · actual 2
Same forced-dropback script, cheaper rung. He has caught at least three passes in every game of the season without once needing a big day.
Normal2+ -116 ✓Edge2+ -116 ✓Edge+2+ -116 ✓
Xavier Hutchinson HOUover 14.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 10
Houston can't run here, so the dropbacks pile up and the complementary receivers eat. He has cleared this modest number in every game, with five or more targets in four of five.
Normal15+ -112 ✗Edge15+ -112 ✗Edge+15+ -112 ✗
Brenton Strange HOUover 3.5 receptionshit · actual 5
Houston's middle of the field is thinned — a safety out and its most-used linebacker released — and that is exactly where this tight end lives on third down.
Normal4+ -137 ✓Edge3+ -306 ✓Edge+2+ -788 ✓
C.J. Stroud HOUover 249.5 pass ydshit · actual 312
The Jaguars take the run away better than anyone, which turns Houston's carries into throws. The same defense surrenders more passing yardage per game than any but one.
Normal250+ -126 ✓Edge200+ -404 ✓Edge+175+ -719 ✓
Nico Collins HOUover 69.5 rec ydshit · actual 74
Undisputed alpha on an offense about to be forced into 35-plus throws, against a corner room missing one starter with another limited all week.
Normal70+ -131 ✓Edge50+ -290 ✓Edge+40+ -458 ✓
1–4
JAX vs HOU under calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Dalton Schultz HOUunder 3.5 receptionsmiss · actual 4
His one big game came with the alpha receiver out. With Collins healthy and another receiver added by trade, he is back to a four-target checkdown role against a defense stingy to tight ends.
Normal<4 -126 ✗Edge<7 -1087 ✓Edge+<9 -3476 ✓
Bhayshul Tuten JAXunder 64.5 rush ydshit · actual 39
His carry count is safe; his yards are not. Houston's front is one of the three best at limiting yards per carry, and he has not exceeded this range in any game this season.
Normal<65 -131 ✓Edge<100 -564 ✓Edge+<130 -2042 ✓
Woody Marks HOUunder 69.5 rush+rec ydsmiss · actual 81
A back who inherits the job on a team whose run game has lost ground every week, running into the stingiest front in football per carry. The receiving work needs a chase script that a one-score game may not give.
Normal<70 -142 ✗Edge<95 -458 ✓Edge+<120 -1684 ✓
Woody Marks HOUunder 49.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 56
The lead job is his, but the carries come against a wall. Our models consistently give backs too much credit against elite run defenses, and this offense has never run well regardless of opponent.
Normal<50 -142 ✗Edge<80 -660 ✓Edge+<110 -3476 ✓
C.J. Stroud HOUunder 0.5 INTsmiss · actual 1
This is a fewer-picks call. He has not thrown one all season, and a one-score game means no late chase-mode volume spike — the situation that actually produces interceptions.
Normal<1 -121 ✗Edge<2 -660 ✓Edge+<3 -3476 ✓
 C 56
SEA logoSEA@DEN logoDEN TNF -2.5 40.5 31 under +0.4 +0.4 22–19 14–17
2–2
SEA @ DEN over calls · 4 · graded off the box score
George Holani SEAover 29.5 rush+rec ydsmiss · actual 20
The clear RB2 in a two-man room with Charbonnet still out, and his touches come as both carries against a soft front and checkdowns when the pocket gets squeezed.
Normal30+ +109 ✗Edge30+ +109 ✗Edge+30+ +109 ✗
Sam Darnold SEAover 224.5 pass ydshit · actual 278
Seattle throws at the highest yards-per-attempt in this game and draws a secondary down two starters. This is an efficiency call, so it needs the attempt base to hold near 30.
Normal225+ -107 ✓Edge175+ -381 ✓Edge+150+ -788 ✓
Jaxon Smith-Njigba SEAover 89.5 rec ydshit · actual 134
Denver's top corner and its ballhawk safety are both out and the next corner is questionable. Seattle routes roughly half its air yards to one man regardless of script.
Normal90+ -131 ✓Edge70+ -251 ✓Edge+50+ -609 ✓
Emanuel Wilson SEAover 64.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 52
He is the whole backfield with Charbonnet and Price out, and he meets the softest run front Seattle has seen. A one-score lead on a short week turns into handoffs.
Normal65+ -126 ✗Edge50+ -251 ✓Edge+40+ -430 ✓
4–1
SEA @ DEN under calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Jaylen Waddle DENunder 49.5 rec ydshit · actual 24
His yardage is quarterback-capped: the targets arrive, the air yards do not. Seattle's corners and safeties have allowed the fewest receiver yards in the league on a per-game basis.
Normal<50 -131 ✓Edge<90 -788 ✓Edge+<120 -3476 ✓
Courtland Sutton DENunder 34.5 rec ydshit · actual 19
He is the air-yards target on an offense whose quarterback misses deep, and he draws Seattle's best cover corner and a safety group that has erased the deep middle.
Normal<35 -131 ✓Edge<70 -788 ✓Edge+<100 -3476 ✓
Bo Nix DENunder 199.5 pass ydshit · actual 107
A short-area passing game meets the league's stingiest unit between the 20s. Yards come after the catch, and this secondary tackles and squeezes the field better than anyone he has faced.
Normal<200 -126 ✓Edge<275 -719 ✓Edge+<325 -3476 ✓
Cooper Kupp SEAunder 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 50
Fourth in line for air yards on an offense that funnels everything to one receiver, in a game plan built to run and shorten the night.
Normal<25 -131 ✗Edge<50 -564 ✗Edge+<80 -3476 ✓
J.K. Dobbins DENunder 49.5 rush ydshit · actual 41
The best run defense in football against a back averaging under 4.0 a carry all season. If Denver trails, the carries go too — this is the most dependable shape of call on the board.
Normal<50 -121 ✓Edge<90 -788 ✓Edge+<120 -5268 ✓
 C 57
DAL logoDAL@GB logoGB SNF -1.5 53.5 36 under -3.5 -3.2 28–26 13–23
2–4
DAL @ GB over calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Jordan Love GBover 1.5 pass TDsmiss · actual 1
He has thrown exactly two touchdowns in every game this season, and this is the weakest pass defense he has faced — no rush, a secondary down two corners' worth of bodies.
Normal2+ -191 ✗Edge1+ -967 ✓Edge+1+ -967 ✓
MarShawn Lloyd GBover 59.5 rush+rec ydsmiss · actual 10
Both halves of his line point up: Dallas is last in rushing yards allowed per game, and if Green Bay protects a lead he becomes the checkdown outlet, which is how he got his best game.
Normal60+ -103 ✗Edge60+ -103 ✗Edge+60+ -103 ✗
Javonte Williams DALto scorehit · actual 1
He owns the goal line at a near-80% snap share for an offense that finishes nearly four of five trips, and Green Bay is one of the softest defenses in the league once you reach its 20.
NormalTD -191 ✓EdgeTD -191 ✓Edge+TD -191 ✓
Christian Watson GBto scoremiss · actual 0
He is the vertical scorer on an offense that has to throw to move, against a defense that has given up chunk plays over the top four straight weeks and cannot get home with four.
NormalTD +119 ✗EdgeTD +119 ✗Edge+TD +119 ✗
Matthew Golden GBover 64.5 rec ydshit · actual 104
With Reed and Moore both on injured reserve and the third receiver only activated Saturday, his target floor is the highest on the team in a game Green Bay has to throw to win.
Normal65+ -121 ✓Edge50+ -208 ✓Edge+40+ -340 ✓
Javonte Williams DALover 69.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 41
Green Bay's interior line lost two bodies to injured reserve this week, the same hole Atlanta ran through for a 242-yard afternoon, and a one-score script keeps Dallas's carries where they were in September.
Normal70+ +105 ✗Edge50+ -263 ✗Edge+40+ -489 ✓
3–3
DAL @ GB under calls · 6 · graded off the box score
CeeDee Lamb DALunder 6.5 receptionsmiss · actual 9
His line is priced off the Houston game, where he drew more than twenty looks in a blowout chase. Without that script, and against the stingiest coverage he has seen, the catch count comes back down.
Normal<7 -126 ✗Edge<10 -719 ✓Edge+<13 -3476 ✓
Dak Prescott DALunder 274.5 pass ydshit · actual 258
His last three big numbers all came from 40-plus attempt chase scripts. This is a near pick'em against the one secondary that has actually held people down, and Dallas finally has a run matchup worth using.
Normal<275 -107 ✓Edge<350 -660 ✓Edge+<400 -2042 ✓
Jake Ferguson DALunder 24.5 rec ydshit · actual 13
His value this season is short touchdowns, not yardage, and he runs into the one position matchup Green Bay genuinely wins.
Normal<25 -116 ✓Edge<60 -1236 ✓Edge+<90 -5268 ✓
George Pickens DALunder 69.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 73
His two big games came with the alpha receiver hurt or absent from the field. Lamb is back to full practice, and Green Bay is the first defense this year that takes the field yards away.
Normal<70 -116 ✗Edge<120 -719 ✓Edge+<160 -2580 ✓
Kaleb Johnson GBunder 49.5 rush ydshit · actual -2
His snap share has been falling inside a three-way committee, and a fourth back took carries and targets last week. The volume to clear this number is not his.
Normal<50 ✓Edge<50 ✓Edge+<50 ✓
Ryan Flournoy DALunder 24.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 40
His projection is inflated by one long catch; as the third or fourth option in a game where Dallas throws less than it has all season, the floor games are the norm.
Normal<25 +140 ✗Edge<60 -458 ✓Edge+<90 -2042 ✓
 C 57
NO logoNO@NYG logoNYG 11:00am -1.5 46.5 61 over -4.5 -5.1 24–22 34–27
1–4
NO @ NYG over calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Devaughn Vele NOover 3.5 receptionsmiss · actual 3
A full-time perimeter role in an offense that throws 35-plus times with no run game to fall back on. Volume, not efficiency — his yards per catch is modest.
Normal4+ -161 ✗Edge3+ -360 ✓Edge+2+ -869 ✓
Chris Olave NOover 4.5 receptionsmiss · actual 4
He is the whole target tree on a team that has to throw, and the Giants are down three defensive backs. Confirmed active Sunday morning after an illness week.
Normal5+ ✗Edge5+ ✗Edge+5+ ✗
Najee Harris NYGover 24.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 2
He is reported to start Sunday after the lead back's fumbling, and he runs into the softest run front he will see this year. Pure volume call, not an efficiency one.
Normal25+ -218 ✗Edge25+ -218 ✗Edge+25+ -218 ✗
Isaiah Likely NYGover 5.5 receptionshit · actual 6
The second tight end is ruled out, handing him the room outright, and he has been the short-area hub for two straight weeks against a defense that concedes the middle of the field.
Normal6+ +105 ✓Edge4+ -360 ✓Edge+3+ -788 ✓
Chris Olave NOover 79.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 43
A chasing script and a secondary missing three starters is how he has posted his big weeks. The Giants give up the field between the 20s even as they hold at their goal line.
Normal80+ -107 ✗Edge60+ -228 ✗Edge+40+ -564 ✓
2–2 1 void
NO @ NYG under calls · 5 · graded off the box score
Bryce Lance NOunder 14.5 rec ydshit · actual 9
Snap share without targets: his routes have produced almost nothing for a month and his playing time fell off a cliff last week. The targets belong to Olave, Vele and the tight end.
Normal<15 -137 ✓Edge<40 -788 ✓Edge+<60 -2580 ✓
Juwan Johnson NOunder 4.5 receptionshit · actual 0
His snap share has slipped as the other tight end has returned to a full-time role, and the catches cluster only when New Orleans is trailing by multiple scores.
Normal<5 -148 ✓Edge<8 -1428 ✓Edge+<11 ✓
Kendre Miller NOunder 34.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 70
Three backs share a run game that cannot run, and Kamara is confirmed active. New Orleans only gets to 20-plus carries in a game it leads, which is not the likely shape here.
Normal<35 -107 ✗Edge<70 -719 ✗Edge+<100 -5268 ✓
Jameis Winston NYGunder 0.5 INTsmiss · actual 2
This is a script call: a favorite leaning on the run throws fewer times than projected, and New Orleans has forced almost nothing all season. Fewer attempts, fewer chances to give it away.
Normal<1 +124 ✗Edge<2 -404 ✗Edge+<3 -1684 ✓
Cam Skattebo NYGunder 79.5 rush+rec ydsdid not play
The Giants are shaking up the backfield after his fumbling, with Harris starting and two more backs active. Touches, not yards per touch, are what this call is about.
Normal<80 -360Edge<105 -1236Edge+<130 -3476
 F 41
CHI logoCHI@ATL logoATL 11:00am -1.5 51.5 54 over -1.4 -2.4 26–25 31–23
2–3
CHI @ ATL over calls · 5 · graded off the box score
D'Andre Swift CHIover 14.5 rec ydshit · actual 26
Atlanta pressures at the fifth-highest rate, and every time this line leaks the ball goes to the back underneath. With the other back out, Swift owns the checkdowns.
Normal15+ -126 ✓Edge15+ -126 ✓Edge+15+ -126 ✓
Rome Odunze CHIover 39.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 39
He is the only outside-the-numbers volume Chicago has, and his snap share has climbed to near every snap. With Williams back the downfield share goes to him first.
Normal40+ -131 ✗Edge25+ -276 ✓Edge+15+ -564 ✓
Jahan Dotson ATLover 24.5 rec ydshit · actual 87
In a low-attempt Falcons game one deep shot is the whole number, and Chicago is the defense that gives those up with its pass rush gutted. He is the vertical complement to London.
Normal25+ +101 ✓Edge15+ -191 ✓Edge+15+ -191 ✓
Bijan Robinson ATLover 89.5 rush ydsmiss · actual 61
Chicago can't stop the run and now plays without its two best edge rushers and its starting linebacker. Any Falcons lead turns this into 20-plus carries, the way it did at Green Bay and New Orleans.
Normal90+ -126 ✗Edge70+ -276 ✗Edge+50+ -788 ✓
Bijan Robinson ATLover 129.5 rush+rec ydsmiss · actual 53
Same ground edge, plus a receiving floor that reappeared last week when Atlanta had to chase. He is the one Falcon whose volume survives either script.
Normal130+ -107 ✗Edge130+ -107 ✗Edge+130+ -107 ✗
4–2
CHI @ ATL under calls · 6 · graded off the box score
Drake London ATLunder 6.5 receptionshit · actual 4
He is the alpha, but a low-attempt Falcons game caps catches — his yardage comes in chunks, not in volume. Seven-plus grabs needs a throwing script Atlanta avoids.
Normal<7 -142 ✓Edge<10 -869 ✓Edge+<13 -5268 ✓
Michael Penix Jr. ATLunder 249.5 pass ydshit · actual 225
Atlanta's attempts die whenever it can run, and this is the softest run matchup on its schedule. A lead drops their pass rate toward thirty percent.
Normal<250 -142 ✓Edge<325 -967 ✓Edge+<375 -2580 ✓
Colston Loveland CHIunder 39.5 rec ydsmiss · actual 65
Full-time snaps have produced a target floor but not yardage: his catches come short and in traffic. Atlanta has been stingy to tight ends relative to what it gives receivers.
Normal<40 -126 ✗Edge<70 -525 ✓Edge+<100 -1684 ✓
Caleb Williams CHIunder 0.5 INTshit · actual 0
Atlanta almost never intercepts the ball — its takeaways this year came from opponents' mistakes, not its coverage. A favorite leaning on the run throws fewer risky balls late.
Normal<1 -148 ✓Edge<2 -1428 ✓Edge+<3 -5268 ✓
D'Andre Swift CHIunder 59.5 rush ydshit · actual 44
Atlanta's front is the one thing that has held up all year: almost no yards before contact and the fourth-fewest rushing yards allowed. Volume from the backup's absence doesn't fix yards per carry.
Normal<60 +105 ✓Edge<110 -869 ✓Edge+<160 -10645 ✓
Caleb Williams CHIunder 224.5 pass ydsmiss · actual 305
First game back from the hamstring, a replacement left tackle, and the league's fifth-best pressure defense that also allows the fifth-fewest yards per attempt. This offense shrinks when the quarterback gets hit.
Normal<225 +105 ✗Edge<300 -564 ✗Edge+<350 -1684 ✓
 B 71
Fantasy projections

Projected leaders, week 6

Expected PPR points from the projected box scores; DEF = fewest projected points allowed. The actual sits in parentheses: green beat the projection, red fell short (defenses the other way round).
#QBProj (act)
1Jayden DanielsJ. DanielsFP WAS22.7 (21.0)
2Brock PurdyB. Purdy SF20.0 (17.4)
3Josh AllenJ. Allen BUF19.9 (18.3)
4Drake MayeD. MayeFP NE18.8 (23.8)
5Jacoby BrissettJ. Brissett ARI18.4 (6.9)
6Matthew StaffordM. Stafford LA17.8 (16.9)
7Deshaun WatsonD. Watson CLE17.6 (9.5)
8C.J. StroudC.J. Stroud HOU16.9 (23.0)
9Caleb WilliamsC. WilliamsQ CHI16.6 (16.5)
10Jordan LoveJ. Love GB16.5 (20.2)
#RBProj (act)
1Bijan RobinsonB. Robinson ATL22.8 (7.3)
2Jaylen WarrenJ. Warren PIT21.4 (9.8)
3Jonathan TaylorJ. TaylorFP IND20.7 (21.1)
4Kyren WilliamsK. Williams LA20.3 (9.7)
5Kenneth Walker IIIK. Walker III KC19.4 (27.9)
6James CookJ. Cook BUF18.8 (24.3)
7Ashton JeantyA. JeantyFP LV18.8 (15.8)
8D'Andre SwiftD. Swift CHI18.3 (23.0)
9Christian McCaffreyC. McCaffreyFP SF17.9 (30.7)
10Chuba HubbardC. Hubbard CAR16.8 (19.1)
#WRProj (act)
1Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJ. Smith-NjigbaFP SEA20.8 (25.4)
2Drake LondonD. LondonLP ATL17.6 (12.2)
3Garrett WilsonG. Wilson NYJ17.0 (8.4)
4Mike EvansM. EvansQ SF16.2 (12.4)
5Puka NacuaP. Nacua LA16.1 (14.0)
6Chris OlaveC. OlaveQ NO16.0 (14.3)
7Malik NabersM. Nabers NYG15.2 (28.5)
8Zay FlowersZ. FlowersLP BAL15.1 (12.7)
9Michael WilsonM. Wilson ARI15.0 (7.2)
10Christian WatsonC. Watson GB14.6 (9.4)
#TEProj (act)
1Brock BowersB. BowersFP LV15.2 (11.0)
2Trey McBrideT. McBride ARI13.9 (12.3)
3Isaiah LikelyI. LikelyFP NYG13.7 (23.9)
4George KittleG. Kittle SF12.5 (17.9)
5Travis KelceT. Kelce KC11.3 (9.3)
6Tyler WarrenT. WarrenQ IND11.1
7Brenton StrangeB. Strange JAX10.7 (9.4)
8Tucker KraftT. Kraft GB9.5 (8.7)
9Charlie KolarC. KolarFP LAC9.2 (5.0)
10Pat FreiermuthP. FreiermuthQ PIT9.0 (3.1)
#DEFProj allowed (act)
1KCKC 17.0 (6)
2NENE 18.0 (19)
3PITPIT 18.0 (19)
4CARCAR 18.2 (14)
5BALBAL 18.2 (13)
6INDIND 18.5 (26)
7SEASEA 19.0 (17)
8LALA 19.5 (18)
9JAXJAX 20.0 (34)
10TBTB 20.5 (26)
Rest-of-season outlook

Player outlook: offense and remaining schedule

The player's offense (pass side for QB, WR and TE, run side for RB) blended with how soft the defenses left on their slate are. 50 is league average; high = strong offense with an easy road. Team data 2026 weeks 1–5, schedule = remaining weeks 6–18. Each team shows its lead player; the arrow opens the rest. Green/amber = top/bottom 10 teams on team columns; top/bottom 25 players on RB and WR stats, 10 on QB and TE. Click a column to rank by it.
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Pass EPASched EPAGms LeftPass Y/GComp%Pass RtgPass TDINTRush Y/GPPR/G
1Trevor LawrenceT. Lawrence JAX562.9+0.097+0.193+0.14212234.867.1%106.810311.817.4
2Jordan LoveJ. Love GB559.2-0.041+0.117+0.13312281.660.5%95.5103-0.418.0
3Brock PurdyB. Purdy SF558.9+0.194+0.360+0.08112239.269.0%119.313225.623.3
4Dak PrescottD. Prescott DAL558.4+0.152+0.230+0.10412276.267.2%97.29313.218.8
5Jalen HurtsJ. HurtsO PHI558.2-0.095-0.019+0.15512186.657.8%84.78321.416.0
6Matthew StaffordM. Stafford LA556.6+0.110+0.177+0.10312314.464.4%88.3964.217.8
7Jameis WinstonJ. Winston NYG456.5-0.014+0.151+0.10812201.257.6%81.26310.513.1
↳Jaxson DartJ. Dart NYG256.5-0.014+0.151+0.10812125.076.5%125.93027.013.7
8Joe BurrowJ. Burrow CIN555.4+0.147+0.229+0.08412272.271.4%104.41139.620.2
9Sam DarnoldS. Darnold SEA455.2-0.110+0.082+0.11312188.864.3%90.3754.012.5
↳Drew LockD. LockLP SEA255.2-0.110+0.082+0.11312211.072.9%127.3406.517.1
10Kirk CousinsK. Cousins LV552.0+0.079+0.265+0.05512253.865.1%100.7124-0.418.5
11Josh AllenJ. Allen BUF551.9+0.200+0.350+0.03612249.865.9%99.67447.828.6
12Jayden DanielsJ. DanielsFP WAS351.8-0.002+0.078+0.09112153.060.5%90.83067.721.6
↳Marcus MariotaM. MariotaO WAS351.8-0.002+0.078+0.09112113.364.7%109.94016.311.5
↳Athan KaliakmanisA. Kaliakmanis WAS151.8-0.002+0.078+0.09112186.045.5%60.91116.011.0
13Bo NixB. Nix DEN551.5-0.045-0.011+0.10812188.459.9%80.8637.013.0
14C.J. StroudC.J. Stroud HOU551.1+0.008+0.144+0.07312280.464.3%98.16014.217.8
15Caleb WilliamsC. WilliamsQ CHI250.7+0.031+0.136+0.07212203.565.5%92.02153.522.5
↳Case KeenumC. Keenum CHI250.7+0.031+0.136+0.07212177.566.0%89.7215.012.6
↳Tyson BagentT. Bagent CHI350.7+0.031+0.136+0.07212136.365.6%63.9036.04.1
16Tyler HuntleyT. Huntley BAL250.3+0.181+0.284+0.03912132.078.0%109.82018.014.1
↳Lamar JacksonL. JacksonO BAL450.3+0.181+0.284+0.03912241.870.8%119.66136.019.8
17Geno SmithG. Smith NYJ550.0-0.056-0.023+0.10012216.869.4%104.2608.613.9
18Deshaun WatsonD. Watson CLE549.5-0.048+0.104+0.07112202.064.2%94.17233.415.8
19Drake MayeD. MayeFP NE548.7+0.056+0.175+0.05112245.665.6%88.98732.217.4
20Jacoby BrissettJ. Brissett ARI547.0-0.065-0.042+0.08412222.066.3%85.29512.416.9
21Daniel JonesD. JonesFP IND546.8-0.015-0.094+0.09312204.261.4%73.6345.09.5
22Kyler MurrayK. Murray MIN446.6-0.112-0.079+0.08912165.568.3%84.72223.29.9
↳Carson WentzC. Wentz MIN246.6-0.112-0.079+0.08912138.059.0%106.4302.512.8
23Aaron RodgersA. Rodgers PIT546.2-0.002-0.024+0.07512246.859.8%88.91043.616.6
24Patrick MahomesP. MahomesFP KC446.0+0.155+0.156+0.03713259.264.1%106.29210.220.9
25Tyler ShoughT. ShoughFP NO545.3-0.075-0.026+0.06912259.866.8%88.69514.417.0
26Bryce YoungB. YoungFP CAR445.2+0.116+0.203+0.02213317.062.3%100.0924.822.7
27Cam WardC. Ward TEN544.5-0.184-0.238+0.10812179.263.2%77.23311.812.3
28Jared GoffJ. Goff DET542.8+0.116+0.204+0.00512297.067.0%111.31203.223.0
29Jalon DanielsJ. Daniels TB342.0-0.132-0.218+0.08612112.369.1%74.62329.08.1
↳Baker MayfieldB. MayfieldO TB342.0-0.132-0.218+0.08612205.063.5%80.02221.711.7
30Malik WillisM. Willis MIA540.1-0.126-0.162+0.06312169.856.2%68.42437.212.1
31Michael Penix Jr.M. Penix Jr.FP ATL339.4-0.030-0.078+0.04112239.767.5%104.8311.313.7
↳Cooper RushC. Rush ATL239.4-0.030-0.078+0.04112114.556.4%42.51410.02.6
↳Jack StrandJ. Strand ATL139.4-0.030-0.078+0.0411259.053.3%35.10116.0-0.0
32Justin HerbertJ. Herbert LAC539.2-0.266-0.237+0.07212187.459.4%70.25728.410.7
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Rush EPASched EPAGms LeftRush Y/GYds/AttYBC/AttRush TDTgt/GRec Y/GPPR/G
1Derrick HenryD. Henry BAL560.5+0.181+0.051-0.0891295.24.211.8971.812.422.4
↳Justice HillJ. Hill BAL560.5+0.181+0.051-0.0891226.67.393.6102.09.85.0
2Bhayshul TutenB. Tuten JAX560.0+0.097-0.050-0.0701269.84.261.7122.015.612.7
↳Chris Rodriguez Jr.C. Rodriguez Jr. JAX560.0+0.097-0.050-0.0701222.64.042.4620.21.25.0
3Ollie Gordon IIO. Gordon II MIA459.1-0.126-0.084-0.0681259.05.023.0431.23.512.0
↳De'Von AchaneD. Achane MIA359.1-0.126-0.084-0.0681242.33.742.3504.016.38.2
4Bucky IrvingB. Irving TB558.7-0.132+0.016-0.0901281.25.272.5223.614.215.7
↳Kenny GainwellK. Gainwell TB558.7-0.132+0.016-0.090128.82.590.8803.210.85.4
5Jonathan TaylorJ. TaylorFP IND558.0-0.015+0.094-0.1111279.63.942.0663.821.219.5
6Chase BrownC. Brown CIN557.8+0.147-0.054-0.0811249.23.462.1415.624.813.0
↳Samaje PerineS. Perine CIN557.8+0.147-0.054-0.0811222.04.072.5902.012.26.0
7Jahmyr GibbsJ. Gibbs DET556.9+0.116-0.024-0.09212100.84.803.3676.848.630.7
8Jaylen WarrenJ. Warren PIT556.6-0.002+0.046-0.1081282.05.862.6415.246.018.6
↳Rico DowdleR. DowdleQ PIT256.6-0.002+0.046-0.1081218.52.471.7303.514.05.2
9James CookJ. Cook BUF556.2+0.200-0.016-0.09712106.45.603.8352.26.217.9
10Kenneth Walker IIIK. Walker III KC454.9+0.155+0.153-0.14013134.26.173.1044.821.027.5
↳Emmett JohnsonE. Johnson KC454.9+0.155+0.153-0.1401314.03.501.5001.218.54.5
11Rhamondre StevensonR. Stevenson NE553.8+0.056-0.131-0.0861245.43.982.2623.822.212.2
↳TreVeyon HendersonT. HendersonQ NE453.8+0.056-0.131-0.0861240.83.882.2911.05.56.6
12Bijan RobinsonB. Robinson ATL553.1-0.030+0.021-0.12112116.05.692.9945.030.424.2
↳Brian RobinsonB. Robinson ATL553.1-0.030+0.021-0.1211242.04.121.6740.84.210.0
13Breece HallB. HallO NYJ353.0-0.056-0.109-0.0951254.33.201.8413.334.014.2
↳Braelon AllenB. Allen NYJ553.0-0.056-0.109-0.0951247.24.142.2622.23.88.9
14Tony PollardT. PollardFP TEN552.1-0.184-0.105-0.1001254.64.012.4612.44.88.7
↳Tyjae SpearsT. SpearsQ TEN552.1-0.184-0.105-0.1001213.03.822.0603.213.65.1
15Aaron JonesA. Jones MIN551.8-0.112-0.162-0.0901282.04.232.6423.614.414.0
↳Jordan MasonJ. Mason MIN151.8-0.112-0.162-0.0901259.03.931.6010.00.011.9
16Chuba HubbardC. Hubbard CAR449.0+0.116-0.081-0.1221376.55.023.2032.821.019.8
↳Jonathon BrooksJ. Brooks CAR249.0+0.116-0.081-0.1221315.03.332.6701.521.54.7
17Travis EtienneT. Etienne NO348.1-0.075-0.171-0.1081242.74.272.5004.317.010.3
↳Alvin KamaraA. KamaraQ NO448.1-0.075-0.171-0.1081221.53.071.5724.010.29.4
↳Kendre MillerK. Miller NO448.1-0.075-0.171-0.1081220.82.861.6921.53.86.0
18D'Andre SwiftD. Swift CHI547.4+0.031-0.113-0.1241270.84.542.5843.222.816.2
↳Kyle MonangaiK. MonangaiO CHI447.4+0.031-0.113-0.1241281.05.402.8531.29.814.8
↳Roschon JohnsonR. Johnson CHI347.4+0.031-0.113-0.124127.32.441.7802.713.74.1
19Javonte WilliamsJ. Williams DAL547.3+0.152-0.020-0.1441255.23.732.2664.018.819.2
↳Tyler GoodsonT. Goodson DAL247.3+0.152-0.020-0.1441217.03.782.6701.0-2.52.0
20MarShawn LloydM. Lloyd GB547.0-0.041-0.340-0.0781222.42.801.8222.611.08.5
↳Pierre StrongP. Strong GB147.0-0.041-0.340-0.078127.01.401.0004.011.04.8
↳Chris BrooksC. Brooks GB447.0-0.041-0.340-0.0781217.54.673.6001.26.03.1
↳Kaleb JohnsonK. Johnson GB547.0-0.041-0.340-0.0781221.23.931.6700.62.02.1
21Quinshon JudkinsQ. JudkinsQ CLE546.4-0.048-0.341-0.0811244.23.031.5314.020.411.3
22David MontgomeryD. MontgomeryO HOU545.9+0.008-0.253-0.1021227.62.651.5621.413.49.1
↳Woody MarksW. Marks HOU545.9+0.008-0.253-0.1021229.83.472.1422.610.88.7
23RJ HarveyR. Harvey DEN445.7-0.045-0.098-0.1361214.03.732.5305.533.09.7
↳Jonah ColemanJ. Coleman DEN245.7-0.045-0.098-0.1361219.53.902.9011.59.57.4
↳J.K. DobbinsJ.K. Dobbins DEN545.7-0.045-0.098-0.1361245.83.581.8911.24.47.2
24Jeremiyah LoveJ. LoveO ARI545.6-0.065-0.106-0.1351249.03.661.8712.87.210.2
↳Tyler AllgeierT. Allgeier ARI545.6-0.065-0.106-0.1351223.83.401.9112.48.86.9
25Saquon BarkleyS. BarkleyO PHI444.5-0.095-0.218-0.1171245.55.062.4701.82.05.8
↳Tank BigsbyT. Bigsby PHI444.5-0.095-0.218-0.1171222.83.251.5711.02.54.3
↳Will ShipleyW. ShipleyO PHI544.5-0.095-0.218-0.1171211.42.851.7511.66.24.0
↳Dameon PierceD. Pierce PHI144.5-0.095-0.218-0.1171214.01.27-0.2705.0-2.03.2
26Cam SkatteboC. Skattebo NYG543.9-0.014-0.224-0.1191258.83.631.6412.415.810.3
↳Devin SingletaryD. Singletary NYG243.9-0.014-0.224-0.1191212.52.781.2202.511.07.4
↳Najee HarrisN. HarrisFP NYG443.9-0.014-0.224-0.1191224.23.591.5600.21.22.8
27Christian McCaffreyC. McCaffreyFP SF543.6+0.194-0.041-0.1591257.24.692.8455.027.418.3
↳Kaelon BlackK. BlackDNP SF543.6+0.194-0.041-0.1591227.23.682.1600.41.03.0
28Ashton JeantyA. JeantyFP LV543.3+0.079-0.196-0.1281258.23.311.6506.043.016.9
↳Mike Washington Jr.M. Washington Jr. LV543.3+0.079-0.196-0.1281225.05.002.2810.80.84.2
29Jacory Croskey-MerrittJ. Croskey-MerrittO WAS543.0-0.002-0.124-0.1451247.83.572.1821.48.09.0
↳Rachaad WhiteR. WhiteLP WAS443.0-0.002-0.124-0.1451229.54.072.4102.513.28.3
↳Austin EkelerA. EkelerLP WAS243.0-0.002-0.124-0.1451214.04.002.5701.513.03.7
30Omarion HamptonO. Hampton LAC539.6-0.266-0.300-0.1261254.23.711.9631.27.09.9
↳Keaton MitchellK. Mitchell LAC539.6-0.266-0.300-0.1261227.04.092.2702.810.47.3
↳Kimani VidalK. Vidal LAC439.6-0.266-0.300-0.1261222.06.292.5712.06.06.8
31Kyren WilliamsK. Williams LA538.8+0.110-0.034-0.1861268.64.902.6946.640.021.9
↳Blake CorumB. Corum LA538.8+0.110-0.034-0.1861236.24.763.3412.214.67.7
↳Ronnie RiversR. Rivers LA138.8+0.110-0.034-0.1861219.03.801.6001.05.03.4
32Emanuel WilsonE. Wilson SEA538.3-0.110-0.385-0.1151250.23.442.0521.410.010.2
↳George HolaniG. HolaniFP SEA538.3-0.110-0.385-0.1151215.42.961.7702.415.24.9
↳Jadarian PriceJ. Price SEA338.3-0.110-0.385-0.1151239.74.252.5702.37.04.7
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Pass EPASched EPAGms LeftTgt/GRec/GRec Y/GYds/RecRec TDPPR/G
1Parker WashingtonP. Washington JAX562.9+0.097+0.193+0.142127.04.470.416.0416.3
↳Jakobi MeyersJ. Meyers JAX562.9+0.097+0.193+0.142123.63.040.413.529.5
↳Brian Thomas Jr.B. Thomas Jr. JAX562.9+0.097+0.193+0.142123.41.821.011.715.1
2Christian WatsonC. Watson GB559.2-0.041+0.117+0.133128.05.294.818.2621.9
↳Matthew GoldenM. Golden GB559.2-0.041+0.117+0.133128.84.879.416.5215.7
↳Jayden ReedJ. Reed GB259.2-0.041+0.117+0.133124.02.012.06.003.2
3Mike EvansM. EvansQ SF558.9+0.194+0.360+0.081126.84.865.213.6315.3
↳Deebo Samuel Sr.D. Samuel Sr.O SF558.9+0.194+0.360+0.081124.03.241.212.9312.1
↳Demarcus RobinsonD. Robinson SF258.9+0.194+0.360+0.081123.02.542.016.819.7
4CeeDee LambC. LambFP DAL558.4+0.152+0.230+0.1041210.27.8101.413.0423.0
↳George PickensG. Pickens DAL558.4+0.152+0.230+0.104128.25.471.013.1113.7
↳Ryan FlournoyR. Flournoy DAL558.4+0.152+0.230+0.104125.43.238.812.107.1
5DeVonta SmithD. SmithFP PHI358.2-0.095-0.019+0.155129.06.378.312.4116.2
↳Dontayvion WicksD. WicksFP PHI558.2-0.095-0.019+0.155125.63.452.015.319.8
↳Makai LemonM. Lemon PHI558.2-0.095-0.019+0.155124.43.021.67.205.1
6Puka NacuaP. Nacua LA356.6+0.110+0.177+0.1031215.010.3112.310.9125.9
↳Davante AdamsD. Adams LA556.6+0.110+0.177+0.103129.05.488.216.3419.0
↳Konata MumpfieldK. Mumpfield LA456.6+0.110+0.177+0.103123.51.528.018.715.8
7Malik NabersM. Nabers NYG556.5-0.014+0.151+0.108129.25.865.811.3214.8
↳Malachi FieldsM. Fields NYG556.5-0.014+0.151+0.108123.42.029.214.616.1
↳Darnell MooneyD. MooneyFP NYG556.5-0.014+0.151+0.108123.41.621.813.604.0
8Ja'Marr ChaseJ. Chase CIN555.4+0.147+0.229+0.084127.65.457.810.7416.0
↳Tee HigginsT. Higgins CIN555.4+0.147+0.229+0.084128.65.484.615.7115.1
↳Mitchell TinsleyM. Tinsley CIN155.4+0.147+0.229+0.084127.03.049.016.307.9
↳Dohnte MeyersD. Meyers CIN555.4+0.147+0.229+0.084123.62.628.210.805.6
9Jaxon Smith-NjigbaJ. Smith-NjigbaFP SEA555.2-0.110+0.082+0.1131210.07.4116.615.8727.9
↳Cooper KuppC. Kupp SEA555.2-0.110+0.082+0.113123.02.225.811.716.0
↳Rashid ShaheedR. Shaheed SEA555.2-0.110+0.082+0.113123.81.819.210.705.7
10Tre TuckerT. Tucker LV552.0+0.079+0.265+0.055125.63.854.814.4110.4
↳Jack BechJ. Bech LV252.0+0.079+0.265+0.055123.02.524.09.617.9
↳Jalen NailorJ. NailorFP LV352.0+0.079+0.265+0.055123.71.717.310.403.4
11Keon ColemanK. ColemanFP BUF551.9+0.200+0.350+0.036123.63.044.814.929.9
↳DJ MooreD. MooreQ BUF451.9+0.200+0.350+0.036125.03.044.514.819.1
↳Khalil ShakirK. Shakir BUF551.9+0.200+0.350+0.036125.23.651.214.208.3
↳Josh PalmerJ. PalmerQ BUF351.9+0.200+0.350+0.036123.01.026.726.727.7
12Stefon DiggsS. DiggsQ WAS451.8-0.002+0.078+0.091127.84.542.59.4313.2
↳Terry McLaurinT. McLaurinLP WAS451.8-0.002+0.078+0.091126.53.550.814.5110.6
↳Antonio WilliamsA. Williams WAS551.8-0.002+0.078+0.091124.43.031.010.317.3
↳Dyami BrownD. Brown WAS551.8-0.002+0.078+0.091123.01.617.611.003.0
13Jaylen WaddleJ. Waddle DEN551.5-0.045-0.011+0.108126.23.640.811.319.7
↳Pat BryantP. Bryant DEN451.5-0.045-0.011+0.108123.02.233.214.818.0
↳Courtland SuttonC. Sutton DEN551.5-0.045-0.011+0.108125.02.220.89.515.5
14Nico CollinsN. CollinsLP HOU351.1+0.008+0.144+0.073128.36.383.013.1320.9
↳Jaylin NoelJ. Noel HOU551.1+0.008+0.144+0.073123.42.645.417.518.9
↳Xavier HutchinsonX. Hutchinson HOU551.1+0.008+0.144+0.073126.23.246.214.407.9
↳Kayshon BoutteK. Boutte HOU551.1+0.008+0.144+0.073123.62.430.612.805.5
↳Jared WayneJ. Wayne HOU451.1+0.008+0.144+0.073123.01.016.216.202.6
15Luther Burden IIIL. Burden III CHI550.7+0.031+0.136+0.072127.04.653.211.6111.2
↳Kalif RaymondK. Raymond CHI550.7+0.031+0.136+0.072125.44.845.29.4110.5
↳Rome OdunzeR. Odunze CHI550.7+0.031+0.136+0.072125.83.454.616.108.5
16Zay FlowersZ. FlowersLP BAL450.3+0.181+0.284+0.039127.86.5101.215.6220.5
↳Rashod BatemanR. BatemanFP BAL550.3+0.181+0.284+0.039124.23.246.614.619.1
↳Ja'Kobi LaneJ. LaneQ BAL150.3+0.181+0.284+0.039123.01.011.011.002.1
17Garrett WilsonG. Wilson NYJ550.0-0.056-0.023+0.100128.46.274.812.1317.3
↳Adonai MitchellA. MitchellO NYJ250.0-0.056-0.023+0.100127.54.561.513.7010.7
↳Tim PatrickT. Patrick NYJ150.0-0.056-0.023+0.100123.02.026.013.004.6
18Denzel BostonD. BostonLP CLE549.5-0.048+0.104+0.071125.83.266.020.6313.8
↳KC ConcepcionK. ConcepcionFP CLE549.5-0.048+0.104+0.071125.83.629.88.306.4
↳Isaiah BondI. Bond CLE349.5-0.048+0.104+0.071123.01.728.717.204.5
↳Jerry JeudyJ. Jeudy CLE449.5-0.048+0.104+0.071123.82.020.210.104.0
19Romeo DoubsR. Doubs NE548.7+0.056+0.175+0.051124.62.643.816.829.4
↳Mack HollinsM. Hollins NE448.7+0.056+0.175+0.051125.03.852.213.909.0
↳DeMario DouglasD. Douglas NE548.7+0.056+0.175+0.051124.42.629.411.327.9
↳Efton Chism IIIE. Chism III NE448.7+0.056+0.175+0.051123.22.224.510.916.4
↳A.J. BrownA.J. BrownQ NE148.7+0.056+0.175+0.051124.03.026.08.705.6
20Michael WilsonM. Wilson ARI547.0-0.065-0.042+0.0841210.25.857.69.9112.8
↳Kendrick BourneK. Bourne ARI447.0-0.065-0.042+0.084125.54.244.510.508.7
↳Reggie VirgilR. Virgil ARI147.0-0.065-0.042+0.084125.02.029.014.504.9
↳Marvin Harrison Jr.M. Harrison Jr. ARI447.0-0.065-0.042+0.084123.21.221.217.014.9
21Keenan AllenK. AllenFP IND446.8-0.015-0.094+0.093127.24.536.28.119.6
↳Josh DownsJ. DownsFP IND546.8-0.015-0.094+0.093126.84.049.812.409.0
↳Alec PierceA. Pierce IND246.8-0.015-0.094+0.093123.52.536.014.406.1
↳Laquon TreadwellL. Treadwell IND546.8-0.015-0.094+0.093123.82.231.414.305.3
↳Ashton DulinA. DulinO IND246.8-0.015-0.094+0.093123.51.514.59.703.0
22Justin JeffersonJ. Jefferson MIN446.6-0.112-0.079+0.089126.04.864.513.6315.9
↳Jordan AddisonJ. Addison MIN446.6-0.112-0.079+0.089125.52.840.814.818.3
23DK MetcalfD. MetcalfDNP PIT546.2-0.002-0.024+0.075127.43.845.011.819.7
↳Roman WilsonR. WilsonO PIT546.2-0.002-0.024+0.075125.02.837.613.429.0
↳Germie BernardG. Bernard PIT446.2-0.002-0.024+0.075125.03.235.010.806.8
↳Michael PittmanM. Pittman PIT346.2-0.002-0.024+0.075124.02.329.712.705.3
24Rashee RiceR. RiceO KC346.0+0.155+0.156+0.037135.74.363.314.6112.7
↳Tyquan ThorntonT. Thornton KC446.0+0.155+0.156+0.037133.82.854.819.9211.2
↳Xavier WorthyX. Worthy KC446.0+0.155+0.156+0.037135.53.533.29.518.3
25Chris OlaveC. OlaveQ NO545.3-0.075-0.026+0.0691210.87.8107.413.8119.7
↳Devaughn VeleD. Vele NO545.3-0.075-0.026+0.069127.45.050.410.1212.4
↳Bryce LanceB. Lance NO545.3-0.075-0.026+0.069123.21.011.411.402.1
26Tetairoa McMillanT. McMillan CAR445.2+0.116+0.203+0.022139.86.596.214.8218.6
↳Jalen CokerJ. CokerFP CAR345.2+0.116+0.203+0.022137.36.074.012.3217.4
↳John Metchie IIIJ. Metchie III CAR345.2+0.116+0.203+0.022133.31.718.711.215.5
↳Xavier LegetteX. Legette CAR245.2+0.116+0.203+0.022133.01.032.032.004.2
27Wan'Dale RobinsonW. Robinson TEN544.5-0.184-0.238+0.108126.04.435.28.0210.3
↳Carnell TateC. Tate TEN544.5-0.184-0.238+0.108127.44.654.811.909.7
28Amon-Ra St. BrownA. St. Brown DET542.8+0.116+0.204+0.0051211.47.474.410.1520.8
↳Jameson WilliamsJ. Williams DET542.8+0.116+0.204+0.005125.83.655.215.3211.5
↳Isaac TeSlaaI. TeSlaa DET542.8+0.116+0.204+0.005123.81.837.420.805.5
29Emeka EgbukaE. Egbuka TB542.0-0.132-0.218+0.086126.64.238.49.1110.7
↳Chris Godwin Jr.C. Godwin Jr.FP TB542.0-0.132-0.218+0.086124.23.835.89.407.7
↳Ted Hurst IIIT. Hurst III TB442.0-0.132-0.218+0.086124.02.032.016.016.7
30Malik WashingtonM. Washington MIA540.1-0.126-0.162+0.063127.24.652.411.4010.0
↳Caleb DouglasC. Douglas MIA240.1-0.126-0.162+0.063125.03.556.516.109.2
↳Kevin Coleman Jr.K. Coleman Jr. MIA440.1-0.126-0.162+0.063124.21.29.07.213.7
↳Chris BellC. Bell MIA540.1-0.126-0.162+0.063123.01.018.418.403.4
31Drake LondonD. LondonLP ATL539.4-0.030-0.078+0.041127.25.497.618.1015.2
↳Jahan DotsonJ. Dotson ATL539.4-0.030-0.078+0.041123.41.629.818.615.8
32Ladd McConkeyL. McConkeyFP LAC439.2-0.266-0.237+0.072124.23.045.815.219.1
↳Tre HarrisT. HarrisO LAC539.2-0.266-0.237+0.072125.03.045.015.007.5
↳Quentin JohnstonQ. JohnstonFP LAC439.2-0.266-0.237+0.072124.81.827.015.404.5
↳Brenen ThompsonB. ThompsonQ LAC139.2-0.266-0.237+0.072123.01.013.013.002.3
#PlayerTeamGPOutlookTm EPATm Pass EPASched EPAGms LeftTgt/GRec/GRec Y/GYds/RecRec TDPPR/G
1Brenton StrangeB. Strange JAX562.9+0.097+0.193+0.142125.24.247.011.2110.1
2Tucker KraftT. Kraft GB559.2-0.041+0.117+0.133125.84.042.410.619.5
↳Mark RedmanM. Redman GB159.2-0.041+0.117+0.133122.02.029.014.504.9
↳Jonnu SmithJ. Smith GB359.2-0.041+0.117+0.133122.31.728.317.004.5
3George KittleG. Kittle SF558.9+0.194+0.360+0.081125.64.253.612.8414.4
4Jake FergusonJ. Ferguson DAL558.4+0.152+0.230+0.104124.23.020.46.838.2
5Dallas GoedertD. Goedert PHI358.2-0.095-0.019+0.155125.33.739.710.8211.6
↳Zach ErtzZ. Ertz PHI358.2-0.095-0.019+0.155122.71.07.37.301.7
6Tyler HigbeeT. HigbeeDNP LA456.6+0.110+0.177+0.103126.25.056.011.2111.6
↳Terrance FergusonT. Ferguson LA356.6+0.110+0.177+0.103124.02.321.09.016.4
7Isaiah LikelyI. LikelyFP NYG556.5-0.014+0.151+0.108129.66.656.88.6417.1
↳Theo JohnsonT. JohnsonO NYG456.5-0.014+0.151+0.108122.21.013.813.813.9
8Mike GesickiM. Gesicki CIN455.4+0.147+0.229+0.084124.23.039.813.2413.0
↳Erick AllE. All CIN255.4+0.147+0.229+0.084123.02.515.06.004.0
↳Drew SampleD. Sample CIN355.4+0.147+0.229+0.084122.01.78.04.802.5
9AJ BarnerA. Barner SEA555.2-0.110+0.082+0.113124.02.424.410.206.1
10Brock BowersB. BowersFP LV352.0+0.079+0.265+0.0551211.38.0104.013.0323.7
↳Michael MayerM. Mayer LV552.0+0.079+0.265+0.055125.04.234.28.118.8
11Dalton KincaidD. Kincaid BUF551.9+0.200+0.350+0.036124.23.255.417.319.9
12Chig OkonkwoC. Okonkwo WAS351.8-0.002+0.078+0.091124.32.727.010.105.4
13Evan EngramE. Engram DEN551.5-0.045-0.011+0.108123.42.024.212.115.6
↳Adam TrautmanA. Trautman DEN251.5-0.045-0.011+0.108122.01.05.05.001.5
14Dalton SchultzD. SchultzLP HOU551.1+0.008+0.144+0.073126.24.848.810.209.7
↳Foster MoreauF. Moreau HOU551.1+0.008+0.144+0.073122.41.813.07.214.3
15Colston LovelandC. Loveland CHI550.7+0.031+0.136+0.072124.62.622.08.504.8
16Mark AndrewsM. AndrewsFP BAL550.3+0.181+0.284+0.039126.04.435.48.018.7
17Kenyon SadiqK. SadiqQ NYJ550.0-0.056-0.023+0.100124.22.829.210.417.8
↳Jeremy RuckertJ. Ruckert NYJ350.0-0.056-0.023+0.100122.72.716.06.016.3
↳Mason TaylorM. Taylor NYJ250.0-0.056-0.023+0.100123.02.511.04.403.6
18Harold Fannin Jr.H. Fannin Jr. CLE549.5-0.048+0.104+0.071125.43.631.48.7310.3
19Hunter HenryH. Henry NE548.7+0.056+0.175+0.051123.83.035.411.817.7
↳Eli RaridonE. Raridon NE448.7+0.056+0.175+0.051122.22.025.212.616.0
20Trey McBrideT. McBride ARI547.0-0.065-0.042+0.0841211.28.461.67.3318.2
↳Teagan QuitorianoT. Quitoriano ARI147.0-0.065-0.042+0.084122.02.015.07.5215.5
↳Elijah HigginsE. Higgins ARI447.0-0.065-0.042+0.084122.02.024.012.015.9
21Tyler WarrenT. WarrenQ IND546.8-0.015-0.094+0.093127.26.042.67.1214.0
22T.J. HockensonT.J. Hockenson MIN546.6-0.112-0.079+0.089125.44.640.48.819.8
↳Gavin BartholomewG. Bartholomew MIN246.6-0.112-0.079+0.089123.53.018.56.204.9
23Pat FreiermuthP. FreiermuthQ PIT546.2-0.002-0.024+0.075125.23.833.88.9412.1
↳Darnell WashingtonD. Washington PIT546.2-0.002-0.024+0.075123.22.226.211.916.0
24Travis KelceT. Kelce KC446.0+0.155+0.156+0.037135.54.061.515.4213.2
↳Noah GrayN. Gray KC446.0+0.155+0.156+0.037132.01.515.210.203.0
25Juwan JohnsonJ. Johnson NO545.3-0.075-0.026+0.069126.45.049.69.9313.2
↳Noah FantN. Fant NO445.3-0.075-0.026+0.069123.22.218.28.138.6
26Darren WallerD. WallerFP CAR445.2+0.116+0.203+0.022134.83.237.011.429.9
↳Tommy TrembleT. TrembleFP CAR445.2+0.116+0.203+0.022133.82.820.57.504.8
27Gunnar HelmG. Helm TEN544.5-0.184-0.238+0.108122.61.812.06.703.4
28Sam LaPortaS. LaPorta DET542.8+0.116+0.204+0.005127.45.463.211.7315.3
29Cade OttonC. Otton TB542.0-0.132-0.218+0.086125.43.636.410.107.2
30Greg DulcichG. Dulcich MIA440.1-0.126-0.162+0.063124.23.231.89.806.9
31Kyle PittsK. Pitts ATL539.4-0.030-0.078+0.041123.02.021.810.915.4
↳Austin HooperA. Hooper ATL339.4-0.030-0.078+0.041122.31.713.38.015.0
32David NjokuD. Njoku LAC239.2-0.266-0.237+0.072124.03.033.511.206.4
↳Oronde Gadsden IIO. Gadsden II LAC539.2-0.266-0.237+0.072123.21.817.29.614.8
↳Charlie KolarC. KolarFP LAC339.2-0.266-0.237+0.072122.32.019.39.703.3
Streaming picks

Streaming kickers, defenses and skill players, week 6

Kickers and defenses ranked by the walk-forward models; QB, RB, WR and TE streamers (outside the starter line by season-to-date PPR) ranked by the game projection engine. Top 5 in each tab are the week's stream picks; once played, a pick is a hit when it finishes top 10.
The market's implied team points carry most of it; an offense that sustains drives without explosives (high success rate, low EPA) turns scoring into field goals. Backtest 2021-25: weekly top-5 averaged 8.84 vs a 7.86 field. Green/amber = better/worse than this week's field. This week: stream picks averaged 9.0 vs field 9.3, 1 of 5 finished top 10.
#KickerTeamOppImpliedOff SROff EPAStallAvgProjActual
1Spencer ShraderS. Shrader streamINDTEN25.044%0.0253%12.49.59
2Blake GrupeB. Grupe streamLAARI ⌂32.049%0.1335%6.79.14
3Jason MyersJ. Myers streamSEA@ DEN21.544%-0.0445%10.88.97
4Tyler BassT. Bass streamBUF@ LV ⌂29.549%0.1732%7.68.917
5Cairo SantosC. Santos streamCHI@ ATL ⌂26.547%0.0643%8.48.88
6Nick FolkN. Folk ATLCHI ⌂25.046%0.0052%8.58.51
7Eddy PineiroE. Pineiro SFWAS29.551%0.1436%7.78.54
8Matt GayM. Gay LVBUF ⌂24.042%-0.0653%8.28.312
9Harrison ButkerH. Butker KCLAC24.546%0.0946%8.48.211
10Ka'imi FairbairnK. Fairbairn HOU@ JAX20.043%-0.0157%11.38.111
11Tyler LoopT. Loop BAL@ CLE21.348%0.1142%9.58.13
12Andy BorregalesA. Borregales NENYJ25.548%0.1038%7.38.07
13Cam LittleC. Little JAXHOU22.545%0.0743%9.28.09
14Brandon AubreyB. Aubrey DAL@ GB27.548%0.1446%9.68.01
15Chase McLaughlinC. McLaughlin TBPIT18.042%-0.0652%9.37.817
16Chris BoswellC. Boswell PIT@ TB20.544%0.0249%8.47.617
17Ryan FitzgeraldR. Fitzgerald CAR@ PHI21.343%0.0344%7.97.59
18Andre SzmytA. Szmyt CLEBAL18.337%-0.1154%7.77.47
19Daniel CarlsonD. Carlson NO@ NYG24.043%-0.0846%6.07.413
20Jason SandersJ. Sanders NYJ@ NE18.042%-0.1155%7.57.315
21Dominic ZvadaD. Zvada NYGNO22.542%0.0154%8.07.38
22Wil LutzW. Lutz DENSEA19.042%0.0053%7.07.17
23Chad RylandC. Ryland ARI@ LA ⌂19.543%-0.0346%7.77.119
24Joey SlyeJ. Slye TEN@ IND18.538%-0.1756%5.77.018
25Cameron DickerC. Dicker LAC@ KC17.041%-0.1352%7.76.96
26Trey SmackT. Smack GBDAL26.045%0.0646%6.86.712
27Jake ElliottJ. Elliott PHICAR18.339%-0.0435%6.36.62
28Drew StevensD. Stevens WAS@ SF22.042%0.0049%7.06.67
A low opponent implied total plus being the favorite carries most of it; giveaway-prone and often-sacked offenses donate. Backtest 2021-25: weekly top-5 averaged 8.97 vs a 6.28 field. Green/amber = better/worse than this week's field. This week: stream picks averaged 8.8 vs field 6.2, 3 of 5 finished top 10.
#DefenseOppOpp impEdgeOpp EPAOpp SRSackedGive/gAvgProjActual
1KC DSTstreamLAC17.07.5-0.1341%10%1.65.59.015
2PIT DSTstream@ TB18.02.5-0.0642%8%1.37.38.910
3CAR DSTstream@ PHI18.33.0-0.0439%7%0.96.88.64
4BAL DSTstream@ CLE18.33.0-0.1137%8%1.15.08.59
5NE DSTstreamNYJ18.07.5-0.1142%10%0.76.67.86
6SEA DST@ DEN19.02.50.0042%3%0.99.07.73
7LA DSTARI ⌂19.512.5-0.0343%6%0.85.87.33
8IND DSTTEN18.56.5-0.1738%6%0.83.97.22
9DEN DSTSEA21.5-2.5-0.0444%6%1.58.17.212
10HOU DST@ JAX22.5-2.50.0745%7%0.87.67.01
11JAX DSTHOU20.02.5-0.0143%5%0.58.16.81
12TB DSTPIT20.5-2.50.0244%6%0.85.66.77
13NO DST@ NYG22.51.50.0142%8%1.14.36.713
14SF DSTWAS22.07.50.0042%6%0.75.46.65
15PHI DSTCAR21.3-3.00.0343%6%1.05.36.42
16CLE DSTBAL21.3-3.00.1148%7%0.76.76.39
17BUF DST@ LV ⌂24.05.5-0.0642%7%0.84.95.91
18NYG DSTNO24.0-1.5-0.0843%6%1.35.65.81
19NYJ DST@ NE25.5-7.50.1048%7%1.55.35.54
20TEN DST@ IND25.0-6.50.0244%5%1.44.05.421
21CHI DST@ ATL ⌂25.01.50.0046%6%1.06.65.311
22DAL DST@ GB26.01.50.0645%5%0.92.35.35
23LAC DST@ KC24.5-7.50.0946%5%0.75.75.14
24LV DSTBUF ⌂29.5-5.50.1749%7%1.56.04.51
25GB DSTDAL27.5-1.50.1448%3%0.85.44.49
26ATL DSTCHI ⌂26.5-1.50.0647%4%1.05.44.35
27WAS DST@ SF29.5-7.50.1451%3%0.84.53.14
28ARI DST@ LA ⌂32.0-12.50.1349%3%0.93.22.15
Every starting QB, one per team; the top 12 by average PPR over 2026 weeks 1–5 are badged starters. Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 16.0 vs a 14.4 streamer field, 3 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DAttPass ydsPass TDINTRushAvgProjActual
1Jayden DanielsJ. DanielsFP starterWAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.532.5402113001.4920.580671021.6 (3)22.721.0
2Brock PurdyB. Purdy starterSFWAS29.541.1%-0.57.1+0.032.4292402642.0510.730232823.3 (5)20.017.4
3Josh AllenJ. Allen starterBUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.530.5332372551.3620.80036128.6 (5)19.918.3
4Drake MayeD. MayeFP streamNENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.531.8322252351.7330.680292417.4 (5)18.823.8✓
5Jacoby BrissettJ. Brissett streamARI@ LA19.540.9%-0.76.3-0.733.1352062181.4200.68141216.9 (5)18.46.9
6Matthew StaffordM. Stafford streamLAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.133.8332582222.0420.7305017.8 (5)17.816.9✓
7Deshaun WatsonD. Watson streamCLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.031.5262191641.3300.780382915.8 (5)17.69.5
8C.J. StroudC.J. Stroud streamHOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.433.8342483121.2230.78123517.8 (5)16.923.0✓
9Caleb WilliamsC. WilliamsQ starterCHI@ ATL26.538.6%-3.06.5-0.535.1362363051.1810.59020322.5 (2)16.616.5
10Jordan LoveJ. Love starterGBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.631.9412402762.0110.60101218.0 (5)16.520.2
11Dak PrescottD. Prescott starterDAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.433.6542322581.6910.89212718.8 (5)16.211.0
12Kirk CousinsK. Cousins starterLVBUF24.043.6%+2.07.2+0.234.8412513131.9120.7510018.5 (5)16.218.5
13Tyler ShoughT. ShoughFP NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.334.2302281441.6030.790143217.0 (5)16.127.0✓
14Trevor LawrenceT. Lawrence JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.131.5412323061.6040.701121117.4 (5)16.027.3✓
15Jameis WinstonJ. Winston NYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.231.7262201521.8010.90213413.1 (4)15.86.5
16Bryce YoungB. YoungFP starterCAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.034.7392512811.4820.6608622.7 (4)15.819.8
17Patrick MahomesP. MahomesFP starterKCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.130.7302242721.6300.701101620.9 (4)15.510.5
18Justin HerbertJ. Herbert LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.431.3372082041.0500.701262610.7 (5)15.08.8
19Sam DarnoldS. Darnold SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.231.2512252781.5600.76261912.5 (4)14.511.0
20Aaron RodgersA. Rodgers PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.032.8492222531.6620.7112-116.6 (5)14.416.0✓
21Cam WardC. Ward TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.631.9222221021.1210.57115712.3 (5)14.46.8
22Tyler HuntleyT. Huntley BAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.131.5312351651.1710.790102814.1 (2)14.013.4✓
23Geno SmithG. Smith NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.130.9302182521.1510.76113-113.9 (5)13.712.0
24Jalon DanielsJ. Daniels TBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.230.7432081641.0110.80219398.1 (3)13.511.2
25Daniel JonesD. JonesFP INDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.432.0422202691.1510.7125309.5 (5)12.913.8✓
26Michael Penix Jr.M. Penix Jr.FP ATLCHI25.042.8%+1.37.9+0.928.9332212251.2230.6603113.7 (3)12.923.1✓
27Tanner McKeeT. McKee PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.132.6452172151.3010.67000—12.512.6✓
28Bo NixB. Nix DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.831.6271981071.2800.8408213.0 (5)12.54.5
RB streamers: every RB outside the starter line (top 24 by average PPR over 2026 weeks 1–5; 17 set aside, 71 in the pool). Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 8.8 vs a 5.8 streamer field, 1 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DTouchesRushRecRec ydsTDAvgProjActual
1Cam SkatteboC. Skattebo streamNYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.218.6712.0240.5310.3 (5)14.7—
2Braelon AllenB. Allen streamNYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.123.41976782.225260.6208.9 (5)14.112.4✓
3Tony PollardT. PollardFP streamTEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.619.42078762.00600.6308.7 (5)14.17.6
4Woody MarksW. Marks streamHOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.418.31851561.6210250.5908.7 (5)11.310.1
5Emanuel WilsonE. Wilson streamSEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.217.41552521.701600.44010.2 (5)11.15.2
6MarShawn LloydM. Lloyd GBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.612.7941102.001400.4008.5 (5)9.91.0
7Tyler AllgeierT. Allgeier ARI@ LA19.540.9%-0.76.3-0.718.22046381.8110100.3406.9 (5)9.55.8
8J.K. DobbinsJ.K. Dobbins DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.815.82050411.23650.4317.2 (5)9.513.6✓
9RJ HarveyR. Harvey DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.88.01013253.3327310.2819.7 (4)9.014.6✓
10Keaton MitchellK. Mitchell LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.410.232242.901900.2507.3 (5)8.50.4
11Omarion HamptonO. Hampton LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.414.31141181.149210.3409.9 (5)8.27.9
12Blake CorumB. Corum LAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.18.91129421.1213180.4417.7 (5)7.914.0✓
13Rachaad WhiteR. WhiteLP WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.512.51232271.8411300.3218.3 (4)7.915.7✓
14Ty JohnsonT. JohnsonFP BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.53.63132.3237240.2207.8 (3)7.44.7
15Dameon PierceD. Pierce PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.112.91749350.840150.2713.2 (1)7.215.0✓
16Tank BigsbyT. Bigsby PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.113.0480.520.274.3 (4)7.1—
17Tyjae SpearsT. SpearsQ TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.67.421113.011870.1805.1 (5)7.01.8
18Alvin KamaraA. KamaraQ NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.39.11126342.124350.2719.4 (4)6.714.9✓
19Justice HillJ. Hill BAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.15.532601.83890.2505.0 (5)6.73.9
20Emari DemercadoE. Demercado DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.46.7231.2110.340.8 (2)6.6—
21Brian RobinsonB. Robinson ATLCHI25.042.8%+1.37.9+0.98.942810.72590.38010.0 (5)6.23.0
22George HolaniG. HolaniFP SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.27.7515202.001400.2014.9 (5)6.18.0
23TreVeyon HendersonT. HendersonQ NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.59.6831310.71490.2906.6 (4)6.03.0
24Kaleb JohnsonK. Johnson GBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.68.2138-20.20100.2702.1 (5)5.8-0.2
25Chris BrooksC. Brooks GBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.65.3240.980.233.1 (4)5.5—
26Kenny GainwellK. Gainwell TBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.27.136172.711470.1205.4 (5)5.43.4
27Raheim SandersR. Sanders CLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.04.5101.7160.154.5 (5)5.2—
28Kendre MillerK. Miller NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.38.92227700.62200.2606.0 (4)5.19.0
29Emmett JohnsonE. Johnson KCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.14.661160.9218180.2204.5 (4)5.14.4
30Jadarian PriceJ. Price SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.26.9250.940.184.7 (3)4.9—
31Roschon JohnsonR. Johnson CHI@ ATL26.538.6%-3.06.5-0.55.0156511.6214340.1514.1 (3)4.514.5✓
32Kimani VidalK. Vidal LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.45.31117211.435190.1406.8 (4)4.57.0
33Seth McGowanS. McGowan INDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.45.0417270.60300.2602.0 (5)4.22.7
34CJ DonaldsonC. Donaldson NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.34.1718390.50500.2001.8 (5)4.01.9
35Mike Washington Jr.M. Washington Jr. LVBUF24.043.6%+2.07.2+0.25.41024430.51170.1604.2 (5)3.96.0
36Rico DowdleR. DowdleQ PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.05.21110401.23990.1305.3 (2)3.87.9
37Kaelon BlackK. BlackDNP SFWAS29.541.1%-0.57.1+0.07.3922340.21130.2203.0 (5)3.84.7
38Najee HarrisN. HarrisFP NYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.26.242520.10100.1202.8 (4)3.50.2
39Corey KinerC. Kiner NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.54.21117570.30300.1601.9 (5)3.25.7
40Chris Rodriguez Jr.C. Rodriguez Jr. JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.15.21219550.20100.1505.0 (5)3.15.5
41Bam KnightB. Knight ARI@ LA19.540.9%-0.76.3-0.72.31722800.020180.1301.6 (2)3.011.8✓
42Tyler BadieT. Badie DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.82.71461.001000.1004.1 (4)3.00.6
43Austin EkelerA. EkelerLP WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.54.131030.62740.1203.7 (2)2.92.7
44Ray DavisR. Davis BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.51.72240.511150.0901.6 (4)2.41.9
45Jonathon BrooksJ. Brooks CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.03.390.450.094.7 (2)2.3—
46Dylan LaubeD. Laube LVBUF24.043.6%+2.07.2+0.22.62700.514-10.0702.3 (5)2.00.9
47Jonah ColemanJ. Coleman DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.82.370.420.077.4 (2)1.7—
48Tyrone Tracy Jr.T. Tracy Jr. NYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.22.194180.425270.0620.9 (5)1.718.5✓
49Pierre StrongP. Strong GBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.62.7173280.952390.0404.8 (1)1.611.7
50Brashard SmithB. Smith KCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.11.840.730.050.7 (2)1.6—
51Devin SingletaryD. Singletary NYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.21.955140.613190.0407.4 (2)1.64.3
52Jaleel McLaughlinJ. McLaughlin CLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.00.9137410.340140.0403.0 (3)1.39.5
53Isaiah DavisI. Davis NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.11.482160.514100.0400.7 (4)1.33.6
54Ameer AbdullahA. Abdullah JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.12.00500.40000.0401.3 (5)1.30.0
55LeQuint Allen Jr.L. Allen Jr. JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.11.11010.80200.0200.7 (4)1.10.1
56Tyler GoodsonT. Goodson DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.41.85500.21-190.0602.0 (2)1.01.9
57Brady RussellB. Russell SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.20.40000.30500.0301.8 (4)1.00.0
58Hunter LuepkeH. Luepke DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.41.03400.13090.0500.6 (4)0.83.9
59Sean TuckerS. TuckerQ TBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.22.050.000.044.4 (2)0.8—
60Ronnie RiversR. Rivers LAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.10.720.110.033.4 (1)0.6—
61Reggie GilliamR. Gilliam NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.50.600.410.011.4 (1)0.6—
62Patrick RicardP. Ricard NYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.20.700.500.000.6 (2)0.5—
63Jordan JamesJ. James SFWAS29.541.1%-0.57.1+0.00.60300.00000.0300.8 (2)0.50.0
64Lan LarisonL. Larison NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.50.200.210.012.9 (1)0.4—
65Nicholas SingletonN. Singleton TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.61.220.000.020.6 (2)0.3—
66Travis HomerT. Homer PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.01.00200.00000.0100.5 (3)0.30.0
67Kalel MullingsK. Mullings TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.60.420.000.010.3 (1)0.2—
68Craig ReynoldsC. Reynolds WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.51.110.000.010.4 (1)0.2—
69Lew Nichols IIIL. Nichols III PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.00.50100.00000.0100.2 (3)0.20.0
70Frank Gore Jr.F. Gore Jr. BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.50.210.000.010.3 (1)0.1—
71Trevor EtienneT. EtienneQ CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.00.010-10.00000.000—0.0-0.1
WR streamers: every WR outside the starter line (top 36 by average PPR over 2026 weeks 1–5; 28 set aside, 120 in the pool). Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 13.7 vs a 5.7 streamer field, 2 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DTouchesRushRecRec ydsTDAvgProjActual
1Carnell TateC. Tate streamTEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.67.87005.1661700.3119.7 (5)13.119.0✓
2Rome OdunzeR. Odunze streamCHI@ ATL26.538.6%-3.06.5-0.57.04003.9357390.2908.5 (5)11.36.9
3Khalil ShakirK. Shakir streamBUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.55.66004.1453340.3218.3 (5)11.313.4
4DK MetcalfD. MetcalfDNP streamPIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.07.415204.21144930.3309.7 (5)10.920.3✓
5Josh DownsJ. DownsFP streamINDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.46.49074.3450400.2609.0 (5)10.98.7
6Xavier WorthyX. Worthy KCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.16.87004.0745730.3208.3 (4)10.514.3
7Isaiah WilliamsI. Williams NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.14.51542.805300.3106.8 (5)10.40.4
8Wan'Dale RobinsonW. Robinson TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.66.17004.0348220.24010.3 (5)10.35.2
9Mack HollinsM. Hollins NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.55.003.2460.379.0 (4)10.0—
10Jaylen WaddleJ. Waddle DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.86.77604.3433240.2609.7 (5)9.76.4
11Rashod BatemanR. BatemanFP BAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.14.91003.104900.2509.1 (5)9.50.0
12Dontayvion WicksD. WicksFP PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.15.64003.5244240.2709.8 (5)9.54.4
13Chris Godwin Jr.C. Godwin Jr.FP TBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.25.58303.6441370.2107.7 (5)9.27.7
14Jakobi MeyersJ. Meyers JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.14.810003.2542830.2809.5 (5)9.113.3
15Xavier HutchinsonX. Hutchinson HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.46.13103.1243100.2407.9 (5)9.03.0
16Germie BernardG. Bernard PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.05.312103.31137870.2816.9 (4)8.825.7✓
17Keon ColemanK. ColemanFP BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.54.46002.7444590.2619.9 (5)8.715.9✓
18Jaylin NoelJ. Noel HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.45.24902.54341070.2818.9 (5)8.420.7✓
19Romeo DoubsR. Doubs NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.54.71003.0136420.2819.4 (5)8.311.2
20Laquon TreadwellL. Treadwell INDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.44.65003.0240210.2005.3 (5)8.24.1
21Ryan FlournoyR. Flournoy DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.44.49003.0734400.2517.1 (5)7.917.0✓
22Malachi FieldsM. Fields NYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.23.68002.4236190.2806.1 (5)7.63.9
23Makai LemonM. Lemon PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.15.26003.3331190.1605.1 (5)7.44.9
24KC ConcepcionK. ConcepcionFP CLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.06.08023.6427370.1606.4 (5)7.37.9
25Kendrick BourneK. Bourne ARI@ LA19.540.9%-0.76.3-0.74.08002.8531470.2108.7 (4)7.19.7
26Quentin JohnstonQ. JohnstonFP LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.45.13002.8133570.1604.5 (4)7.06.7
27Jahan DotsonJ. Dotson ATLCHI25.042.8%+1.37.9+0.94.15002.4335870.1915.8 (5)7.017.7✓
28Keenan AllenK. AllenFP INDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.44.711003.2829820.1509.6 (4)7.016.2✓
29Antonio WilliamsA. Williams WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.54.24002.9329500.2007.3 (5)7.08.0
30Rashid ShaheedR. Shaheed SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.24.99722.8523660.1905.7 (5)6.811.8
31Darius CooperD. Cooper PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.13.12002.113490.2008.8 (5)6.71.9
32Courtland SuttonC. Sutton DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.85.23003.2225190.1505.5 (5)6.63.9
33Darnell MooneyD. MooneyFP NYGNO22.545.7%+4.17.3+0.23.932202.202800.2204.0 (5)6.52.0
34DeMario DouglasD. Douglas NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.54.28002.8724860.1917.9 (5)6.419.6✓
35Xavier SmithX. Smith SFWAS29.541.1%-0.57.1+0.02.801.9300.230.0 (3)6.3—
36Kayshon BoutteK. Boutte HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.43.93002.6228160.1405.5 (5)6.23.6
37Kevin Austin Jr.K. Austin Jr. NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.34.803.0220.161.7 (1)6.1—
38Tez JohnsonT. Johnson TBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.22.43101.323570.1903.9 (5)6.12.7
39DJ MooreD. MooreQ BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.53.922.1240.179.1 (4)5.7—
40Isaiah BondI. Bond CLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.02.401.3310.204.5 (3)5.7—
41Cooper KuppC. Kupp SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.23.410002.5523500.1506.0 (5)5.710.0
42Pat BryantP. Bryant DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.82.221.4270.198.0 (4)5.4—
43Elic AyomanorE. Ayomanor TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.62.82001.513030.1505.0 (5)5.41.3
44Michael PittmanM. Pittman PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.03.602.4200.155.3 (3)5.3—
45Josh CameronJ. Cameron JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.12.90001.902300.1706.3 (5)5.30.0
46Ladd McConkeyL. McConkeyFP LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.42.71001.8126170.1409.1 (4)5.22.7
47Ted Hurst IIIT. Hurst III TBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.22.96001.8326400.1206.7 (4)5.17.0
48Jerry JeudyJ. Jeudy CLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.03.84002.2420690.1104.0 (4)4.810.9
49John Metchie IIIJ. Metchie III CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.03.13001.9221240.1205.5 (3)4.84.4
50Brian Thomas Jr.B. Thomas Jr. JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.13.52002.201900.1305.1 (5)4.80.0
51Efton Chism IIIE. Chism III NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.53.41002.201700.1406.4 (4)4.70.0
52Treylon BurksT. BurksLP WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.53.16001.8420660.1406.4 (4)4.710.6
53Cody WhiteC. White LVBUF24.043.6%+2.07.2+0.22.72001.801900.1507.6 (5)4.60.0
54Brycen TremayneB. Tremayne CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.02.10001.502300.1304.4 (4)4.50.0
55Kyle WilliamsK. Williams NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.52.31001.4120120.1704.9 (5)4.52.2
56Calvin RidleyC. Ridley TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.62.32001.302400.1103.3 (4)4.40.0
57Dyami BrownD. Brown WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.52.81001.711760.1203.0 (5)4.11.6
58Chris MooreC. Moore BAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.12.601.7190.095.1 (3)4.1—
59Marquez Valdes-ScantlingM. Valdes-ScantlingFP LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.43.701.9170.081.4 (3)4.1—
60Xavier LegetteX. Legette CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.02.301.4180.114.2 (2)3.8—
61Jalen NailorJ. NailorFP LVBUF24.043.6%+2.07.2+0.22.64001.611390.0903.4 (3)3.51.9
62Josh PalmerJ. PalmerQ BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.52.52001.6114370.0807.7 (3)3.54.7
63Troy FranklinT. Franklin DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.81.91101.011520.1002.7 (4)3.31.2
64Chimere DikeC. Dike TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.61.70001.101700.0802.3 (5)3.30.0
65Konata MumpfieldK. Mumpfield LAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.12.03001.1214150.1105.8 (4)3.23.5
66Demarcus RobinsonD. Robinson SFWAS29.541.1%-0.57.1+0.01.400.9150.139.7 (2)3.1—
67Devontez WalkerD. Walker BAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.11.82001.201400.0704.4 (4)3.00.0
68Marvin Harrison Jr.M. Harrison Jr. HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.42.04001.1314340.0704.9 (4)3.06.4
69Zachariah BranchZ. Branch ATLCHI25.042.8%+1.37.9+0.92.02001.421190.0602.3 (5)2.84.9
70Alec PierceA. Pierce INDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.41.300.7150.086.1 (2)2.7—
71Marquise BrownM. BrownFP PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.12.2200.000.111.2 (1)2.6—
72Bryce LanceB. Lance NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.32.94001.72590.0312.1 (5)2.58.9
73Tim PatrickT. Patrick NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.11.23000.8112150.0604.6 (1)2.32.5
74Brenen ThompsonB. ThompsonQ LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.41.901.280.042.3 (1)2.2—
75Marvin Mims Jr.M. Mims Jr. DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.82.04101.226130.0501.6 (3)2.23.3
76KaVontae TurpinK. Turpin DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.41.70100.90700.0703.0 (5)2.10.0
77Zavion ThomasZ. Thomas CHI@ ATL26.538.6%-3.06.5-0.50.93600.334250.1101.1 (4)2.05.5
78Bo MeltonB. Melton GBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.62.00001.20500.0401.4 (5)1.90.0
79Jalen RoyalsJ. Royals KCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.11.84001.225240.0302.7 (4)1.94.4
80Jordan WatkinsJ. Watkins SFWAS29.541.1%-0.57.1+0.00.61000.419220.0808.0 (1)1.83.2
TE streamers: every TE outside the starter line (top 12 by average PPR over 2026 weeks 1–5; 10 set aside, 79 in the pool). Ranked by the engine's PPR line for this week off the team's implied points, the player's share of the offense and the opponent: Opp run D and Opp pass D are the defense reads the engine leans on (green = softer than league, amber = tougher). Once played, the actual sits beside each projection: green over, amber under; a ✓ marks a top-10 finish. This week: stream picks averaged 5.2 vs a 5.5 streamer field, 0 of 5 finished top 10.
#PlayerTeamOppImpliedOpp run DOpp pass DTouchesRushRecRec ydsTDAvgProjActual
1Brenton StrangeB. Strange streamJAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.16.37004.6540440.35010.1 (5)10.79.4
2Tucker KraftT. Kraft streamGBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.65.98203.8535370.3309.5 (5)9.58.7
3Charlie KolarC. KolarFP streamLAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.44.36003.1347200.2403.3 (3)9.25.0
4Cade OttonC. Otton streamTBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.25.62003.813940.2007.2 (5)8.91.4
5Mark AndrewsM. AndrewsFP streamBAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.16.13004.213040.1608.7 (5)8.11.4
6Harold Fannin Jr.H. Fannin Jr. CLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.05.43003.613090.19010.3 (5)7.81.9
7Tyler HigbeeT. HigbeeDNP LAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.13.34002.3433220.29011.6 (4)7.44.2
8Chig OkonkwoC. Okonkwo WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.55.07003.5726690.2205.4 (3)7.413.9✓
9Dalton KincaidD. Kincaid BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.54.08002.9732380.2109.9 (5)7.410.8
10Evan EngramE. Engram DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.83.82002.6232130.2405.6 (5)7.33.3
11Colston LovelandC. Loveland CHI@ ATL26.538.6%-3.06.5-0.55.57003.7626650.1314.8 (5)7.118.5✓
12Dalton SchultzD. SchultzLP HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.44.36003.0428330.1809.7 (5)6.97.3
13Michael MayerM. Mayer LVBUF24.043.6%+2.07.2+0.23.99002.7725950.2008.8 (5)6.516.5✓
14Hunter HenryH. Henry NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.53.95002.7424480.2317.7 (5)6.414.8✓
15AJ BarnerA. Barner SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.24.64003.2321160.1506.1 (5)6.34.6
16Darren WallerD. WallerFP CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.04.22002.802300.17010.0 (4)6.20.0
17Darnell WashingtonD. Washington PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.03.66002.5424250.1816.0 (5)6.012.5✓
18Kenyon SadiqK. SadiqQ NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.14.93003.2117120.1207.8 (5)5.72.2
19Kyle PittsK. Pitts ATLCHI25.042.8%+1.37.9+0.93.67002.3521600.1425.4 (5)5.223.0✓
20Noah GrayN. Gray KCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.13.13002.2318530.1503.0 (4)4.98.3
21Jake FergusonJ. Ferguson DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.43.63002.6214130.1108.2 (5)4.73.3
22Oronde Gadsden IIO. Gadsden II LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.43.55002.2316170.0804.8 (5)4.44.7
23Tommy TrembleT. TrembleFP CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.03.14002.1414460.0924.8 (4)4.120.6✓
24Mason TaylorM. Taylor NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.12.86001.9415330.0903.6 (2)3.97.3
25Elijah HigginsE. Higgins ARI@ LA19.540.9%-0.76.3-0.71.73001.3316280.1505.9 (4)3.85.8
26Eli RaridonE. Raridon NENYJ25.542.6%+1.06.5-0.52.23001.5113110.1306.0 (4)3.72.1
27Gunnar HelmG. Helm TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.62.501.9130.063.4 (5)3.5—
28Foster MoreauF. Moreau HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.42.62001.82870.0524.3 (5)2.914.7✓
29Dawson KnoxD. Knox BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.52.91001.91800.0403.3 (5)2.91.0
30Mitchell EvansM. Evans CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.01.82011.201200.0803.2 (4)2.80.1
31Cole KmetC. Kmet CHI@ ATL26.538.6%-3.06.5-0.52.12001.521030.0503.3 (5)2.82.3
32Terrance FergusonT. Ferguson LAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.12.201.490.076.4 (3)2.7—
33Noah FantN. Fant NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.31.41001.101200.0808.6 (4)2.70.0
34Davis AllenD. AllenLP LAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.11.41000.901000.0802.5 (5)2.40.0
35Jonnu SmithJ. Smith GBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.61.000.7110.104.5 (3)2.4—
36Zach ErtzZ. Ertz PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.12.001.380.051.7 (3)2.3—
37Daniel BellingerD. Bellinger TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.61.62001.20800.0401.6 (5)2.30.0
38Nate BoerkircherN. BoerkircherLP JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.11.62001.12880.0612.1 (4)2.28.8
39Josh CuevasJ. Cuevas BAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.10.95000.6411440.0612.3 (3)2.114.4✓
40Austin HooperA. Hooper ATLCHI25.042.8%+1.37.9+0.91.41001.01760.0505.0 (3)2.01.6
41David NjokuD. Njoku LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.41.200.890.046.4 (2)1.9—
42Jeremy RuckertJ. Ruckert NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.11.401.060.046.3 (3)1.8—
43Jelani WoodsJ. Woods NYJ@ NE18.040.3%-1.26.9-0.11.11000.71890.0401.7 (3)1.71.9
44Ian ThomasI. Thomas LVBUF24.043.6%+2.07.2+0.20.800.580.065.1 (3)1.7—
45Mark RedmanM. Redman GBDAL26.042.2%+0.67.7+0.60.600.490.074.9 (1)1.7—
46Sam RoushS. Roush CHI@ ATL26.538.6%-3.06.5-0.51.00000.70600.0301.6 (4)1.50.0
47Nate AdkinsN. Adkins DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.81.010.640.046.9 (3)1.4—
48Brevyn Spann-FordB. Spann-Ford DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.41.15000.745350.0401.3 (5)1.47.5
49Colby ParkinsonC. ParkinsonFP LAARI32.039.6%-2.08.1+1.11.16000.854310.0311.6 (4)1.314.1✓
50Mo Alie-CoxM. Alie-Cox INDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.40.71000.41610.0313.0 (2)1.37.1
51John BatesJ. Bates WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.51.01000.71440.0302.1 (3)1.21.4
52Charlie WoernerC. Woerner ATLCHI25.042.8%+1.37.9+0.91.100.730.020.8 (3)1.1—
53Luke FarrellL. Farrell SFWAS29.541.1%-0.57.1+0.00.90000.70300.0200.8 (5)1.10.0
54Luke SchoonmakerL. Schoonmaker DAL@ GB27.542.1%+0.66.7-0.40.500.340.042.0 (3)1.0—
55Hayden RucciH. Rucci LAC@ KC17.037.6%-4.06.6-0.40.50000.40500.0203.9 (2)1.00.0
56Blake WhiteheartB. Whiteheart CLEBAL18.338.2%-3.37.00.00.51000.31480.0303.7 (3)0.91.8
57Johnny MundtJ. Mundt PHICAR18.339.6%-2.06.9-0.10.91000.61240.0101.0 (4)0.81.4
58Hunter LongH. Long ARI@ LA19.540.9%-0.76.3-0.70.500.330.030.9 (4)0.8—
59Colson YankoffC. Yankoff WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.50.70000.50200.0200.7 (5)0.80.0
60Jake BriningstoolJ. Briningstool KCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.10.700.420.020.6 (3)0.7—
61Elijah ArroyoE. Arroyo SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.20.600.430.021.4 (2)0.7—
62Adam TrautmanA. Trautman DENSEA19.035.7%-5.96.2-0.80.700.520.011.5 (2)0.7—
63Ja'Tavion SandersJ. Sanders CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.00.500.420.02—0.7—
64Cade StoverC. Stover HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.40.42050.30300.0101.3 (3)0.60.5
65Payne DurhamP. Durham TBPIT18.042.0%+0.47.2+0.20.600.420.010.8 (2)0.6—
66Andrew OgletreeA. Ogletree INDTEN25.040.7%-0.87.4+0.40.600.310.010.4 (4)0.5—
67Brevin JordanB. Jordan HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.40.31000.212-10.0101.2 (2)0.40.9
68Quintin MorrisQ. Morris JAXHOU22.540.0%-1.67.1+0.10.400.210.010.4 (4)0.4—
69Ben SinnottB. Sinnott WAS@ SF22.042.6%+1.16.5-0.50.300.210.010.5 (3)0.4—
70Durham SmytheD. Smythe BAL@ CLE21.341.4%-0.26.9-0.10.400.300.000.5 (3)0.3—
71Eric SaubertE. Saubert SEA@ DEN21.538.2%-3.36.8-0.20.51000.30000.0001.7 (5)0.30.0
72Oscar DelpO. Delp NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.30.22000.121100.0100.6 (3)0.33.0
73Marlin KleinM. Klein HOU@ JAX20.036.7%-4.97.5+0.40.100.110.012.6 (1)0.3—
74Robert TonyanR. Tonyan PIT@ TB20.538.3%-3.37.0+0.00.200.200.001.2 (1)0.2—
75Kylen GransonK. Granson TEN@ IND18.542.3%+0.87.6+0.60.300.200.000.0 (1)0.2—
76Jackson HawesJ. Hawes BUF@ LV29.540.9%-0.77.5+0.50.20000.20000.0000.0 (2)0.20.0
77Jared WileyJ. Wiley KCLAC24.540.8%-0.87.1+0.10.100.100.00—0.1—
78Treyton WelchT. Welch NO@ NYG24.041.5%0.06.7-0.30.100.100.000.0 (2)0.1—
79Feleipe FranksF. Franks CAR@ PHI21.339.9%-1.67.00.00.00000.00000.0000.0 (4)0.00.0